HighTechEE Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Great, Gulf Coast states gets more snow out of one storm than we get in most of our winter months: https://www.weather.gov/ Gatlingburg, TN 4 to 8" tonight into tmar morning, with a foot in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS took a step towards the better solutions for us. Still need a lot of work, and everything else has to hold serve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 0z GFS still not playing ball but was a touch better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vpbob21 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 UKMET came north a little bit as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 28 minutes ago, vpbob21 said: UKMET came north a little bit as well. How much snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 00zGFS still has all snow just south of the Ohio River. Temps into 40's by Saturday for most of us.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Euro coming in with more of the same. Getting closer folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, Gino27 said: Euro coming in with more of the same. Getting closer folks. Actually west a bit. Kuchera maps probably would show some 8-12" totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 For comparison to its 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Really hope this works out for yall, been a long time coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 GFS keeps ticking slightly better on 500 vort, but looks the same if not worse overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, Gino27 said: GFS keeps ticking slightly better on 500 vort, but looks the same if not worse overall. I hate to say it but the gfs seems to make more sense to me. That first storm in front of it moving through the upper lakes delivers the cold, but the spacing might not be enough to allow the follow up energy to amp much.... IOW, washed-out turd. This may not even be a matter of the gfs and euro meeting halfway, probably one is going to score the coupe. Gfs scored the coupe on the MA storm, so there's that too unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 10 minutes ago, buckeye said: I hate to say it but the gfs seems to make more sense to me. That first storm in front of it moving through the upper lakes delivers the cold, but the spacing might not be enough to allow the follow up energy to amp much.... IOW, washed-out turd. This may not even be a matter of the gfs and euro meeting halfway, probably one is going to score the coupe. Gfs scored the coupe on the MA storm, so there's that too unfortunately. Every party has a pooper…. LOL!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, pondo1000 said: Every party has a pooper…. LOL!!! Trust me, I'd love to choke down crow on this one. I'm ready for some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Got the NAM on board now too making GFS look like even more of an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, buckeye said: Trust me, I'd love to choke down crow on this one. I'm ready for some snow. Amen! Happy New Year my friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Canadian looking a bit more suppressed this run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 GFS has been shifting towards the Euro in terms of handing the first wave, but I fear the Euro has been over-amplifying the second wave. CMC might've just taken a huge step towards what the GFS has been showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, jaf316 said: Canadian looking a bit more suppressed this run... Yep, big red flag. Really the only good run so far has been the nam +60 hrs. Not encouraging. GEM trended weaker and south, icon is nada, gfs is nada, ukmet was showing hope at 00z but it went back to crap at 12z. If I were a betting man I'd have to put my chips on the euro starting to cave at 12z. If not, then we can at least hug the ole EE rule. Regardless,after that it's a rainstorm followed by a sharp cold front that is transient. In this wavy pattern it's all about luck and timing. DC has the hot ticket right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, buckeye said: Yep, big red flag. Really the only good run so far has been the nam +60 hrs. Not encouraging. GEM trended weaker and south, icon is nada, gfs is nada, ukmet was showing hope at 00z but it went back to crap at 12z. If I were a betting man I'd have to put my chips on the euro starting to cave at 12z. If not, then we can at least hug the ole EE rule. Regardless,after that it's a rainstorm followed by a sharp cold front that is transient. In this wavy pattern it's all about luck and timing. DC has the hot ticket right now. For what it's worth, the storm that's pounding the Mid-Atlantic followed a pretty significant NW trend within 90 hours. But the setups just aren't comparable. Within the last 24 hours the GEM and UKMET have gone back and forth a lot and the Euro has been most consistent, so we at least have that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Slowly losing the euro as this thing sinks south. Now watch the GFS come back tonight with a block buster storm for us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, buckeye said: Slowly losing the euro as this thing sinks south. Now watch the GFS come back tonight with a block buster storm for us I was wondering why I heard Taps being played in the background a little bit ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 We made it under 100 hours before slipping away this time! That's major progress! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 13 minutes ago, buckeye said: Slowly losing the euro as this thing sinks south. Now watch the GFS come back tonight with a block buster storm for us I would say there's still room for an inevitable NW shift...but that never seems to benefit us, only those to our north and west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, JayPSU said: I would say there's still room for an inevitable NW shift...but that never seems to benefit us, only those to our north and west. On the bright side, sometimes when models are dealing with two waves close to one another, surprises can happen quickly with the second one. There's my happy weenie injection for the day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 I suspect the NAM is going to double down on it's 12z. Looking at the 18z sref it actually has the greatest precip amount to our nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 43 minutes ago, buckeye said: I suspect the NAM is going to double down on it's 12z. Looking at the 18z sref it actually has the greatest precip amount to our nw 18z NAM looked pretty crappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 18z NAM looked pretty crappy. yea it did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 RGEM keeping hope alive for parts of Indiana, Ohio, and most of Kentucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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