Damage In Tolland Posted October 11, 2021 Share Posted October 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, klw said: Google will be directed some interesting ads your way on account of your search for that. Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: Agree with PF, despite the temps the plants are getting really tired now. Tons of chipmunk action. I’m sure they are enjoying these temps. This is time of year I find them dead on my porch, my cat gets busy. I'd prefer he concentrate on the mice who have been shitting in my basement but I guess I'll have to do my part. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 51 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Huh? It would appear from the screenshot that you did a search for the term which is associated with a male genital malformity. Google tends to direct ads based on prior searches and we pages visited. Therefore you can expect to get ads for enlargement, correcting surgeons, etc. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 hour ago, klw said: It would appear from the screenshot that you did a search for the term which is associated with a male genital malformity. Google tends to direct ads based on prior searches and we pages visited. Therefore you can expect to get ads for enlargement, correcting surgeons, etc. Word is, he is interested 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 Euro upgraded today.. Hoping its better for winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 33 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Euro upgraded today.. Hoping its better for winter I like models when we know their existing bias, this “upgrade” adds a little uncertainty for a few months 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 Should easily be +3F by the end of the week MTD. What a great stretch of extended Summer we've had over last 45 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I like models when we know their existing bias, this “upgrade” adds a little uncertainty for a few months If the upgrade helps I’m all for it. The previous version has had uncertainty for awhile now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 What's the simple cliff notes on the upgrade in terms of what changed and results? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What's the simple cliff notes on the upgrade in terms of what changed and results? https://confluence.ecmwf.int/plugins/servlet/mobile?contentId=226510127#content/view/226510127 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: https://confluence.ecmwf.int/plugins/servlet/mobile?contentId=226510127#content/view/226510127 Yeah... I'm wondering if this so called "Integrated Forecasting System (IFS)" is their answer to the U.S.'s "Global Forecast System" .. .but, that sort of 'soft' competition/motivation, if so, isn't really easy to know or determine for obvious reasons. The GFS has the computing power now -all it really needs ( all jokes aside ...almost impossible in this group of malcontents LOL ) is resolution enhancing, and it probably becomes the superior product (..or at least enters that discussion) because it will be a more universally "domained" tool - so ... in that vision/goal, the Euro gets left behind - just going off the philosophy deep end here a little. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 73/54. as nice as it is, I'm ready for some cooler wx 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 What a day! Be nice to get some weekend weather like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 12 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: What a day! Be nice to get some weekend weather like this. Well Christmas is on Saturday this year.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 Can't remember seeing paper wasps out on October 12th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 49 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah... I'm wondering if this so called "Integrated Forecasting System (IFS)" is their answer to the U.S.'s "Global Forecast System" .. .but, that sort of 'soft' competition/motivation, if so, isn't really easy to know or determine for obvious reasons. The GFS has the computing power now -all it really needs ( all jokes aside ...almost impossible in this group of malcontents LOL ) is resolution enhancing, and it probably becomes the superior product (..or at least enters that discussion) because it will be a more universally "domained" tool - so ... in that vision/goal, the Euro gets left behind - just going off the philosophy deep end here a little. ECMWF gets the computer upgrade soon. I think the main problem for the GFS has been data assimilation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Can't remember seeing paper wasps out on October 12th Not just wasps... I have wild flowers over here in the trough of the old easement that's not really being used, and there are lots of honey bees and bumble bees probing in and out of them like it's mid July. Should all slow down post D 6..7 It's a little unclear how far the pendulum may swing, but that looks like a changing of the guard to me around that ~ time frame. We have a multi - teleconnector convergence for a colder eastern continent that's been pretty well advertized... in the American cluster. Though not excessive in SD, the consistency and concerted trajectory among the GEFs members have established +PNA or modality therein, while they are in maintenance mode keepin/ yo-yoing a -NAO to varying SD That...usually drops the legs out of a warmer pattern either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: ECMWF gets the computer upgrade soon. I think the main problem for the GFS has been data assimilation. Yup... totally agree - I said resolution but that's more what I had in mind..heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 71/54. Some high clouds but not a big deal. Let’s get some cold mins in here at least. Part of fall is frosty mornings. Haven’t had anything close to that yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not just wasps... I have wild flowers over here in the trough of the old easement that's not really being used, and there are lots of honey bees and bumble bees probing in and out of them like it's mid July. Should all slow down post D 6..7 It's a little unclear how far the pendulum may swing, but that looks like a changing of the guard to me around that ~ time frame. We have a multi - teleconnector convergence for a colder eastern continent that's been pretty well advertized... in the American cluster. Though not excessive in SD, the consistency and concerted trajectory among the GEFs members have established +PNA or modality therein, while they are in maintenance mode keepin/ yo-yoing a -NAO to varying SD That...usually drops the legs out of a warmer pattern either way. So you’re saying snow is coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 Everyone grows.. north to south .. everyone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 I haven't even had 30s yet and nothing in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 "Frost-able" air mass oscillating in and out begins. Windier side though - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 Despite the warmth the leaves are changing-probably peak in Boston inside of a week which seems dead nuts normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 hour ago, dendrite said: https://confluence.ecmwf.int/plugins/servlet/mobile?contentId=226510127#content/view/226510127 Thanks, yeah the moist process thing is real. It's had some wild PWAT solutions in TX..I think at one point I saw a 4" PWAT modeled lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 Yet ... individual storm/event profiling have been increasingly more proficient 'in bucket' producers. I almost wonder...if by "correcting" for "exaggerated" PWAT ...does that make it more accurate say ...in the means bell-curved events, but now it misses the NJ/Manhattan ..coastal CT rain bombs, or the 40" snow swatch from N of the Cap district of eastern NY to middle NH last December. Once considered freaks ...how many freaks can we sustain before we just admit to a freakshow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 I will say, I enjoy being able to toss the euro. Years ago, when the euro had something at day 5, you paid attn even when other guidance had nothing. But now, when other guidance has nothing and euro shows 2" of rain....we toss. Euro overall is a good model, but the GFS and Canadian, UKMO etc have gotten better. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 Well ... so I guess this next immediate ensuing 12z run has it's novelty for a moment - we'll see what she sells. Either way, that's a weird look out there. The -NAO comes and goes and we are left with a +PNAP that isn't providing any cooling dividends... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 Question.... has any "official" reporting station in New England or for that matter the Northeast reported a 32F for a low yet. I know a few weather stations like Alex's 31.9F have had a touch of frost but anything official? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 12, 2021 Share Posted October 12, 2021 20 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Question.... has any "official" reporting station in New England or for that matter the Northeast reported a 32F for a low yet. I know a few weather stations like Alex's 31.9F have had a touch of frost but anything official? CAR had their first frost (36F or lower) on 9/29, and CON had theirs on 10/1, but no freezes yet. Gonna be an easy frost/freeze program this year for the New England WFOs because by the time we have first frosts and freezes the growing season will officially be over. After this week all but 4 of the 22 climo sites in CT that have published frost/freeze normals will be past their average first freeze date, so I imagine northern New England is weeks behind schedule. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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