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NNE Cold Season Thread 2021/2022


PhineasC
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7 hours ago, bwt3650 said:

Classic upslope enhancement all week with these little clipper disturbances...good call by @Ginx snewx a week or so ago.  Like the way it should be in the northern greens.  Enjoy your laps, bro.  I’m not back for another couple weeks, but pattern doesn’t look terrible through mid-month for us.

Thanks the look was there. Enjoy man miss being up North this time of year 

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Crazy times for the Stowe snow crew. 

Forecast for Mount Mansfield at 3,747 feet.

Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around -9. Wind chill values as low as -38. Windy, with a northwest wind 29 to 36 mph.
Friday
Scattered snow showers, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 12. Wind chill values as low as -38. Windy, with a west wind 26 to 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Friday Night
Scattered snow showers, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7. Wind chill values as low as -14. Windy, with a northwest wind 29 to 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Saturday
Increasing clouds, with a high near 24. Wind chill values as low as -14. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph.
Saturday Night
A chance of snow showers and sleet before 3am, then a chance of sleet between 3am and 4am, then rain or freezing rain likely after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Very windy, with a southwest wind 23 to 33 mph increasing to 45 to 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Sunday
Showers, mainly before 1pm. High near 46. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind 49 to 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Showers likely before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Strong and damaging winds, with a west wind 55 to 60 mph decreasing to 46 to 51 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
A chance of snow showers before 1pm, then snow likely after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 28. Very windy, with a northwest wind 35 to 45 mph decreasing to 13 to 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Snow likely before 1am, then a chance of snow showers after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 21. Northwest wind 7 to 16 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A 40 percent chance of snow showers before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 24. Windy, with a southeast wind 24 to 29 mph becoming south 34 to 39 mph.
 
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Event totals: 3.8” Snow/0.15” L.E.

 

Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations:

New Snow: 1.6 inches

New Liquid: 0.03 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 53.3

Snow Density: 1.9% H2O

Temperature: 12.7 F

Sky: Partly Cloudy

Snow at the stake: 15.0 inches

 

The above totals should mark the end of this event, but there are apparently more in the storm queue: some models show a little something tonight, then there’s a rapidly moving shortwave dropping in from the northwest tomorrow night, then a larger system moving into the area on Saturday night, and yet another potential system in the Tuesday timeframe.

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1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Crazy times for the Stowe snow crew. 

Forecast for Mount Mansfield at 3,747 feet.

Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around -9. Wind chill values as low as -38. Windy, with a northwest wind 29 to 36 mph.
Friday
Scattered snow showers, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 12. Wind chill values as low as -38. Windy, with a west wind 26 to 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Friday Night
Scattered snow showers, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7. Wind chill values as low as -14. Windy, with a northwest wind 29 to 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Saturday
Increasing clouds, with a high near 24. Wind chill values as low as -14. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph.
Saturday Night
A chance of snow showers and sleet before 3am, then a chance of sleet between 3am and 4am, then rain or freezing rain likely after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Very windy, with a southwest wind 23 to 33 mph increasing to 45 to 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Sunday
Showers, mainly before 1pm. High near 46. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind 49 to 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Showers likely before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Strong and damaging winds, with a west wind 55 to 60 mph decreasing to 46 to 51 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
A chance of snow showers before 1pm, then snow likely after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 28. Very windy, with a northwest wind 35 to 45 mph decreasing to 13 to 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Snow likely before 1am, then a chance of snow showers after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 21. Northwest wind 7 to 16 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A 40 percent chance of snow showers before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 24. Windy, with a southeast wind 24 to 29 mph becoming south 34 to 39 mph.
 

Can't get any more NNE than that.  Sub-zero with wind chills to -40F, then temps of 45-50F with rain, then back cold again with snow chances.  High winds are certain when those type of environmental changes are occurring.  Get a lot of wind with the warm front and a lot of wind with the cold front.

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1 hour ago, Froude said:

Love these midweek specials. It felt like it should out in the Greens this morning... lingering upslope and sun filtering through. We both had work to do but it's one of those winters where you have to take advantage.

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It's so true.  These are the best snows.  These cycles always make me dislike the big hyped up storms even more.  It's been special.

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As I posted elsewhere...

Yet another powder day in a week full of them. We can call it "Mansfield Magic" or the "Jay Cloud" or whatever local hill term you want to use... but these last 7 days have been the Northern Green Mountains doing what they do best. From 32" at the Mansfield Stake to close to 60" in the course of 7-8 days, mostly "under the radar" so to speak.

The Spine turns a series of weak low pressure systems, clippers, or frontal passages into a powder party that lasts for days. No big Winter Storm Warnings, Weather Channel named storms, or week-long internet chatter about an upcoming snowstorm leading to massive humanity-wide FOMO. They sneak in, fluff out, then move on before the next not-a-storm system moves in as a blip on the radar.

I love these weather patterns that we just experienced. Yes, the forecast is not great for Sunday/Sunday Night, but I'm glad we just had a classic cycle. Just to remember why we love these mountains.

Here's G.P. enjoying the powder (hooting during most of this) and somehow getting down the hill only making left turns.

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Even down at 1500ft saw 6" from this little system.  After about the same amount the day before with that weak system.

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The Mansfield Stake was getting very close to 5 feet of depth... quite the increase from the 32" reading last week.  A good two foot rise in snowpack up there, even with settling and wind compaction.

1228335867_MansfieldStakeMarch3.thumb.jpg.da866a0064e35ebbba5bbaaab9b51641.jpg

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On 3/2/2022 at 8:06 PM, powderfreak said:

The mountain is duffed out.  The fake snow adds up and leads to fantastic skiing.  Today was high-end fun after yet another solid performer from Ma Nature.

It's short lived this year, but fun to see the Mansfield magic finally come through after a number of imposter systems this season.  The Alberta Clipper parade can be a good pattern in these parts it lines up.

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275152265_10104745217597760_412292334490

 

one of those dudes looks like pj

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Holy heck it was cold today. And the wind was raging. Every gust created a ground blizzard. Tonight I drove through the Notch and met a friend for dinner at Delaneys Hole in the Wall. Had wanted to do Moat Mtn Brewery but they are closed wed/thur. On the way home, I had to drive through 3-4 ground blizzards coming back up the notch. Complete whiteout, 0 visibility. Kinda scary

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17 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

Holy heck it was cold today. And the wind was raging. Every gust created a ground blizzard. Tonight I drove through the Notch and met a friend for dinner at Delaneys Hole in the Wall. Had wanted to do Moat Mtn Brewery but they are closed wed/thur. On the way home, I had to drive through 3-4 ground blizzards coming back up the notch. Complete whiteout, 0 visibility. Kinda scary

Yeah definitely felt cold on the mountain today. 

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21 hours ago, tamarack said:

NNE will probably get slammed Monday into Tuesday.  I have to be at Maine Med at 6:30 Tuesday (ablation procedure, to address my a-fib) and we're overnighting a mile away rather than doing the 2-hour drive that morning.

Two clippers, 4.5", thanks to 1.5" overnight.  Surprised that LEW got so much, as cocorahs showed 6-8" in midcoast locales (Lincoln/Knox Counties) but mostly 4" or less elsewhere.

Good Luck Tom!

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2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Another SWFE. Been a good winter for those. 

Yes, And we finally got some clippers too, May not affect you as much there but when these hit the GOM, They tend to blow up in time back here but most of the time its from mid coast on, Nice to see.

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27 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yes, And we finally got some clippers too, May not affect you as much there but when these hit the GOM, They tend to blow up in time back here but most of the time its from mid coast on, Nice to see.

Yeah, both of the little clippers this week did well here.

I have received 21" since the back to back warm rainers here so it's been wintry, no doubt. The snow after the SWFE on 25 Feb has been kinda ephemeral though. Powderpuff stuff that measures well but quickly flattens out to much less.

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Two steps backward, three steps forward, one step backward?  It's hard to stay in the basement for long, that was a nice little run of powder over the past 8 days.  Now we take a step back but always onward and upward in the mean.

Deepest mountain snowpack of the season for sure, as one would expect in early March.  What a day out there today, sunshine and packed powder.

1879186853_March4.thumb.jpg.e83f60d891061fd24555e577dd99ba59.jpg

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45 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Two steps backward, three steps forward, one step backward?  It's hard to stay in the basement for long, that was a nice little run of powder over the past 8 days.  Now we take a step back but always onward and upward in the mean.

Deepest mountain snowpack of the season for sure, as one would expect in early March.  What a day out there today, sunshine and packed powder.

1879186853_March4.thumb.jpg.e83f60d891061fd24555e577dd99ba59.jpg

Doesn't look like you take too hard a hit and probably recover it next week.

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4 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Two steps backward, three steps forward, one step backward?  It's hard to stay in the basement for long, that was a nice little run of powder over the past 8 days.  Now we take a step back but always onward and upward in the mean.

Deepest mountain snowpack of the season for sure, as one would expect in early March.  What a day out there today, sunshine and packed powder.

1879186853_March4.thumb.jpg.e83f60d891061fd24555e577dd99ba59.jpg

I have to say, it’s amazing how icy the ski trails are in spite of all that powder. Love everything about Stowe but it’s about there with Cannon for ice, it seems!

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3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

The funny part will be worrying about suppression in that one and then having it rain again to Canada.  Some of these runs are pretty amped all the sudden.

I think we will be OK. May be a little less generous region-wide than the typical SWFE. But a shift back south would not be shocking either. Still a long way to go.

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3 hours ago, alex said:

I have to say, it’s amazing how icy the ski trails are in spite of all that powder. Love everything about Stowe but it’s about there with Cannon for ice, it seems!

We ice.  Maybe we are just used to it lol.  It’s blue ice under there... my most terrifying turns of the season were down through the "Nosedive turns" on literal blue ice last week en route to woods shots that harbored knee deep blower.  It was two of the most extreme condition types... from holding on for dear life to oh my god hoot and hollar this is good.  Jay Peak is known to be similar, Whiteface, Cannon, Sugarloaf.  It’s about knowing where to go, too. Use trails to get to woods. I don't know if it's the wide open, steeper pitches exposed to wind or what but there are definitely hills where trails seem firmer than others.  If it requires winch grooming there’s a lot of skidding skiers and snow pushed downhill.  I've never skied BW but from what I've seen from the base area, it looks pretty similar to Okemo.... and both are usually tops of the charts in snow quality.

This is a different experience for sure than 2pm on Nosedive when the upper turns are blue ice.

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12 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

I think we will be OK. May be a little less generous region-wide than the typical SWFE. But a shift back south would not be shocking either. Still a long way to go.

Hopefully, it’ll be close and hopefully it doesn’t get any stronger to amp up.  Could be messy ZR/IP too.

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