Buddy1987 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 hour ago, AsheCounty48 said: *Laughs in Kuchera* Made my jaw drop. Man and that’s with 10:1. Temps here are upper teens to around 20 Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Yeah Jason has always been like that. Very nice guy in person but I also think someone above him is pulling the strings. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 In fairness to Boyer, he doesn't say plain rain, just that it would be mixed decreasing snow totals and said that it could be significant. But, he did say it was getting warmer on the models which I have not seen nor decreased snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 People actually watch tv Mets? Why? This forum is all you need. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Meh doesn't matter really. WLOS have always been pretty conservative anyways. But do you blame them? We have gotten burnt a few times already this season.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said: In fairness to Boyer, he doesn't say plain rain, just that it would be mixed decreasing snow totals and said that it could be significant. But, he did say it was getting warmer on the models which I have not seen nor decreased snow totals Jason always takes an indifferent stance with these storms. Give his followers just enough to understand that there is a major winter storm coming, but backs off just short of going all in to save himself the humiliation and ire if it all goes wrong. If you forecast 6” and get 12”, what wonderful surprise. If you forecast 12” and get 5”, it’s pitchforks and bayonets. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Ill remind everyone we still have 3 days for this to go to crap. Don't want that but there is definitely a chance for that. These type storms are tricky and last minute adjustments may mean a lot in the big picture of things. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Ill remind everyone we still have 3 days for this to go to crap. Don't want that but there is definitely a chance for that. These type storms are tricky and last minute adjustments may mean a lot in the big picture of things. No doubt! Ive went to sleep ready for glory to wake up with $hit on my boots 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 10 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Ill remind everyone we still have 3 days for this to go to crap. Don't want that but there is definitely a chance for that. These type storms are tricky and last minute adjustments may mean a lot in the big picture of things. Yep, nervously hoping against the windshield wiper effect with our trends this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I say let's get through Friday and we can maybe have some breathing room. Be excited but cautiously... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 18z Euro was about to lay the hammer down. (Only goes out or hr 90) it was slightly colder too, prob gonna be another foot + run for WNC! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said: 18z Euro was about to lay the hammer down. (Only goes out or hr 90) it was slightly colder too, prob gonna be another foot + run for WNC! Definitely a weenie run! Hopefully we are losing that primary into Tennessee. That would cut down our totals 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I was just talking about him. If he wants to stay on the conservative side he needs to be that way from the get go. I just talked to family that watched him and said snow was a miss it’s gonna be mostly rain now. Which is far from the truth we’ve all seen it today on models totals have not went down! He could be putting some people in danger if he doesn’t jump on board by tomorrow evening!He stood there downplaying the threat while he had a probability table on screen that contradicted him. That's when I realized that it's Jason Boyer, laughed, shook my head and turned the TV back to Futurama. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 18 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Definitely a weenie run! Hopefully we are losing that primary into Tennessee. That would cut down our totals That would be a money track for us. Shouldn’t be any worries about mixing. The Miller b stuff is always iffy around these parts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: He is simply not as plugged in as many mets like Chris Justus he is my local favorite. No models are showing rain. Temps will be mid 20s... Chris is really becoming a favorite. Hope he retires in Greenville…we got a good one! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Als23 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 22 minutes ago, Buckethead said: He stood there downplaying the threat while he had a probability table on screen that contradicted him. That's when I realized that it's Jason Boyer, laughed, shook my head and turned the TV back to Futurama. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Jason is awesome but he takes a missed snow forecast way too personally! Check his fb. Southern mtn weather is unpredictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Monster run incoming on the nam! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Monster run incoming on the nam! Yeah im watching... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Too bad it stops at 84. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Good Lord it basically just started snowing and looks like it has laid down 3 to 6 inches already in the south central mountains. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Nam would be a foot plus 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Good Lord it basically just started snow and looks like it has laid down 3 to 6 inches already in the south central mountains. I saw that. Crazy to think it drops that much with essentially 12 more hours or so of snow for those areas. I have been fired up about this chase, but its honestly getting a little nerve wracking now with how big it could be. I have never seen more than 7 inches in person before. I just absolutely do not want to lose power and really hope we can make it out at some point monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said: Nam would be a foot plus Easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, BhamParker said: I saw that. Crazy to think it drops that much with essentially 12 more hours or so of snow for those areas. I have been fired up about this chase, but its honestly getting a little nerve wracking now with how big it could be. I have never seen more than 7 inches in person before. I just absolutely do not want to lose power and really hope we can make it out at some point monday. A storm that is advertised like this with possible winds there is a good chance the power goes out. In terms of accumulations keep it simple buy saying this is a 6-12 inch storm and leave it at that. Anything more is just icing on the cake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I really like my area in this setup if we can avoid mixing. McDowell is a good CAD spot and I'm north of 40 (slightly) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Maggie Ace said: Temperatures in the mid to upper teens is nothing to sneeze at either at 9Z Sunday morning with the heavy snow band overhead. Yeah no kidding. This is going to be a dynamic system but the colder the surface is the higher the ratios are going to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I really like my area in this setup if we can avoid mixing. McDowell is a good CAD spot and I'm north of 40 (slightly) I hope you get hit good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Guys im out. Post lots of reading material for me in the morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Rgem would be massive run extrapolated. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Seems like the Hi Res models are a bit faster moving precip in than the globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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