J.Spin Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Event totals: 4.0” Snow/0.10” L.E. These above totals should be it for this event – the streamers seemed to wind down last night around 1:00 A.M. and the sky is just partly cloudy now. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.6 inches New Liquid: 0.01 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 60.0 Snow Density: 1.7% H2O Temperature: 21.7 F Sky: Partly Cloudy Snow at the stake: 2.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 An inch of fluff overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 8 hours ago, PhineasC said: Snowed here all day and amounted to a dusting. This stuff has no water in it. Because it's fake snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because it's fake snow. Which is still much more than you've had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Just now, mreaves said: Which is still much more than you've had That really bothers you guys, doesn't it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: That really bothers you guys, doesn't it. Not as much as it bothers you guys 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 It was beautiful this morning. All the individual flakes gently stacked with no compression. And they sparkled like diamonds. I went to go do a quick shovel and I opened the door to my front porch and the little air current I created by opening the door cleared half the deck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 40 minutes ago, mreaves said: Not as much as it bothers you guys Nah, not me anyways. Maybe a few others...I just think it's funny. It's like Ray calling it an ocean effect CJ when i get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 13 hours ago, J.Spin said: LOL, yea, that’s apparently been the latest weenie attempt at a pejorative for the mountain climates. The whole effort is obvious, but whatever helps entertain them through the drudgery I guess. Fake snow and fake cold. Except the fake snow looks great and the skis slide over it nicely. And the battery in my pickup doesn't realize the cold is fake when I start the vehicle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 24, 2021 Author Share Posted November 24, 2021 12z 3k looks really healthy for our weekend event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MRVexpat Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 24 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 12z 3k looks really healthy for our weekend event. lo-res NAM nasomuch. GFS coming back online as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 24, 2021 Author Share Posted November 24, 2021 Just now, MRVexpat said: lo-res NAM nasomuch. GFS coming back online as well Seems the higher-end solutions depend on a low popping in the GOM and curving back as it heads NE. That enhances the synoptic and upslope components. 00z Euro last night had this, along with the 12z 3k and 12z GFS. We will see if the 12z Euro does it. The difference between a 2-4 deal and maybe 8+ in spots? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Its to bad this one wouldn't pop under SNE then pivot, Just a touch to far north for the southern parts of NNE on friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 That’s a lot of QPF into the peaks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 I'll take all the fake snow I can get. If it looks like snow and feels like snow, it's fine by me. Heck I'd have region wide snowmaking if we could lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 24, 2021 Author Share Posted November 24, 2021 12z Euro looks really nice for Fri-Sun period. Also dumps Mon and Tue but that is a coastal deal that is likely to shift a lot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 C.Lahiff crushing the AFD this afternoon. “Honing in on the main upslope event which goal posts Friday afternoon through the first half of Saturday with the bulk of it really being through sunrise Saturday. In collaboration with WPC today diagnosing the 12Z models, we`ve disregarded the latest NAM output with little run to run consistency which seems to not handle the strong downstream blocking as well as the global models are. Leaning more on the GFS/ECMWF, the close northeast proximity of the surface to mid-level circulation and moist wraparound ascent continues to favor the upslope regions of the Adirondacks and more impressively in the north-central Greens and the NE Kingdom where Froude values are near critical. Once the sun sets, we should see snow accumulations make it to the valley floor with 1-2"/hr rates across the higher terrain through the night. Additionally, gusty winds continue to look likely overnight into Saturday as cold advection aloft will maintain well-mixed conditions with the potential for gusts up to 25-35 mph. Poor travel conditions will be likely in many areas with snow and blowing snow, especially over the mountain gap roads. As far as snow totals go, there remains a high likelihood for 12-18" along the spine of the Greens from Mt. Ellen to Mansfield to Jay Peak with 6+" possible along the western slopes of the Adirondacks and eastern Addison/Chittenden/Franklin counties of Vermont as well as portions of the Northeast Kingdom. Given the jump back upward in QPF with the 12Z model cycle, collaboration with WPC and GYX leads us to hold off on any watches at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 24, 2021 Author Share Posted November 24, 2021 Both 18z NAMs look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 2 hours ago, PhineasC said: Both 18z NAMs look good. 12k beefed up a bit, which is good to see. The 3k is always hilarious because of its undying affection for orographic lift. I mean weenie maps printed out 16-20 for SVT at high elevations. Personally for me here 1-2" is a win IMBY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 24, 2021 Author Share Posted November 24, 2021 Yeah, according to the 3k Mt Washington averages about 2000 inches a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 The 3km NAM… that’s a pretty big change on the scale of the event, ha. Just as I preach large changes are not as easy in upslope events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 Both NAMs seem to let the low escape east very quickly. Hopefully just a burp like 12z was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 It's the RGEM, but it juiced up from 18z, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 00z GFS looks good for the upslope deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Fyi, I got home to MA last night and a WSW was hoisted...as we thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Happy Thanksgiving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Happy Thanksgiving! Enjoy the fake snow. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 The 00z NAMs were just a burp, 06z looked good. All models overnight looked great, really. All systems go. Hoping for 6-8" here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 And yes I am jelly, but hopefully a kick start to ski season. We joke about the fake. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 Happy Thanksgiving Everyone! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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