October Discussion: Bring the Frost-Hold the Snow

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Pretty much on track in CT. The wet summer is helping the leaves stay greener a tick longer:

https://www.ctvisit.com/articles/connecticut-fall-foliage-report

 

Peak foliage timeframes

The leaves will change in the northern parts of the state first, around Columbus Day, and then move down into the valleys and down toward the shore. Here are estimated peak foliage timeframes for each section:

Connecticut Northwest/Northeast Corners: October 3 – 8

Connecticut Eastern and Western Mid-State Counties: October 16 - 23

Shoreline and lower Connecticut River Valley: October 24 - 30

Southwest Corner: November 7 - 14

[Chrisrotary12]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 

Glad we don't live there.

[powderfreak]

21 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I hate when people do that it cheapens the photo. Doesn't look real anymore.

There's a variety of post processing and fall colors are tough because they are so bright on their own.  Just adjusting the lighting can change things.

Like here's an example from last weekend with only lighting changes.  From an under-exposed photo in an extremely dark rainy day, to a brighter image.  Just adjusting the lighting in the camera or in the post-processing stage makes for a big different.  The full on saturation boost is a bit much but often times shifting even lighting to a more well-rounded exposure can make a big difference.  I play with lighting quite a bit.  I know every other photographer on the planet does too... but the trick is to avoid completely blasting the color out.

[Typhoon Tip]

Record high temperatures increasingly more likely D6 ... 8 ( watching BD of course..) with this new operational Euro, and recent trends culminating. The EPS non-hydrostatic height evolution supports the general theme with a clear R-wave rollout ridge and height anomalies some +2 SD over the span. 

I think it is interesting ( sorry to harp on this ...) because of all months in recent times ...I don't recall/find many Octobers that hosted as many warm records, or at minimum, as many upper tier warm events as we've seen them in every other month.   In fact, many Octobers we've actually been working out eerie cold patterns for the mid and end of month(s)... this seems to be opposite. 

However, I don't believe this will characterize the month. This seems to be happening during a week or so window with relaxing NAO and a lingering -PNA coverging on lifting eastern heights...etc.  But the deeper range may not evolve toward warmer afterwords.  I'd like to point out that in 2011, we had 70 to 76 days for a week through the 10th .. 15th of October, and put up a snow event in the waning days so.. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

24 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Pretty much on track in CT. The wet summer is helping the leaves stay greener a tick longer:

https://www.ctvisit.com/articles/connecticut-fall-foliage-report

 

Peak foliage timeframes

The leaves will change in the northern parts of the state first, around Columbus Day, and then move down into the valleys and down toward the shore. Here are estimated peak foliage timeframes for each section:

Connecticut Northwest/Northeast Corners: October 3 – 8

Connecticut Eastern and Western Mid-State Counties: October 16 - 23

Shoreline and lower Connecticut River Valley: October 24 - 30

Southwest Corner: November 7 - 14

They have it as peak here and in NW CT now.  

Its 70% green 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Just a little sneak preview....here is my preliminary, rough forecast composite for October....looks decent.

 

[CoastalWx]

Pants less today.

[CT Valley Snowman]

55 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Pretty much on track in CT. The wet summer is helping the leaves stay greener a tick longer:

https://www.ctvisit.com/articles/connecticut-fall-foliage-report

 

Peak foliage timeframes

The leaves will change in the northern parts of the state first, around Columbus Day, and then move down into the valleys and down toward the shore. Here are estimated peak foliage timeframes for each section:

Connecticut Northwest/Northeast Corners: October 3 – 8

Connecticut Eastern and Western Mid-State Counties: October 16 - 23

Shoreline and lower Connecticut River Valley: October 24 - 30

Southwest Corner: November 7 - 14

Those are strange timelines, there's basically one week where it's peak nowhere between 9-15.  

 

Based on the way things are progressing I would probably go

Northwest and Northeast Hills October 12- 18

The remainder of interior Connecticut. October 18-26

Shoreline October 26-November 4th

 

[CoastalWx]

Leaves can do what they want, but we're heading into Mowvember.

[PhineasC]

Beautiful day out there. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They have it as peak here and in NW CT now.  

Its 70% green 

Interested how you came up with that number. 

[rclab]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Pants less today.

Good afternoon CW. I imagine that ‘woke’ your surrounding area. If as a result, the forum has an epic cold season, you will be expected to Godiva every 10/06 from now on. As always….

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Pants less today.

You working?

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, kdxken said:

You working?

I was unfortunately.

[Damage In Tolland]

Wet Sunday and Monday enroute. The wet ties continues 

[metagraphica]

Quite the bowling ball....

 

[dryslot]

Looks dry pretty much up here which is good.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

There's a variety of post processing and fall colors are tough because they are so bright on their own.  Just adjusting the lighting can change things.

Like here's an example from last weekend with only lighting changes.  From an under-exposed photo in an extremely dark rainy day, to a brighter image.  Just adjusting the lighting in the camera or in the post-processing stage makes for a big different.  The full on saturation boost is a bit much but often times shifting even lighting to a more well-rounded exposure can make a big difference.  I play with lighting quite a bit.  I know every other photographer on the planet does too... but the trick is to avoid completely blasting the color out.

First fake snow , now fake color 

[Damage In Tolland]

38 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Looks dry pretty much up here which is good.

Watch the north trend .EPS keeps humping and bumping 

 

[DavisStraight]

Starting to see some oranges and reds and yellow, not there yet but the peepers will be out this weekend in Sturbridge.

[powderfreak]

18 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

First fake snow , now fake color 

Fake cold tonight?

[Weather_or_Not]

Mid-June evenings for the foreseeable future. Warm lows should really propel us to a record warm Octoaster.

[dryslot]

[PhineasC]

39 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

First fake snow , now fake color 

There is so much fakery up here I sometimes wonder if I am even real.

[kdxken]

41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Watch the north trend .EPS keeps humping and bumping 

 

I went to the show on Saturday he's not half bad.

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I went to the show on Saturday he's not half bad.

I’m not a big country guy, but his voice is awesome. 

[CoastalWx]

14 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

There is so much fakery up here I sometimes wonder if I am even real.

What is real? How do you define real?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Not peak here of course but really starting to pop. The sky this evening in Barre MA with the foliage was breathtaking.  Sorry no pics 

[CoastalWx]

Maples are popping, but oaks are laughing. Usually they start to have some signs of color...just maybe beginning to show that.

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maples are popping, but oaks are laughing. Usually they start to have some signs of color...just maybe beginning to show that.

Oaks are so lame.  They eventually go brown and then just sit on the branches until November.