CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 One of these storms will produce the classic October flooder I think. Cold season dynamics with warm season leftover PWATs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Disaster of a week. Enjoy this weekend. Any theories on why the last week of Oct has these epic storms year after year. Tomorrow is 4 years since the big time wind storm of 17. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 You know ...now that I take closer look at the D4 synopsis off the Euro, that has an autumn- style synoptic severe potential. That 850 warm front is up to central NE...and the pressure contours actually suggest that the surface boundary might be displace N of the 500 mb trough amplitude ...situating SSW of NYC. Unusual for this time of year ... but that would supply sick helicity stress through the entire SNE column and doing with destablizing mid level lapse rates - with that 500 mb core as it approaches... Nice - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: You know ...now that I take closer look at the D4 synopsis off the Euro, that has an autumn- style synoptic severe potential. That 850 warm front is up to central NE...and the pressure contours actually suggest that the surface boundary might be displace N of the 500 mb trough amplitude ...situating SSW of NYC. Unusual for this time of year ... but that would supply sick helicity stress through the entire SNE column and doing with destablizing mid level lapse rates - with that 500 mb core as it approaches... Nice - Wind damage. Walt noted it for n morning post here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 22 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I’m not sure about your area but I’m thinking next week won’t be that bad in the deep interior. Should get a few days near 60F. Go out in between the raindrops. You’re also getting soaked I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Frost advisory Saturday night into early Sunday... bye bye bugs! Hopefully... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wind damage. Walt noted it for n morning post here Walt ... oh Walter Drag ... haha, I just saw "Drag files here to attach, or choose files..." and coincidentally that reminded me of who you meant - weird. well I agree then But the GFS ( fwiw - ) has the warm front pinned to the S with a cad signature - also possible. But southern CT/RI down to NYC could be gunnin' in that GFS. The thing is, if the warm front does get to southern VT/NH, then a 500 mb vort goes by to the south, that's a wild few hours for the interior. Only D4 isn't the worst range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Walt ... oh Walter Drag ... haha, I just saw "Drag files here to attach, or choose files..." and coincidentally that reminded me of who you meant - weird. well I agree then But the GFS ( fwiw - ) has the warm front pinned to the S with a cad signature - also possible. But southern CT/RI down to NYC could be gunnin' in that GFS. The thing is, if the warm front does get to southern VT/NH, then a 500 mb vort goes by to the south, that's a wild few hours for the interior. Only D4 isn't the worst range. Let’s pray. If we have to endure an 8-10 days straight of rain. We’d at least better get some type of damage out of the whole shebang . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s pray. If we have to endure an 8-10 days straight of rain. We’d at least better get some type of damage out of the whole shebang . Personally ...i'd settle for excitement and entertaining events and not so much for the damage. Ones priorities change when they maintain a mortgage heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wind damage. Walt noted it for n morning post here 12z euro isn’t wind damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Any theories on why the last week of Oct has these epic storms year after year. Tomorrow is 4 years since the big time wind storm of 17. Well chances are last 10 days of month have something. We didn’t get anything exciting last year. We had snow, but this wasn’t from a doozy of a low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Potentially could have hydro concerns somewhere in the northeast. Vegetation not sucking up water like it used to. Ma Nature gone from suck to blow. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Ma Nature gone from suck to blow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 After this weekend, the party is over. Feel good about saying that. We done. Sure maybe a warm day here or there, but the 70+ stuff is likely gone or isolated after this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: After this weekend, the party is over. Feel good about saying that. We done. Sure maybe a warm day here or there, but the 70+ stuff is likely gone or isolated after this weekend. Can't wait to kill the skeeters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Potentially could have hydro concerns somewhere in the northeast. Vegetation not sucking up water like it used to. Soon as the leaves stop working, drain-off of rain pretty much stops as well. One big rain at this time of year and most logging jobs are on pause until they can work on frozen ground. (Either that or they're tearing up the ground and the roads.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s pray. If we have to endure an 8-10 days straight of rain. We’d at least better get some type of damage out of the whole shebang . Have no clue where in the Sam hell you see 8 to 10 days of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Have no clue where in the Sam hell you see 8 to 10 days of rain. Beer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Go out in between the raindrops. You’re also getting soaked I think. Yeah, I’m expecting rain but I just don’t think the entire week is a disaster as some have alluded to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: After this weekend, the party is over. Feel good about saying that. We done. Sure maybe a warm day here or there, but the 70+ stuff is likely gone or isolated after this weekend. Yup but October is still an above normal lock. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
met_fan Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 LOL it sounds like DE really hurt you bad, man.That was a lot…Rehoboth area is great for the beach…go every year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 25 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yup but October is still an above normal lock. Yep. Just saying pattern going forward. Back to more seasonal stuff. Could see some decent cold shots if Canada can reload after first week of Novie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yup but October is still an above normal lock. Way above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: After this weekend, the party is over. Feel good about saying that. We done. Sure maybe a warm day here or there, but the 70+ stuff is likely gone or isolated after this weekend. Nah. Green trees and lawn mowing thru Turkey day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Even with Kevs 8 to 10 days of rain it won't compare to that Oct 2005 8 day deluge with 14 inches here. That was insane 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Even with Kevs 8 to 10 days of rain it won't compare to that Oct 2005 8 day deluge with 14 inches here. That was insane That was. My old high school in Taunton evacuated from dam collapse fears. That continued into spring 2006 when I was helping the builder I worked for at the time with controlled release of water before a neighborhood built on a cranberry big flooded. The ****ing dam was held together by aluminum slats vibrating in water from the pressure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: 12z euro isn’t wind damage According to Tip it was . Tip > Scooter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Dewy furnace Monday pike south. Snuck up on some forecasters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 As much as I've enjoyed the warm weather, it's nice to start seeing the forecasts "evolve" and mention snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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