weatherextreme Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 SPC has a highlighted day 2 slight risk for 10/23 , day3 enhanced Risk for 10/24 and two severe highlighted day 5 and 6 outlooks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 If these things stay discrete for a little while before lining up, tomorrow is going to be very interesting. Other than maybe a little more sunshine, you've got a recipe that'd make Bobby Flay jealous tomorrow. LCL's crazy low, tons of bulk shear, high SRH, and ample CAPE. I'd go MDT if I were the SPC though, ample instability is a solid guarantee of a widespread outbreak regardless of what the storm mode will be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 WFUS53 KEAX 241912 TOREAX WFUS53 KEAX 241912 TOREAX KSC043-MOC003-087-241945- /O.NEW.KEAX.TO.W.0016.211024T1912Z-211024T1945Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 212 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2021 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL DONIPHAN COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN KANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN HOLT COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI... SOUTHWESTERN ANDREW COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI... * UNTIL 245 PM CDT. * AT 212 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER TROY, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... TROY, COUNTRY CLUB VILLA, COUNTRY CLUB, AMAZONIA AND FANNING. KSC043-MOC003-087-241945- /O.NEW.KEAX.TO.W.0016.211024T1912Z-211024T1945Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 212 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2021 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL DONIPHAN COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN KANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN HOLT COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI... SOUTHWESTERN ANDREW COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI... * UNTIL 245 PM CDT. * AT 212 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER TROY, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... TROY, COUNTRY CLUB VILLA, COUNTRY CLUB, AMAZONIA AND FANNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Big problems in E MO, 2 large tornadoes on the ground. Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Wow there’s a big one headed for St Gen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Debris over 20,000 feet with the tornado heading for Fredericktown. Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Looks like it's hitting homes north of Fredericktown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Oh my God there’s three of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 St Mary just took a direct hit, huge TDS NE of the town.Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Tornado Emergency for Chester IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 I’m shocked there isn’t more discussion on here. Some big dog twisters tonight south of St Louis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 12 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I’m shocked there isn’t more discussion on here. Some big dog twisters tonight south of St Louis There's some in the lakes/ov forum. This has already outperformed all the 10 page thread events from spring severe season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0534.html 50/30 Tor probs for northeast AR and west TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Here is a NAM 3-km cross-section east-to-west through the dryline tomorrow. The warm moist sector will have the moisture confined to being below 800mb. This dryline has very low relative humidities west of it. You can see the slight increase in potential contours to 307K-310K. (lines on this plot). It's also cool to see the high-res models have elevations above 700mb (roughly 10000 ft) in SW Colorado, built into the land system. You can also see the evidence of the cooler air coming in to the Rockies, as the -12C isotherm dips from above 500mb's elevation to around 600mb. several storms could develop with over 2000 J/kg of CAPE and 0-3km storm-relative helcity of 300-400m2/s2 and 0-6km shear of 50 kt (sounding near west Oklahoma) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 It looks like we have what appears to be an outflow-dominant squall line here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Looks like damaging winds will be the predominant threat, as a robust 50+ knot low-level jet is present across much of Oklahoma. Can’t rule out a QLCS tornado or two, given the degree of low-level shear. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Convection-allowing models show a localized tornado threat tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx_2001 Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Just had a tornado warning here for the second time this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 4 hours ago, OKwx_2001 said: Just had a tornado warning here for the second time this month SPC Storm report indicate possible tornado at 36th & Franklin in Norman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Storms were uneventful in DFW this morning. Mainly just rain, moderate to heavy for the most part. Only recorded 0.42" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 16 minutes ago, It's Always Sunny said: Storms were uneventful in DFW this morning. Mainly just rain, moderate to heavy for the most part. Only recorded 0.42" so far. My house got 1", but it's likely higher because the rain gauge was partly knocked off of it's holder because of the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Two tornado warned storms in the Houston metro and another heading towards Beaumont Tornado Warning TXC201-271345- /O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0027.211027T1316Z-211027T1345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 816 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 The National Weather Service in League City has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Harris County in southeastern Texas... * Until 845 AM CDT. * At 815 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Cypress, or 7 miles northwest of Addicks Park Ten, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Jersey Village and northeastern Addicks Park Ten around 825 AM CDT. Spring Branch West, Carverdale, Fairbanks / Northwest Crossing, Westbranch and Willowbrook around 830 AM CDT. Spring Branch North, Spring Valley, Greater Inwood, Spring Branch East and Spring Branch Central around 835 AM CDT. Hunters Creek Village, Greater Greenspoint, Hilshire Village, Central Northwest, Langwood, Lazybrook / Timbergrove and Greater Uptown around 840 AM CDT. Northside / Northline, Aldine, Near Northside Houston, Greater Heights, Memorial Park, Downtown Houston, Neartown / Montrose, Afton Oaks / River Oaks Area, Fourth Ward and Greater Fifth Ward around 845 AM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Discovery Green, Compass Stadium and Minute Maid Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 2987 9576 2994 9576 2999 9527 2972 9530 TIME...MOT...LOC 1315Z 276DEG 33KT 2990 9571 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 814 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 TXC201-339-271330- /O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-211027T1330Z/ Montgomery TX-Harris TX- 814 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND NORTH CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTIES... At 813 AM CDT, a severe squall line capable of producing both tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located near Pinehurst, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. These dangerous storms will be near... The Woodlands around 820 AM CDT. The Woodlands Pavillion around 830 AM CDT. Spring, Oak Ridge North, Shenandoah, Woodloch, Chateau Woods and Splashtown around 835 AM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3015 9568 3022 9568 3024 9535 3006 9543 TIME...MOT...LOC 1313Z 274DEG 30KT 3018 9564 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN $$ Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 818 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 TXC245-271345- /O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0058.000000T0000Z-211027T1345Z/ Jefferson TX- 818 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY... At 817 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 14 miles south of La Belle, or 16 miles southeast of Hamshire, moving north at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Port Arthur, La Belle and Sea Rim State Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 2992 9425 2987 9393 2967 9404 2965 9413 2961 9422 TIME...MOT...LOC 1317Z 194DEG 19KT 2967 9416 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ Brazzell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Confirmed tor on the Port Arthur/Beaumont storm per TX Storm Chasers live stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Mesoscale Discussion 1912 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0908 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 Areas affected...southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana Concerning...Tornado Watch 540... Valid 271408Z - 271545Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 540 continues. SUMMARY...The greatest threat for tornadoes through 16Z will persist with discrete storms developing from southeast TX and possibly far southwest LA. DISCUSSION...Early this morning a warm front extends through southwest LA north of Lake Charles into southeast TX near Jasper, then farther northwest where it intersects the squall line which extends southward through the Houston metro area and beyond. The warm sector to the south and east of these boundaries is very moist with low to mid 70s F dewpoints along with temperatures in the upper 70s F. The 12Z RAOBs and latest objective analysis show the atmosphere in this area to be moderately unstable with around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE. VWP data from Lake Charles also indicates sizeable low-level hodographs with 250-300 m2/s2 storm relative helicity based on current storm motions. This strongly sheared, low-LCL environment will remain favorable for low-level mesocyclones and tornadoes next couple hours as discrete supercells continue moving northeast through the warm sector. Some interaction with the warm front is also likely, potentially augmenting the tornado threat. Farther west, damaging wind will remain the primary threat along the squall line, but a couple of brief tornadoes cannot be ruled out with any embedded mesovortices. ..Dial.. 10/27/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX... LAT...LON 31029405 30739340 30189340 29759405 29889481 30609464 30929444 31029405 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Large tornado heading towards Deweyville TX, impressive debris ball with that. Some of these couplets are rather impressive considering the time of day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 PDS Tornado Warning for TX/LA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted October 27, 2021 Author Share Posted October 27, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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