jaf316 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Once again, gfs is a complete whiff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Frozen mud on the horizon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 hours ago, jaf316 said: Once again, gfs is a complete whiff... Well not quite, 18z pushed it back a whole week with 5 - 8" snows for all of S. Ohio the end of next week (take that to the bank) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 0z off to a good start. 0z NAM is much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 0z GFS finally has a storm giving SE parts of Ohio a couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Nam has Cincy getting 2.45" of snow, GFS, 1" ....Fwiw.. 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Juicier on the 6z NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 For now at least, the NAM seems to be on its own with the NW track. Everyone else jackpots WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Couple more runs for a Kentucky West Virginia special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 I think nam was a head fake. So far from what I've seen this morning, the upper lakes low is a bit stronger so it's flattening heights out in front. The storm is not able to deepen as much and come as far north as we need. Still have the gfs and euro but not holding my breath on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 First call 0.00 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 virginia winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 24 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: virginia winter I wish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: virginia winter Don't forget Tennessee... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Maybe it's just masochism, but I'm still hoping for a last minute bump NW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Why do we always get screwed in Indiana and ohio 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 This annual winter thread started October 3rd and remained at one page through all of December. In four days we add four pages....and zip to show for it. Winter in the OV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 40 minutes ago, iluvsnow said: This annual winter thread started October 3rd and remained at one page through all of December. In four days we add four pages....and zip to show for it. Winter in the OV We're always hosed by NW trend, or the lack there of. It must just be our climo/geography. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 hours ago, zinski1990 said: Why do we always get screwed in Indiana and ohio Warm tongue of death (WTOD): eastward moving warm air hits the west Appalachians and is forced northward. Especially bad in the eastern 2/3s of OH. Storm doesn't necessarily have to be a Cutter to do this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, LakeEffectOH said: Warm tongue of death (WTOD): eastward moving warm air hits the west Appalachians and is forced northward. Especially bad in the eastern 2/3s of OH. Storm doesn't necessarily have to be a Cutter to do this... It’s why every winter I yearn for a good clipper pattern. We haven’t had that type of pattern for years, but it really is the only way to get snow around here. Small amounts, yes typically, but I’d take a clipper every 3 days or so to lay down some snow. Plus, there’s always a chance one or two over perform which can be a nice surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 12 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: It’s why every winter I yearn for a good clipper pattern. We haven’t had that type of pattern for years, but it really is the only way to get snow around here. Small amounts, yes typically, but I’d take a clipper every 3 days or so to lay down some snow. Plus, there’s always a chance one or two over perform which can be a nice surprise. Latest ensembles do show some possible clipper opportunities in the next couple of weeks, so there's that. Caveat, all can totally change in 6-8 hours, Lol. However, there's been some persistence in the ensembles over the past day or two and the MJO looks, as of now, to stay in phase 7 and even 8 for the next two weeks. Optimistic here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Confluence is in the absolute worst possible spot and much stronger on the 18z GFS. The look that the NAM gave is pretty much our only hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 hours ago, Gino27 said: Confluence is in the absolute worst possible spot and much stronger on the 18z GFS. The look that the NAM gave is pretty much our only hope. Looking more like 1979-80 than 1984-85. December 1979 was warm and snowless, with January/February much colder, but the largest snow event was 3". Total snowfall for the season was 16.7" in Columbus. This season is now a full inch behind that year, and more than 9" below last year. Unless there's a drastic change in the pattern or a very lucky break, this could end up being one of the least snowy December-Januarys ever. Of all the historically snowless winters of the past 25 years, just about all of them had more snow at this point. 1996-1997, 1997-1998, 2001-2002, 2005-2006, 2016-2017, 2019-2020. 2011-2012 came in very close, just 0.2" behind. So yeah, it's hard to see things turning around based on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Wow! From 4-8" to apparently nothing in one day. . Sad. The Nam sux.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 hour ago, chuckster2012 said: Wow! From 4-8" to apparently nothing in one day. . Sad. The Nam sux.. Well, the 06z Nam now has a couple of inches for southern Indiana and Ohio. I don't trust you Nam.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 I've been seeing some NW ticks on the models. We just going to get enough curl on vort before the coast robs our energy, and the confluence is still going to squash everything. It is a shame, but long range doesn't look as bleak as it once did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Bring on spring. Sick of this winter already. What's our total for the year? Gotta be under 2", right? You know it's bad when Tennessee is beating you faily handedly in snow totals and the ski resorts are having to shut down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 20 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Bring on spring. Sick of this winter already. What's our total for the year? Gotta be under 2", right? You know it's bad when Tennessee is beating you faily handedly in snow totals and the ski resorts are having to shut down. Cheer up -- the GFS shows a big snowstorm at 360 hours. I'm sure that will happen... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 17 minutes ago, jaf316 said: Cheer up -- the GFS shows a big snowstorm at 360 hours. I'm sure that will happen... Ride it…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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