BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GEFS: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, BretWx said: GEFS: Incredibly bullish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Incredibly bullish No doubt. It has also been consistent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 NWS forecast from the bottom SE corner of Rutherford to the NW. The actual amounts for Sunday not posted just Saturday night totals. Bottom SE corner Saturday Night A slight chance of rain before 8pm, then snow. Low around 24. Northeast wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Sunday Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 3pm, then snow and sleet likely between 3pm and 4pm, then snow likely after 4pm. High near 30. Blustery, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to 14 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. My area around Bostic Saturday Night A chance of rain before 8pm, then snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Northeast wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Sunday Snow before noon, then snow and sleet between noon and 3pm, then snow likely after 3pm. High near 30. Northeast wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Near Spindale (about 6 miles NWW of Bostic Saturday Night A chance of rain and snow before 8pm, then snow. Low around 23. Northeast wind 5 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Sunday Snow. High near 30. Northeast wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Rutherford Mountain area Saturday Night A chance of rain and snow before 7pm, then snow. Low around 21. Light east northeast wind becoming north northeast 9 to 14 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Sunday Snow. High near 28. North wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 MRX updated my point forecast to show 10-17". Weeeeeee 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GSP still hasn't put accumulation into my point forecast yet except for Saturday night. 4-8" through Sunday morning. I hope it's ripping fatties when I wake up Sunday!Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GSP will probably pull the warning trigger after the EURO/this afternoon's update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: MRX updated my point forecast to show 10-17". Weeeeeee Dude! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, AsheCounty48 said: Nah, keep it up, you're bringing the heat. I would rather he bring the cold, if it’s all the same to the rest of you. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 It’s looking great for almost everyone in the Mnts & Foothills. As for the FBRV snow hole Jason made some great points. I’ve seen it be way overdone by the models with this set up. Not saying it’s not correct but I’m skeptical it will be as dramatic as depicted. As always with SE snowstorms nothing is certain but as far as modeling, setup’s, ect it doesn’t get much better than this!!! Strap in fellas it’s gonna be a wild one.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, calculus1 said: I would rather he bring the cold, if it’s all the same to the rest of you. Hey now, I really will bring out the lights out post (To be fair, the models do actually kinda make home (Monroe) in a bad spot for that, that's why I'm headed up the hill) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 UK 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I just have a feeling this is gonna rack up quickly. With temps in the 20s for the duration of the event, it’s gonna be crazy to watch 12+ hours of snowfall. Definitely something I’ve never seen before. I just checked the NWS hourly forecast grid and it had right at 18” for our area and that’s at around 3200 feet. I’d be fine if half of that occurred. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 NWS still very bullish 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12z EURO Snow breaking out by Midnight Sunday - 31/28 4AM - 28/25 Moderate snow 7AM - HEAVY snow (Southern Mnts - AVL) - 25/22 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10AM - Some ice starts mixing, but back to snow @ 1PM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Another solid euro run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4PM - Light snow across the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Things tapering off around 8PM: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10:1 looks even better but... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, BretWx said: 10:1 looks even better but... Will 10:1 be more accurate with this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Will 10:1 be more accurate with this storm? Kuchera is designed to "always" be more accurate, as it takes into account different ratios, not just have a set 10:1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 EURO trends since Tuesday. SOLID. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The eastern slopes are going to be absolutely buried with upslope flow. I’ll be shocked if there aren’t a few major over performances along the escapement. That’s gotta be a nice treat for folks who typically miss out on NWF 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, BretWx said: EURO trends since Tuesday. SOLID. Just crazy ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 You cannot get no more consistent than what the EURO and the GFS has been the past several days. Impressive for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, BooneWX said: The eastern slopes are going to be absolutely buried with upslope flow. I’ll be shocked if there aren’t a few major over performances along the escapement. That’s gotta be a nice treat for folks who typically miss out on NWF yep thats me! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The Euro looks great and very consistent as others have said. I am going with 6-10 inches here in McDowell (some sleet) with 10-16 above 3k on the escarpment. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, BooneWX said: The eastern slopes are going to be absolutely buried with upslope flow. I’ll be shocked if there aren’t a few major over performances along the escapement. That’s gotta be a nice treat for folks who typically miss out on NWF I may be wrong, but I've always assumed my location is in the escarpment - Maybe it's just my elevation facing East fooling me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, BooneWX said: The eastern slopes are going to be absolutely buried with upslope flow. I’ll be shocked if there aren’t a few major over performances along the escapement. That’s gotta be a nice treat for folks who typically miss out on NWF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now