pondo1000 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 19 minutes ago, dilly84 said: For where? Where u live Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Watch every model be wrong and long range hrrr be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 18z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 35 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: Where u live 7.2" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 11 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: Watch every model be wrong and long range hrrr be right Impossible. Where that low is placed we'd get pummeled in Central Ohio. That model makes no sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 NAM coming in very nicely. I wonder how ILN and CLE will respond to this suite of models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 hours ago, buckeye said: the 2 models I think worth watching the most now are the rgem and the nam, both of those at 18z came in pretty nice for our area. Is 0z rgem out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, pondo1000 said: Is 0z rgem out yet? No it runs after the NAM suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoachLB said: No it runs after the NAM suit. Thx!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I think we got nam'd 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Same old comment as always, but I'm rooting for y'all. It would be nice to see a storm truly overperform even if its not imby 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, CoachLB said: No it runs after the NAM suit. Is it out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: Is it out yet? Hrdps looks great. Think it's hi res version of the rgem. Rgem seems to be underdoing qpf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 First call. Will probably need adjustments east or west in the morning. Trends tonight were bumps west. Tight gradients make for ugly maps lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 14 minutes ago, dilly84 said: First call. Will probably need adjustments east or west in the morning. Trends tonight were bumps west. Tight gradients make for ugly maps lol. Good call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, jaf316 said: Good call We'll see. I hate putting anything over 8" cause we always get burned in Ohio lol. Snowing on radar not reaching ground type crap lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaf316 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Someone's gonna get over 8 inches. Juicy system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Shifted back West a little bit on 00z runs of the NAM, Euro, and Canadian models. 00z NAM: 00z Euro: 00z Canadian: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 here’s what I went with. Should do alright but could still see the western fringe being tighter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 EURO gives me 16 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 So far nam and rgem have shifted the heavier precip slightly east. Nam has me on the 8" line still, but barely. Rgem has moved me to the 4" range. What is frustrating is we have about a perfect low placement for a huge snow in Central Ohio. I gotta question if the qpf is being underdone in spots like over towards CMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, dilly84 said: So far nam and rgem have shifted the heavier precip east. Nam has me on the 8" line still, but barely. Rgem has moved me to the 4" range. What is frustrating is we have about a perfect low placement for a huge snow in Central Ohio. I gotta question if the qpf is being underdone in spots like over towards CMH. Coastal robbing us the moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Pondo 1 Coach dusting Buck 5.87 (CMH) Steve 4 Jay 5 Jaf 4.2 Vesp 5 Dilly 7.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, pondo1000 said: Coastal robbing us the moisture? That's what it looks like. Low riding the coast, then the low moves further inland at hr 21 from Philadelphia to Gettysburg then moves north through State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, dilly84 said: That's what it looks like. Low riding the coast, then the low moves further inland at hr 21 from Philadelphia to Gettysburg then moves north through State College. Wonder how much more we'll lose out through today. Obviously I'm farther north and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: Wonder how much more we'll lose out through today. Obviously I'm farther north and east. Literally looks like an apps runner, which is normally perfect for Central Ohio. BUT, I digress. May have to drop my totals a tad. I have a feeling it'll over perform, but based on 12z models so far it appears it's the moisture part is weaker. 981mb low setting in State College I'd think we'd be get hammered on models but.. here we are. If this image doesn't frustrate you, nothing will lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 fire up the radar time....yes, Im still feeling optimistic for Columbus area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, buckeye said: fire up the radar time....yes, Im still feeling optimistic for Columbus area Was wondering if optimistic Buckeye was still going to be around today. Admire you truly riding this one til the end!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Final. Obvious hoping for over performance in the 2-4 - 4-6" area, but models aren't showing it. I just feel like the moisture shield isn't far enough west based on the low position. All we can do now is watch and hope there isn't a massive dry slot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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