BretWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Well, the HRRR continues to surprise. This is all over the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, BretWx said: Well, the HRRR continues to surprise. This is all over the place Post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS has lost its mind! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AshVegas Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 HAPPY HOUR BOOM! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GfS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 HAPPY HOUR BOOM!First boom of the new year. Lol . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS has always been consistent with this storm. Im not so sure about those totals but still this will be a great storm if most everyone sees 4-8 inches. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Off topic - I used to be able to insert some decent quality photos in my posts here, but now I am getting a size restriction. Any way around that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 21z HRRR smoked us. Getting ridiculous at this point being so close. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, BretWx said: Off topic - I used to be able to insert some decent quality photos in my posts here, but now I am getting a size restriction. Any way around that? Yes, upload the photos to an image-hosting site like IMGUR. Then, you can link to them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS has always been consistent with this storm. Im not so sure about those totals but still this will be a great storm if most everyone sees 4-8 inches.A very veteran group in here but we all get excited and tend to fall all over every model run (I know I was guilty of it when I lived in Weaverville!). 85’s post is spot on & very realistic. Temper your expectations to avoid disappointment.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dogwoods Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, BretWx said: 21z HRRR smoked us. Getting ridiculous at this point being so close. What do you mean — good or bad? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, dogwoods said: What do you mean — good or bad? Good. https://i.imgur.com/COvUAhS.png 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: A very veteran group in here but we all get excited and tend to fall all over every model run (I know I was guilty of it when I lived in Weaverville!). 85’s post is spot on & very realistic. Temper your expectations to avoid disappointment. . My expectations are always tempered,lol. That is great advice. I will take an inch of snow, but if somehow it sees fit to give me a foot of snow, I will take that as well. I do like all the positive models right now for sure. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said: My expectations are always tempered,lol. That is great advice. I will take an inch of snow, but if somehow it sees fit to give me a foot of snow, I will take that as well. I do like all the positive models right now for sure. Same here. Hard to believe I've been on this for 11 years now. Phew! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: A very veteran group in here but we all get excited and tend to fall all over every model run (I know I was guilty of it when I lived in Weaverville!). 85’s post is spot on & very realistic. Temper your expectations to avoid disappointment. . Thank you for the kind words Don. I greatly appreciate them and as well as everyone else I am also very excited at the very least. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Ok... I've been watching and reading. I think I'm in a good spot and excited for the kids (we'll, me too) but tempering expectations. I'll consider 4+ a win with 6+ and 3 on the ground a jackpot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Tight gradient here on the southern escarpment. Fingers crossed but expectations tempered.Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I’ll be the bullish Haywood County one and say 4-6” will be the minimum in the county even taking into account melting early on, leaning closer to the 6” mark at that when looking at the totality of the models and then nowcasting with current conditions and having our system come together to the west during the day. Of course it’s still a tricky forecast and mets from the NWS to local guys like Ward and Local Yokel are usually in a no win situation with the public with setups like this (They either go conservative and things are not that in the least or it goes the other way around and people give them grief about honking the horn on a nothing burger). Temps never got up to was forecast I don’t believe, at least Waynesville and points North. Cloudy all day and struggled to hit 53 here for a daytime high at the house after high of 60-61 at midnight. Already dropping down below 49. All that helps IMO in this scenario coming on the heels of the torch fest we were in, both in setting the stage before the storm as well as helping the high soil temps for early January here. Much better than sunny and 60 would have been. Either way, I’ll be up early to take it all in no matter what. Hopefully it’s ripping at daybreak for a jebwalk around my property. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Good.https://i.imgur.com/COvUAhS.pngLooks good. Picking up on the south mountains back into Rutherford. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Looks good. Picking up on the south mountains back into Rutherford. .I hope this run verifies. I'd love to extend my new years break from work! Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phelps Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 So do we commend the GFS for being on this from the beginning or ridicule it for putting out 2 foot snow totals? I guess that's a question for tomorrow afternoon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Latest HRRR is less for AVL but its splitting hairs at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 18z euro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 hour ago, BretWx said: Same here. Hard to believe I've been on this for 11 years now. Phew! omg hi 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 i think there's a window for thundersnow near the southern edge of the comma head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 My point in click for Valdese near Morganton in Burke county. Has went from 0 to 1 to 3 inches of snow now. I'm hopeful but I wonder. Thoughts? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i think there's a window for thundersnow near the southern edge of the comma head This must be a big deal for you to stop by and pay us a visit lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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