Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 What's interesting is that you can see these local waves of embedded storms in the whole shield itself coming into the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Wind is picking up here in Haywood now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Also the 00z GFS still looks good for Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Met1985 said: You should see some snow if the synoptics works out that way. That's a decent spot for sure but as of right now we will see how this ends up. Thanks! We're up atop a hill at 3310' with a NW facing exposure. Hoping for the best! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 I can hear the wind roaring through the woods from the SW. Really eerie sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Just now, Ja643y said: Thanks! We're up atop a hill at 3310' with a NW facing exposure. Hoping for the best! Perfect spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 According to the radar things are really going to deteriorate soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Sheets of rain coming in hard and heavy. Wind is absolutely roaring here. It's like a monsoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Im tucked into a holler and the wind is just ripping right over me. I can hear it going through the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Also the 00z GFS still looks good for Sunday night. Need that secondary LP to be just a tick farther south for us in the NW mountains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Multiple cloud to ground lightning currently. Some pretty awesome light effects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Just now, Tyler Penland said: Need that secondary LP to be just a tick farther south for us in the NW mountains. Yeah there will be some more movement for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 This is really bad. https://wlos.com/news/local/unseasonable-warmth-of-december-forces-temporary-closure-of-cataloochee-ski-area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 If we don't get prolonged cold the ski resorts will be out of business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phelps Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: If we don't get prolonged cold the ski resorts will be out of business. I don't disagree but the resorts (I can only speak for App, Sugar and Beech) have made remarkable investments in snowmaking capabilities in recent years. It's to the point that they can basically cover the main slopes in a day. It's been one of the warmest decembers ever, no natural snow, it hasn't been below freezing for a week, and the resorts are still open. (barely, i assume) Next week should be great for snowmaking. But it is crazy to think that at the end of the day they are in the hands of mother nature. I would imagine they make most of their money on about 12 weekends and to lose one to warm and rain has to be painful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Looks interesting! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 hours ago, Phelps said: I don't disagree but the resorts (I can only speak for App, Sugar and Beech) have made remarkable investments in snowmaking capabilities in recent years. It's to the point that they can basically cover the main slopes in a day. It's been one of the warmest decembers ever, no natural snow, it hasn't been below freezing for a week, and the resorts are still open. (barely, i assume) Next week should be great for snowmaking. But it is crazy to think that at the end of the day they are in the hands of mother nature. I would imagine they make most of their money on about 12 weekends and to lose one to warm and rain has to be painful. Yeah figuratively speaking for the season not looking good. Looking out a bit further we may get some snow but then it's right back up in the 50s again a few days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Maggie Ace said: I believe that the ski areas have had to temporarily shut down during mid season 3 of the last 4 winters. Last year was the exception with the sustained cold weather for December and mid January. It's looking promising for snow making Sunday evening and possibly even the first measurable natural snow of the winter for Cataloochee. Yeah hopefully this sticks. We will see though. Im still very pessimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 18z continues to show a possibility for snow Sunday night into Monday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 7 hours ago, Met1985 said: Yeah hopefully this sticks. We will see though. Im still very pessimistic. I like where you and I sit for Sunday into Monday, I think we see a couple inches. would be a nice house warming gift from Mother Nature before I head out to work in Tulsa for a week. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 0z NAM has my attention. Big shift south with the LP. Would be excellent for most of NC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The system is trending stronger generally. The timing and placement of the front will be kry to where gets snow. East TN and the TN/NC border up to central and eastern VA would be my guess. Places like northern Mississippi and Alabama could get some snow too. The cold air will have trouble reaching areas east of the Blue Ridge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The system is trending stronger generally. The timing and placement of the front will be kry to where gets snow. East TN and the TN/NC border up to central and eastern VA would be my guess. Places like northern Mississippi and Alabama could get some snow too. The cold air will have trouble reaching areas east of the Blue Ridge. Yeah the whole cold air chasing moisture is a losers bet. But this one is sneaky. If there is a wild card in all of this it will be the track and how fast the LP deepens or strengthens as it moves off the coast. The associated dynamics may aid in rapidly cooling the entire column before all the moisture moves out. As always in NC timing is everything. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Both the euro and the GFS have slashed totals overnight for the mountains. Especially the EURO looks pretty paltry with the overnight run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 16 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Both the euro and the GFS have slashed totals overnight for the mountains. Especially the EURO looks pretty paltry with the overnight run. Yea, not liking the trend. Seems moisture is just going to dry up before the cold arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 24 minutes ago, Ja643y said: Yea, not liking the trend. Seems moisture is just going to dry up before the cold arrives. Yeah we are still a few days away but no im not liking the trends. We can still see snow just as of right now not a lot at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Major differences regarding amplification between 00z & 6z. 6z euro very stout.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Hvward said: Major differences regarding amplification between 00z & 6z. 6z euro very stout. . Hopefully that will be reflected on the 12z suits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The 12z NAM is paltry as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 16 minutes ago, Met1985 said: The 12z NAM is paltry as well... Yeah misses the phase in the Gulf. Timing is going to be key with this one. If we have a big swath of snowfall develop over AR Sunday AM it is game on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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