Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,163
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    happyclam13
    Newest Member
    happyclam13
    Joined

“Let’s Talk Winter”


Steve
 Share

Recommended Posts

  On 1/26/2022 at 4:37 PM, jbcmh81 said:

And... it's gone.

Expand  

Fully expected to see that. Once this trough exists stage right, we're gonna go from being fringed east to being on the warm side of cutters.  The new pattern is probably going to favor western sub unless we can get back to back storms with the second riding the displaced baroclinic zone.  Probably more of an icy setup too if that happens.   

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/27/2022 at 6:45 PM, LakeEffectOH said:

Looks like Weatherbell is under an ECWA (East Coast Weenie Attack). :lmao:  Site is running very slow...

Expand  

Heard from another post that JB's folks both died at the same time last Wednesday.   Turned out to be true.  I wonder how that happens?   Pretty rough stuff, I wonder if he's taking a hiatus.

  • Sad 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/27/2022 at 9:35 PM, buckeye said:

Heard from another post that JB's folks both died at the same time last Wednesday.   Turned out to be true.  I wonder how that happens?   Pretty rough stuff, I wonder if he's taking a hiatus.

Expand  

That’s awful. He has posted something weather related on his Twitter as recent as yesterday. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't hate where we sit right now.   All models are converging on the general idea of a positively tilted trough and hanging energy back in the sw.  Trends would probably favor stronger northern stream in a la nina.   Details of where the zone sets up, how much energy ejects, the strength of the low and whether it's 1 or 2 pieces are all things the models aren't going to get a handle on for a few days.   But we are in the game at least.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/28/2022 at 4:32 PM, buckeye said:

I don't hate where we sit right now.   All models are converging on the general idea of a positively tilted trough and hanging energy back in the sw.  Trends would probably favor stronger northern stream in a la nina.   Details of where the zone sets up, how much energy ejects, the strength of the low and whether it's 1 or 2 pieces are all things the models aren't going to get a handle on for a few days.   But we are in the game at least.

 

Expand  

2 pieces with a more eastern track with the second would be our best bet imo. Obviously hard to trust models with the big dog crushing the NE this weekend. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/28/2022 at 4:43 PM, Gino27 said:

2 pieces with a more eastern track with the second would be our best bet imo. Obviously hard to trust models with the big dog crushing the NE this weekend. 

Expand  

Seems like it's pushing back in time.  This was originally a Monday Tuesday  event now it's next Wednesday Thursday.    

The icon does what you're referring to with two storms.   The ggem is more like the gfs with us mostly rain.  144 hrs out has a low over cle.   

We got a long way to go with a lot of model head fakes ahead,  good and bad.

Today's mjo is now going from cod right into phase 3 which is the coldest phase.  Hopefully that translates into more bullying from the north.

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

150 hrs out....    doubt this is how it ends up.   Then again the low could end up over Indy by then:ph34r:  

actually still feeling good to score something out of this in spite of the op runs.    

150.jpg.0311d7b4f5c01e10792f452f8034e622.jpg

It'll be interesting to see if the euro does that thing where it goes east at 00z and west at 12z.   Seems to do that for some reason.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/28/2022 at 6:51 PM, buckeye said:

150 hrs out....    doubt this is how it ends up.   Then again the low could end up over Indy by then:ph34r:  

actually still feeling good to score something out of this in spite of the op runs.    

150.jpg.0311d7b4f5c01e10792f452f8034e622.jpg

It'll be interesting to see if the euro does that thing where it goes east at 00z and west at 12z.   Seems to do that for some reason.

Expand  

It really has seemed it’s been doing that for a few years now. Weird.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/28/2022 at 8:19 PM, dilly84 said:

Comical seeing tons of posts on Facebook about a "significant winter Storm for 9hio next wednesday" then people wonder why Mets are laughed at. The smart thing to do would be to wait til the one system is gone to have a better handle where the low will actually go.

Expand  

You referring to the coastal storm.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 1/28/2022 at 6:51 PM, buckeye said:

150 hrs out....    doubt this is how it ends up.   Then again the low could end up over Indy by then:ph34r:  

actually still feeling good to score something out of this in spite of the op runs.    

150.jpg.0311d7b4f5c01e10792f452f8034e622.jpg

It'll be interesting to see if the euro does that thing where it goes east at 00z and west at 12z.   Seems to do that for some reason.

Expand  

Yup, theory holds, it’ll be interesting to see what 12z does today.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...