Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, Hvward said: Yeah misses the phase in the Gulf. Timing is going to be key with this one. If we have a big swath of snowfall develop over AR Sunday AM it is game on. Yeah this could be a last minute decent storm that the models see then lose then see again at the last minute. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Canadians going all in on 12z lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 15 hours ago, WxKnurd said: I like where you and I sit for Sunday into Monday, I think we see a couple inches. would be a nice house warming gift from Mother Nature before I head out to work in Tulsa for a week. Yeah we are sitting in the best spot for whatever comes our way for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Wow GFS 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Wow GFS Was just fixing to say the GFS has come back around to a better solution for our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 This is probably going to be a case of multiple wabbles with this system really from today all the way into Sunday possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Really this scenario could go 1 to 3 inches or full on 6 to 12 depending on how deep, how fast the cold air gets in her and how fast the storm moves through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Nightmare forecast scenario here... Lets see what the 12z Euro shows. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, Hvward said: Nightmare forecast scenario here... Lets see what the 12z Euro shows. Yeah this can go either way and for people who are in town this weekend because of New Years I'd say the majority Don't know how to drive in the snow or forgot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The canadian is trending better too for the mountains 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The canadian is trending better too for the mountains About a 6 hr timing difference with the vort digging more on the gfs. Both want to explode around hrs 60-66. Going to be mighty interesting what happens and what 12z euro wants to do. Imo 3/3 thus far with RGEM/GFS/CMC all showing something similar with Synoptics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The UK doesn't look as juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Euro looking interesting too, especially Northern mountains and TN border 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Congrats Norfolk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 45 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Congrats Norfolk If we get a brief changeover down here in the foothills after a week of spring, that’ll be a huge W. For you fellas in the Mts, reel it in! I’m pulling for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 NAM'd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 I was out... and now I'm back in. Let's see what 0z runs show tonight. Then I'll start to be bought in. Wondering if I should chase up toward Beech/Sugar or if I'll be OK at my location just east of Spruce Pine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 36 minutes ago, Ja643y said: I was out... and now I'm back in. Let's see what 0z runs show tonight. Then I'll start to be bought in. Wondering if I should chase up toward Beech/Sugar or if I'll be OK at my location just east of Spruce Pine Just watch the trends tonight through tomorrow. That will be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 55 minutes ago, wncsnow said: NAM'd Another step in the right direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On the next episode of "As the models turn" the NAM and HRRR have no moisture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, wncsnow said: On the next episode of "As the models turn" the NAM and HRRR have no moisture. Big flips. I have a feeling we're going to see 6+ or flurries. Reminds me of living on LI when the forecast was for 18+ or maybe a really hard cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 39 minutes ago, wncsnow said: On the next episode of "As the models turn" the NAM and HRRR have no moisture. Just shows me the NAM doesn't have a lock on this system. Too much back and forth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Sign me up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Well then 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Yeah a great run from the GFS. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 RGEM/RDPS not buying the no moisture solution on the NAM either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 UK not enthused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Euro back to being meh again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 WNC about to get NAMed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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