Met1985 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Maggie Ace said: Interesting to watch the guidance move the low track further S the past couple of days. I suppose if that trend holds through the rest of the work week we have a chance of some minor accumulation here in the Valley. Yeah this could end up surprising a few people especially if it comes in overnight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 12z GFS continuing with 8-12"+ totals along the border this weekend. Still too early for me to trust it, but it's been staying pretty constant with at least some accumulating snow for days now. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Trends this whole season seem to have been towards more suppressed the closer we get. That could help in terms of accumulation this time if you are like me and wanna see one more good one. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Maggie Ace said: This could really hurt. This would put a huge halt to everything budding out big time especially if there is snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 Yea trends this afternoon for Sat system have def become interesting to say the least. Euro looked great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 8, 2022 Share Posted March 8, 2022 GSP certainly sounds optimistic. Guess I need to go get some more salt. 000 FXUS62 KGSP 081945 AFDGSP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 245 PM EST Tue Mar 8 2022.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...The bigger story will likely be the cold temps behind the front. The temperature gradient along the front looks particularly strong, as do the post-frontal winds. Temps will remain above freezing even in high elevations most of Friday night, crashing rapidly Saturday morning; profiles quickly become supportive of snowfall across the mountains, and look particularly good for a NW Flow event, which could continue into early Sunday. The elements do look like they are lining up: strong cold advection, strong NW winds, relatively deep moisture with a Great Lake component, and weak surface instability. Accumulating snow certainly looks possible for the NC/TN border areas at this point. Winds could easily reach advisory criteria for the mountains if not portions of the Piedmont in the wake of the front; based on current Bufkit profiles and raw model gusts, High Wind Warning may be warranted for some of the mountains as well. The main caveat currently is whether the low track will continue to trend one way or the other as we approach Friday night.Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 9, 2022 Share Posted March 9, 2022 Just had some good lightning here and its pouring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Looks like a cold snap heading towards us. We had some lightning up here Tuesday…according to my daughter. She was up near Elk Knob and said it was thundering. Snow for the weekend? Feels like a little thump coming through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Hi all over and in the far blue mountains. Sadly I will be just west of Boone (halfway between Boone and banner Elk) for what right looks like a nice plateau TN snow. I've never been there for a storm like this, so what are some reasonable expectations? Most of the models keep the snow west of the mts, but I also know elevation can make a huge difference once the low moves NE and you get the thermal profile crashing. Looks like I will be right at 3200 feet, just off 105 and up a hill. I also suspect the models have a hard time resolving rain and snow lines in the mountains, but don't really have any experience. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 GSP talking about convectively enhanced snow Saturday afternoon. Gonna be a fun day no doubt. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 10, 2022 Share Posted March 10, 2022 Tomorrow night and Saturday morning are shaping up nicely for the border areas! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Anybody want to predict accumulations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 23 hours ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: Hi all over and in the far blue mountains. Sadly I will be just west of Boone (halfway between Boone and banner Elk) for what right looks like a nice plateau TN snow. I've never been there for a storm like this, so what are some reasonable expectations? Most of the models keep the snow west of the mts, but I also know elevation can make a huge difference once the low moves NE and you get the thermal profile crashing. Looks like I will be right at 3200 feet, just off 105 and up a hill. I also suspect the models have a hard time resolving rain and snow lines in the mountains, but don't really have any experience. As we are seeing as we get closer to this event the snow line has shifted east for the mountains. Elevation will help a lot in this type setup. Not really sure about that area but things look great for you guys over the border. Should be a fun event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Also the shift east this late in the game is very good. Means the models are picking up the deepening of the cold air quicker with precipitation in place. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Out of curiosity - where does everyone stand on the season for snowfall totals at the moment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Anoyher few trends east and the foothills may get a little too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 12z HRRR tracks the LP right over CLT. Looks really good for the mountains this run with several hours of snow with the main band before NWF sets in. Bring. It. Also @BooneWXI'm sitting at a lovely 19". 100% of that fell in that 3 week period of January too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 55 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Out of curiosity - where does everyone stand on the season for snowfall totals at the moment? I know it’s in the 20-24” range for me, I think it’s right around 23”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 hours ago, BooneWX said: Out of curiosity - where does everyone stand on the season for snowfall totals at the moment? 11'' here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Solid 1-3 inch event for Asheville area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 GFS hammering 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Love March surprises! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 15 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said: Solid 1-3 inch event for Asheville area. That may be on the low end IF the models are correct. A big IF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Out of curiosity - where does everyone stand on the season for snowfall totals at the moment? I've picked up 44.75" so far. The models have me thinking I just might break 50" on the season!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 9" just sw of Forest City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Models trending towards a decent even here. Some surprises in store for sure imo. Here is my map. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Hvward said: Models trending towards a decent even here. Some surprises in store for sure imo. Here is my map. Great map Ward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Balmy 66 here in Asheville. i'm spraying the weeds and cutting the lawn and seeing dogwoods flower. Wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Roughly 15" here this season in Cashiers. Let's add a couple more tonight, please!Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 25 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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