Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, wncsnow said: Hi Res Nam destroys the mountains Post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, wncsnow said: Hi Res Nam destroys the mountains This is where you want to be this close to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 ninja'd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Someone or a couple of places are going to pull a foot out from this system. With the rapid development and insane rates things are going to go downhill fast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Glad I'm not alone in thinking that. Thanks for the confirmation The GSP AFD mentions thundersnow... "Thunder snow will be possible as well due to the dynamics of this system and the development of instability within the core of the system." 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Incredible NAM run... Hard not to get excited at this point. Hi-Res shows 7" imby. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: This is where you want to be this close to the event. Maybe we're not out of the game yet. Keep trending south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I'm optimistic. Seems I'm going to be right on the border of the heaviest rain/snow line. Hopefully with the elevation, it means we'll puke a few hours! With those kind of rates, should overcome the warm ground pretty quickly too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, BretWx said: Incredible NAM run... Hard not to get excited at this point. Hi-Res shows 7" imby. I’ve noticed on the latest HRRR and NAM runs for that area around KAVL, it wants to bleed cold air down the river valley into Henderson County. You might get a surprise! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Holy sh*t! It nearly tripled the amount up this way from 5.1 to that! Dang and ps I didn’t want to jinx the TS word but with dynamics like this it’s full send it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I just keep waiting for the rug pull, but it keeps getting better. I love the night time start. That should be a help with the warm soil temps. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Also I wouldn't worry about ground temps at all. Temps are going to be crashing and this will happen in the middle of the night along with intense rates. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Maggie Ace said: It hasn't been mentioned, but I will not be surprised to see near blizzard conditions for some areas early tomorrow morning. Wind gusts to 40 are not out of the equation. Max Patch for sure would be a prime candidate for that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 20 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: I’ve noticed on the latest HRRR and NAM runs for that area around KAVL, it wants to bleed cold air down the river valley into Henderson County. You might get a surprise! Same here! It's not a lot, but I've also got a few hundred feet to my advantage over Hendersonville proper. Sitting at about 2700' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Robert thinks so. Rates and wind will be wild in the higher elevations GSP mentioned thundersnow in the AFD this morning. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, WxKnurd said: Max Patch for sure would be a prime candidate for that. Ill be making a trip up that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said: It hasn't been mentioned, but I will not be surprised to see near blizzard conditions for some areas early tomorrow morning. Wind gusts to 40 are not out of the equation. Two storm chasers locally will be camping out along Carver's Gap to live stream (hopefully) blizzard conditions. I wouldnt worry about their safety, these two know what they are doing. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Ill be making a trip up that way. If I hadn’t had to switch out trucks to get my work truck up here so I could leave tomorrow I’d meet up with you there. That Dec 2020 NWFS event I talked to a couple hiking the AT that had come from there and told me about waist deep drifts. Alas I’ll be headed west to Oklahoma at some point in the afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, WxKnurd said: If I hadn’t had to switch out trucks to get my work truck up here so I could leave tomorrow I’d meet up with you there. That Dec 2020 NWFS event I talked to a couple hiking the AT that had come from there and told me about waist deep drifts. Alas I’ll be headed west to Oklahoma at some point in the afternoon. Yeah I know a backroad heading into hurricane creek and over into Max Patch that I use often in the winter to avoid the crazy drvers who don't know anything about driving in the snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Two storm chasers locally will be camping out along Carver's Gap to live stream (hopefully) blizzard conditions. I wouldnt worry about their safety, these two know what they are doing. I'll be impressed if they have enough service to stream from up there. Gonna be crazy for sure. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Impressive for Asheville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 The RDPS is more amped than the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, wncsnow said: The RDPS is more amped than the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Good morning & HNY folks, this system has some potential for sure! Lots of variables in play here. Low placement & path, amount of tilt, how quickly temps crash, & dynamics. Things are looking good for a lot of you. I certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see someone report thunder snow. I liked the fact that the models aren’t showing the infamous FBV dry slot. Elevational areas look golden. N Buncombe up through Burnsville, Boone, W Jefferson look prime to me. Depending on low track portions of the Foothills might surprise. I expect someone will report 10” if this maintains. Remember it’s weather and models can only do so much. Be ready for shifts both good & bad. Good luck to all of you and I’ll be living vicariously thru OBS, pics, & vids!. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Sorry for the double post, please delete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 The folks at foothills weather are incredibly bearish https://foothillsweather.net/2022/01/02/severe-weather-threat-ends-and-we-turn-our-attention-to-potential-winter-weather/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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