nw baltimore wx Posted November 5, 2021 Share Posted November 5, 2021 Looks like Richmond didn't make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 5, 2021 Share Posted November 5, 2021 Nope, 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 35/31 at RIC at 4am... probably last chance for a freeze for at least another ten days if RIC doesn't make it tonight ETA: Still 35/31 at 5am. DCA is 36/30... so looks like the wait for both DCA and RIC continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 6, 2021 Author Share Posted November 6, 2021 DCA down to 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 32 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: DCA down to 34. I like how everyone around DCA is CLEAR in the 7am report but DCA is mostly cloudy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 6, 2021 Author Share Posted November 6, 2021 34 at RIC and DCA. Going to have to wait 7-10 days for another shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 6, 2021 Author Share Posted November 6, 2021 @nw baltimore wx hit BWI exactly. @BristowWx, @RIC Airport, and @yoda missed BWI by 1. @nw baltimore wx and @RIC Airport clearly in the lead now. Both are going to miss RIC (11/4 and 11/6, respectively), but they have a wide gap on DCA (11/30 and 11/15). I think @mappy, @yoda, and @tplbge also have a shot depending on when RIC and DCA hit. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 Too bad the most recent cold didn’t time better with daylight savings. Richmond would have probably made it with the extra hour of night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 13, 2021 Share Posted November 13, 2021 DCA won’t radiate out overnight to 32 but if winds can stay 10mph thru sunrise Sunday it will hit 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 13, 2021 Share Posted November 13, 2021 On 10/3/2021 at 5:41 PM, MN Transplant said: DCA: 11/14 IAD: 10/27 BWI: 11/14 RIC: 11/14 Tiebreaker: 0.89” Could use a miracle tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2021 Share Posted November 14, 2021 10 hours ago, MN Transplant said: Could use a miracle tonight. 35/27 at 3am at DCA... but SW winds... going to be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2021 Share Posted November 14, 2021 RIC is 31 at 4AM... was also 31 at 3am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2021 Share Posted November 14, 2021 50 minutes ago, yoda said: 35/27 at 3am at DCA... but SW winds... going to be close Still 35/27 at 4am with S5 winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2021 Share Posted November 14, 2021 34/27 at 5am and 6am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2021 Share Posted November 14, 2021 That S/SW wind around 5mph all night long kept DCA from reaching 32... sorry @MN Transplant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 14, 2021 Share Posted November 14, 2021 1 hour ago, yoda said: That S/SW wind around 5mph all night long kept DCA from reaching 32... sorry @MN Transplant Yeah, was always a long shot with a marginal airmass. 33.3 here for the low on the season so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 DCA tried really hard even with south component RIC did make it and I think I had like 11/13 for both, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 15, 2021 Author Share Posted November 15, 2021 An interesting end to the contest awaits. If DCA gets to freezing tomorrow morning, @RIC Airport will win. @yoda will win if DCA waits to Saturday, while @mappy will win if it's next Wednesday. I tested those dates based on today's 12z GFS, but a lot of variance here with a big swing in results. Actually, our group MEAN forecast will actually win for the later 2 dates (Saturday and next Wednesday and probably most dates in between). 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 16, 2021 Author Share Posted November 16, 2021 Lol DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 16, 2021 Share Posted November 16, 2021 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Lol DCA If IAD is only going to 31 on a clear calm night, DCA doesn’t stand a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 On 11/15/2021 at 5:04 PM, WxUSAF said: An interesting end to the contest awaits. If DCA gets to freezing tomorrow morning, @RIC Airport will win. @yoda will win if DCA waits to Saturday, while @mappy will win if it's next Wednesday. I tested those dates based on today's 12z GFS, but a lot of variance here with a big swing in results. Actually, our group MEAN forecast will actually win for the later 2 dates (Saturday and next Wednesday and probably most dates in between). Friday night will do it. I have foreseen it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 Looks like it's 35 right now at DCA I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 1 hour ago, yoda said: Looks like it's 35 right now at DCA I think 34... come on DCA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 3 hours ago, yoda said: 34... come on DCA! 33... come on... just one more degree DCA... you can do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 On 11/15/2021 at 5:04 PM, WxUSAF said: An interesting end to the contest awaits. If DCA gets to freezing tomorrow morning, @RIC Airport will win. @yoda will win if DCA waits to Saturday, while @mappy will win if it's next Wednesday. I tested those dates based on today's 12z GFS, but a lot of variance here with a big swing in results. Actually, our group MEAN forecast will actually win for the later 2 dates (Saturday and next Wednesday and probably most dates in between). DCA is 33 right now... so it's close lol If it's Monday night or Tuesday night... does @mappy win or do I? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 20, 2021 Author Share Posted November 20, 2021 Lol DCA. Didn’t get there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 @WxUSAF would know better than me, but if DCA finally dips to freezing tomorrow morning, I think @wxdude64 would sneak in for the win. If it's not until Wednesday morning, then @mappy wins. And finally, in the unlikely event that the corn dust shield holds up until the weekend or our locked-in clipper early next week, then it's drinks on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 22, 2021 Author Share Posted November 22, 2021 Oh, good catch. @wxdude64 would win and @mappy and @yodawould tie for 2nd. Our mean forecast would actually win by 4 days though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Come on DCA! Only get to 33 tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Oh, good catch. @wxdude64 would win and @mappy and @yodawould tie for 2nd. Our mean forecast would actually win by 4 days though! Your spreadsheet is cool. I didn’t know about datedif. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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