Gino27 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Euro with another step to GFS. I'm really interested to see where this ends up in 24-48 hours. Intriguing for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, Gino27 said: Euro with another step to GFS. I'm really interested to see where this ends up in 24-48 hours. Intriguing for sure! We are 48hrs out from the start. I wanna see the cmc cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, dilly84 said: We are 48hrs out from the start. I wanna see the cmc cave. Looks to me trends are yes, SE, but precip shuts off quickly w/ that high building in quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: Looks to me trends are yes, SE, but precip shuts off quickly w/ that high building in quickly Euro does tend to have a dry bias, but it is concerning to see such a short period of precip compared to other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 This one's coming south, gentlemen. Looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: This one's coming south, gentlemen. Looks good. Hopefully those totals don’t keep coming down though. Not a fan of the trends today w/ that Arctic High pressing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Euro looks to fast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: Hopefully those totals don’t keep coming down though. Not a fan of the trends today w/ that Arctic High pressing in. I wouldn't worry yourself with totals as I think it'll be at least 8" or more. This is a pick your poison type ordeal. Get a foot or risk getting zr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, dilly84 said: I wouldn't worry yourself with totals as I think it'll be at least 8" or more. This is a pick your poison type ordeal. Get a foot or risk getting zr I hope you’re right, but I’m thinking this looks like about 4-6 of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: I hope you’re right, but I’m thinking this looks like about 4-6 of snow I mean, I can't blame you. I always tell my wife with regards to winter weather here in Westerville....if there's a way for it to go wrong, it will go wrong. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 NAM sucks. Tough scene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, Gino27 said: NAM sucks. Tough scene Yep. Sticking to its 12z. No further south. This is why I hate Southern forming winter systems. Too hard to forecast and a difference of 10 miles makes all the difference. Hrrr sucked too unless you're north of 71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, Gino27 said: NAM sucks. Tough scene Nam is a sleetfest on not on round 1, but also round 2. Just not buying that. Not at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, dilly84 said: Nam is a sleetfest on not on round 1, but also round 2. Just not buying that. Not at all. Seems as though round one stealing the show maybe. Could be what Canadian was getting at. Not a good day IMO model wise. Just my opinion. Hope I’m wrong but it’s so hard getting a big one here in central OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Typical Nam garbage run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, CoachLB said: Typical Nam garbage run Hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: Hope so Brings the low right through se ohio. Lol. That'd be our luck. It says no snow and no freezing rain, you'll take your sleet and like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 still looking like either a big snow or a sleetfest. We probably won't have a better handle until this thing is on radar and moving towards us tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, buckeye said: still looking like either a big snow or a sleetfest. We probably won't have a better handle until this thing is on radar and moving towards us tomorrow afternoon. What's your gut say? You've seen more of these here than most of us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, buckeye said: still looking like either a big snow or a sleetfest. We probably won't have a better handle until this thing is on radar and moving towards us tomorrow afternoon. Guess the positive is that outside of southeast Ohio it appears freezing rain may not be as big of an issue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, dilly84 said: Guess the positive is that outside of southeast Ohio it appears freezing rain may not be as big of an issue The RGEM begs to differ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I have no reason to be optimistic in this god forsaken area called central Ohio when it comes to snow. I’m betting on a ton of rain & then a ton of sleet just like last February’s “monster” LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: I have no reason to be optimistic in this god forsaken area called central Ohio when it comes to snow. I’m betting on a ton of rain & then a ton of sleet just like last February’s “monster” LOL Logically, I feel like it's been a very long time since the RGEM ever scored a coup on anything. You can't trust the NAM at this range, especially when it's making large wobbles. Typically when the GFS caves it does so by now and it hasn't. It's been extremely consistent, and it does a better job in this situation. So, logically, I still see this working out. BUT, it IS central Ohio so I can see this being anything from a sleet fest to rain Wednesday and a sunny day Thursday. Honestly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, JayPSU said: What's your gut say? You've seen more of these here than most of us! I still feel more like this will go in our favor once the changeover hits. The low on the nam travels just south of the Ohio river thru WV. That's not a bad track and the fact that it's a relatively weak low/strong wave, I don't see a ton of warm air being drawn north. Still have the high building in as well. What makes this tough is we are so close to the goods that real time, small, nuances could effect outcome big time. Stuff like convection in the south and intensity of precip. I also think how much of a break in precip between the two shots will have an effect on cold air progression. So to sum up....i have no f'ing clue other then to say I've seen these situation end up both good and bad. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: I have no reason to be optimistic in this god forsaken area called central Ohio when it comes to snow. I’m betting on a ton of rain & then a ton of sleet just like last February’s “monster” LOL ....well I guess we do need someone to cover the pessimism flank. I'm trying to hold on the the optism flank. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 So according to the rgem we have a 1040 high centered in southern MN, and a 1011 wave in southern WV. If someone asked me what that means for us, I'd say we'd be smoking cirrus.... and yet... we're getting an icestorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, buckeye said: ....well I guess we do need someone to cover the pessimism flank. I'm trying to hold on the the optism flank. You know me, I got that covered! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 appears gfs not budging....if anything possible a tick southeast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, buckeye said: appears gfs not budging....if anything possible a tick southeast Just a hair warmer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: You know me, I got that covered! can't wait until tomorrow when the radars are fired up and we start dissecting every hrrr run. You guys remember that one 2 years ago in January. Started off as rain and sleet and was suppose to changeover but it took hours longer than expected. The local meterologists caught all kinds of hell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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