wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Looking good, CAD really building in 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, wncsnow said: Looking good, CAD really building in A solid 7-8 hours of moderate to heavy snow through HR 51. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 That low JUMPED right over the Apps... Hmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I don't think its handling the transfer well at all 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The dreaded dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Great discussion guys. Yall make me proud. Everything still looks really good. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Lets not forget that it is the NAM... at 50+ hours... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 It still shows a good snow for most of us. Franklin gets nailed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The 3K NAM is anemic for Buncombe County... https://imgur.com/RmF3rsn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, calculus1 said: The 3K NAM is anemic for Buncombe County... [img]https://i.imgur.com/RmF3rsn.png[/img] I wouldn't worry too much about that. Yes there will be a little less precip but it often overdoes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3KM snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Oops. I was looking at 06Z 3K NAM. My bad. I erased my prior posts. Thanks for the new post, @wncsnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, calculus1 said: Less than one inch of snowfall at KAVL is a little more than under-doing it. It's like they will have flurries during the day, but nothing else. Eastern and western parts of the county sill have pink shades, but the French Broad River valley is grayed out on that image. I have seen it do that before only to have it back the next run... And while the models show the valley shadow, they are overzealous with it many times. ... Or, there could be nothing in downtown Asheville. I am hoping that I am enough southwest to pick up a decent snow. We will know when we know I guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Don't start jumping now. It's the NAM at 60hrs. And it's still snowing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 "While the low track along I-95 will allow WAA to cause p-type to transition to rain from snow well inland, this will not be the case in the higher terrain where WPC probabilities for 6 inches are above 70% from near Asheville, NC through the Laurel Highlands of PA, and it is likely many locations will receive more than 1 foot of snow." https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd Mention of 1 foot is probably for the north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Anyone know what models are used for the NWS blend? 12Z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 It's easy to get antsy when you follow these things for so long, but like Met1985 said, the GFS and Euro have been consistent. ... And the end of the day, it's just snow. We are getting a good winter storm, somewhere between acceptable and wow. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, BretWx said: Anyone know what models are used for the NWS blend? 12Z: Not the NAM. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, ncjoaquin said: It's easy to get antsy when you follow these things for so long, but like Met1985 said, the GFS and Euro have been consistent. ... And the end of the day, it's just snow. We are getting a good winter storm, somewhere between acceptable and wow. They have been very solid the past several runs for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: It's easy to get antsy when you follow these things for so long, but like Met1985 said, the GFS and Euro have been consistent. ... And the end of the day, it's just snow. We are getting a good winter storm, somewhere between acceptable and wow. Hell, I was up before the sun the other week outside watching it snow for an hours or so. Thrilled with 1/2 an inch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redteamllc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 30 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: I'm 52 for a couple more months @jburnswill be in here in a minutes laughing at us children needing naps to stay up past bedtime You are only as old as you feel ladies and gentlemen - only as old as you feel. Granted - when winter weather approaches that tends to feel decades younger. May the models ever be in your favor! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 These gusts during the height of the heavy snow Sunday 10AM on the 12k NAM - phew! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 NGL, I'm a tad concerned by all of a sudden sleet and FrZ rain maybe making an impact as well since the original LP is jumping over the mountains so far north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 These gusts during the height of the heavy snow Sunday 10AM on the 12k NAM - phew! Just got a brand new roof put on this week, just in time for these dead trees to fall on it. Hope not, but this map makes me very anxious!Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AshVegas Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 22 minutes ago, BretWx said: Don't start jumping now. It's the NAM at 60hrs. And it's still snowing. From my experience, the snow hole is true but typically only a couple inches less than the surrounding areas. Nothing this extreme. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The NWS didn't change much with their Expected snowfall graphic from 9:30 this morning: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Rgem handles the transfer much better. Definitely a smoother run with the low 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, BretWx said: These gusts during the height of the heavy snow Sunday 10AM on the 12k NAM - phew! I was able to raise my station up higher at my house in hopes of getting a better reading from the N. Hoping to get better reading this go around. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, strongwxnc said: I was able to raise my station up higher at my house in hopes of getting a better reading from the N. Hoping to get better reading this go around. You still in Bostic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 32 minutes ago, BretWx said: Don't start jumping now. It's the NAM at 60hrs. And it's still snowing. That 24” really close to me. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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