MJO812 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol at the GFS. Might be a possibility with the pattern getting favorable for November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Might be a possibility with the pattern getting favorable for November Sell hard right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 29 minutes ago, tamarack said: Color me still stupid, as the "normals" are 30-year "averages". However I agree that medians are more valuable than averages, especially in smaller sample sizes. Don't get me wrong.....there's value in knowing the mean, but to view that as the sole arbiter of 'normal' would be problematic. If you did, very few days would be "normal". The vast majority would be either above or below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Sell hard right now. It’s also giving clown solutions from Temps barely supportive of snow. Hard sell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Experienced first frost down the hill this morning. Nada toward the top at the Pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Experienced first frost down the hill this morning. Nada toward the top at the Pit. No frost at the pit, but frost when you went down the hill to a pit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s also giving clown solutions from Temps barely supportive of snow. Hard sell. Just looked for the first time in quite some time at a model and it was very marginal on temps thats why i made the comment as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Interesting to see the different traces between sites nearby based on how tucked into the valley they can get. Some sites as low as 25F locally. Others barely below freezing just a few hundred feet higher. Seeing how different elevations react to the cooling with the T/Td separation. Three sites going down in elevation around the Village: 1200ft… barely below freezing, can see temp/dew separation. 800ft much colder at 27F right on the edge of shallow inversion. Then 755ft along river just fully under the inversion and an ice box to 25F. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 There is a tropical low off the east coast right now . Nhc gives it a 10 percent chance of developing. This interacts with the incoming low to enhance the rainfall in the east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 First frost here, got down to 32.5F 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 He’s coming for some 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Euro has 3-6 inches of rain for the first system in sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 36F this morning..first 30s of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Low of 38.9 here. First sub 40 low since April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 24, 2021 Author Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 40.3 up on my "hill" 34F down in TAN "hollow" Got down to 32.5 at my place...going to assume there was a frost, but not there to verify. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Got down to 32.5 at my place...going to assume there was a frost, but not there to verify. Your lawn is a savanna right now. The top of the blades are tickling your temp sensor. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: He’s coming for some Hoping for a little dry air to work in from Maine up here to minimize the rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Hoping for a little dry air to work in from Maine up here to minimize the rain. Just want something exciting. Maybe we can liquid deform Northfield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Light frost here. Rooftops and car windshields. Beauty of a day for a while 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Man another sign I’m getting older. Absolutely hate that it’s dark by 6pm. Was grilling the other night with a flash light. Hate to see it. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man another sign I’m getting older. Absolutely hate that it’s dark by 6pm. Was grilling the other night with a flash light. Hate to see it. Yea I hate that too. Although the kids tend to get tired earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 I’m two weeks it will be dark by 5 Im wondering how my brain would cope if I ever moved to Iceland. The winters there are really dark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 55 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m two weeks it will be dark by 5 Im wondering how my brain would cope if I ever moved to Iceland. The winters there are really dark But the summers make up for it, you can golf at midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Man another sign I’m getting older. Absolutely hate that it’s dark by 6pm. Was grilling the other night with a flash light. Hate to see it. I don’t know if that’s an age thing unless you love darkness as a child, or loved living in mom’s basement with heavy drapes over the small windows. I’ve always hated the early darkness… 3 months ago one could start going on a 2-3 hour hike after 6pm and have plenty of light, ha. Wish we could get winter cold/snow with summer solar hours. Ski outside until 9pm lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Man another sign I’m getting older. Absolutely hate that it’s dark by 6pm. Was grilling the other night with a flash light. Hate to see it. My girlfriend hates it too. For some reason that never bothers me..I always kind of liked it getting darker earlier as we progress through late summer and autumn. But I can completely understand why it bothers some folks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Man another sign I’m getting older. Absolutely hate that it’s dark by 6pm. Was grilling the other night with a flash light. Hate to see it.Get a good headlamp. Much better. I grill all winter. Sent from my SM-A505U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Got to 36 here. Do not know the frost status as it was 50 when I got out of bed 40 minutes ago. Gorgeous day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Man another sign I’m getting older. Absolutely hate that it’s dark by 6pm. Was grilling the other night with a flash light. Hate to see it. It’s one of the only things to dislike about autumn/winter in New England. Not a fan of leaving work at a normal time and it’s dark already, especially when things move to standard time in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Subtle trends to ablate the higher QPF as this crosses now into the outer short range. Also, more than subtle trend in the American guidance to suppress the latitude just enough to spare the region the heaviest combination of wind and QP numbers... The 12z GFS really only misty rains and winds the region with the heaviest CCB core banding just clipping SE zones. I will draw attention that this is a west limb -NAO regime we are in during this thing, so a southern corrections are plausible. Even the Euro's hour 84 pivot SE - rather new in that guidance ... - may be a nod. We are also still in new version/release ... hm.. This may end up being a pedestrian impactor. Also, bearing in mind, big ticket phenomenon being normalized heading into short terms is an issue all guidance seem to have trouble with - it's been very noticeable over the past 5 years to the extent where it is almost dependable .. you wack some 30% off the top 'magnificence' of these D7 juggernauts - based purely on that rather dependable error, having this coastal/off-shore storm system end up a little weaker than the Euro 968 mb low from two days ago ...might not be a bad expectation, either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 24, 2021 Share Posted October 24, 2021 Uncle a complete deluge in eastern areas. CMC targets NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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