Ja643y Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just locked in the trip, driving up the 10 hours to the cabin tomorrow afternoon. I have never seen so much consistency for a single location - the last 6 GFS and last 3 or 4 Euro all printing 14+. I'll take 1/2 of that an no power outages and be super happy! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 You can see the Mountains Amounts so I will post here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 By the way, we’re heading to Black Mountain. For many reasons: Happy wife, happy life. =) Cousins with whom the kids can play in the snow. (Who am I kidding? I will also be playing in the snow.) Pretty much guaranteed snow for the duration of the event. 8-inch floor, according to the graphic posted above. Monumental snowstorm experience. Let’s do this! Can’t wait!Hope it's awesome for all of you! You deserve it!Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 34 with flurries here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 48 hours until go time! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 NAm crushes everyone 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 This is a good run imo. One thing that worries me is that classic and pesky dry slot that keeps showing up consistently. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: NAm crushes everyone Except The Smokies, Graham,Swain and Cherokee counties 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 the 00 NAM for KFQD (Rutherfordton) is 6+" of snow and 1.6" of ice then .5 " of snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, strongwxnc said: the 00 NAM for KFQD (Rutherfordton) is 6+" of snow and 1.6" of ice then .5 " of snow. Can you do KMRN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Can you do KMRN Boom 4.3" in three hours.. nice! http://www.wxcaster.com/models_text.htm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Shows right around 10" and a little sleet too. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GFS absolutely crushed the mountains. What a run! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, BhamParker said: GFS absolutely crushed the mountains. What a run! Good lord it does. Over 14" down in the foothills now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I have to say, it is a bit disappointing the rest of the board has given up just because they aren't getting huge totals. Guess you get less analysis and model pbp when the big population centers aren't getting hit as hard. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I have to say, it is a bit disappointing the rest of the board has given up just because they aren't getting huge totals. Guess you get less analysis and model pbp when the big population centers aren't getting hit as hard. Been like that forever, hence why we start a Mountain Thread every year. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Good lord it does. Over 14" down in the foothills now. Looks like 16 or so over here in Saluda… I’d take half that and call it a win Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Goodnight 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 hours ago, wncsnow said: Goodnight Good idea! Will be interesting to watch the fauna tomorrow as this approaches. Gonna load the feeders. Looks like a good one ladies and gentlemen for most of us here. Helluva ride! Hopeful it’s not a terrible IP/ZR event for our upstate Palmetto friends and/or Piedmont tho’…we were living there for the December 02’ Miller B deal-with children and no power for 8 days…fun times indeed! By day two, the kids busted out the spears, pig parts and a random conch shell! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 19 minutes ago, WeatherHawk said: Good idea! Will be interesting to watch the fauna tomorrow as this approaches. Gonna load the feeders. Looks like a good one ladies and gentlemen for most of us here. Helluva ride! Hopeful it’s not a terrible IP/ZR event for our upstate Palmetto friends and/or Piedmont tho’…we were living there for the December 02’ Miller B deal-with children and no power for 8 days…fun times indeed! By day two, the kids busted out the spears and a random conch shell! Sweet memories! https://projects.ncsu.edu/atmos_collaboration/nwsfo/storage/cases/20021204/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If the NAM is correct, someone is going to get smacked with a dry slot. Maybe me. If I can get 3 inches of snow, I will be happy. Anything above that will be gravy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: If the NAM is correct, someone is going to get smacked with a dry slot. Maybe me. If I can get 3 inches of snow, I will be happy. Anything above that will be gravy. It's going to have to beat the EURO and GFS which I don't think it will. Those two models have been locked in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, Met1985 said: It's going to have to beat the EURO and GFS which I don't think it will. Those two models have been locked in. True. They have had consistently heavy totals. It seems like we have been tracking this storm for months. I am ready for show time! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Not a lot of changes. Good runs overnight! We’re still looking at a major winter storm. Don’t start cliff diving if the models show less that 12in 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, BretWx said: Not a lot of changes. Good runs overnight! We’re still looking at a major winter storm. Don’t start cliff diving if the models show less that 12in Definitely. Good advice. As long as we all get some snow, that is fine by me. It still continues to look like there will be more opportunities. Joe Bastardi was right about one thing. Enjoy the weather. It is the only weather that you've got. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: Definitely. Good advice. As long as we all get some snow, that is fine by me. It still continues to look like there will be more opportunities. Joe Bastardi was right about one thing. Enjoy the weather. It is the only weather that you've got. Hell yeah. I’m most excited about it being a prolonged event on a Sunday. Perfect day to just sit back, relax and watch things play out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 44 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: If the NAM is correct, someone is going to get smacked with a dry slot. Maybe me. If I can get 3 inches of snow, I will be happy. Anything above that will be gravy. The dry slot in energy transfers always need to be watched. Most likely a nowcasting event once we start radar watching. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 AVL SREF Plumes showing 7.5 mean - not bad! https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 315 am Friday: GSP Damaging accumulations of ice therefore appear more likely along and south of a line from Anderson to Spartanburg to Gastonia, to Salisbury, including Charlotte and vicinity. Northwest of there, morning snow/sleet followed by a likely transition to freezing rain/drizzle of a few hours is expected to result in a somewhat narrow zone of a wintry slurry of 2 to 5 inches. Finally, little has changed regarding the forecast for the mountains and NC foothills, where 8-12 inches/locally higher amounts of mostly snow continue to look like the best bet. I hope I'm further NW of that line but it will be close so MBY. Im a little NNE of the dot in the middle of Rutherford County. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I like how the NAM is showing some snow showers starting tomorrow early afternoon. A little teaser for what's to come! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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