snowbird1230 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 NWS says pretty much ignore GFS..take with a grain of salt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 NWS says pretty much ignore GFS..take with a grain of saltYeah it's on its own planet. Still got my fingers crossed. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 GSP saying the GFS model showing cold and snow is an outlier. Wasn't the GFS the model that locked on to the last couple of storms? GSP still says that timeframe still needs watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 GSP saying the GFS model showing cold and snow is an outlier. Wasn't the GFS the model that locked on to the last couple of storms? GSP still says that timeframe still needs watching. Yeah it's had a decent run with these storms. It's 5 day verification scores have been suffering the last couple weeks, though. It also is a ways out of line from its own ensembles right now.Eventually one of these storms will amp up rather than slide off the coast. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Iv got 23 inches total this year so far. Im very happy with that especially since the disaster December was. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 10.5 here which is a little above the seasonal average. If we don't get any additional snow it would be right in the middle of the past 18 winters being the 8th snowiest. The snowiest of course was the 2009/10 winter. Of the top 8 snowiest winters, 3 of them came from mostly one storm all winter. This year, 2016 and 2018. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I was thinking this storm would surely do the NW trend by now on the models. Kinda weird that all the storms are southern sliders. It's usually the NW trend. There isn't a strong high keeping the storm south, that much I understand. Was hoping the GFS would win out over the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 The NW trend used to be such a friend to our area, now it seems to have completely abandoned us this year. Unless you can score big NW flow, this pattern has been junk since the January event. This will be the 3rd straight weekend with a system missing wide right... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Wow didn’t expect this tonight. 31 and freezing rain… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 44 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Wow didn’t expect this tonight. 31 and freezing rain… Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Wow is this place dead, I think the last couple of storms sliding to our southeast has taking the wind out of our sails. Well Monday the 14th looks like a possibility. Man we have those storms slide south and east of us then the midwest storm goes up west of us. What has happened to the good old Gulf Lows we use to get that would slide perfectly to our south to put us on the northwest side of the storm? We hardly ever get those anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Interested to see what we are able to squeeze out tomorrow night with any NWF. NAM/GFS both hinting at the potential for a dusting to top off the rain. Nothing big, though. Euro/GFS both also showing potential for a light event along the border on Monday. Temps look sketchy, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just passed 4 inches of rain so far out of this system. Forecast was 3-4 so that's definitely gonna bust. Looking at the latest HRRR for tonight at least 6 inches storm total looks like a safe bet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Yeah the river is up pretty good here in Haywood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Man this snow has staying power. Just over 4” of rain and the north sides and deep hollers are still covered in snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 hours ago, Rainforrest said: Man this snow has staying power. Just over 4” of rain and the north sides and deep hollers are still covered in snow. Yep same here. Pretty remarkable even at 50 degrees. We have literally had snow on the ground basically the whole month of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just passed 3.7" event total in Cashiers. Plenty more where that came from according to the updated Flood Watch. It is pretty amazing that some areas are still solid white despite this!Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: Yep same here. Pretty remarkable even at 50 degrees. We have literally had snow on the ground basically the whole month of January. Mine’s gone but I’m south facing. All North faces were pretty much all snow cover still until today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Man it's pouring out there tonight. A lot of water on the road... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 6.61 inches for that 24 hour period, 6.8 storm total....so far. Ain't a creek or river still in its banks at this point, and looks like it could be after sunrise before it finally stops. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Up to 6.65" now for the event total. What a deluge!Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Looks like I’m gonna finish up with 7.83”. A lot of roads in the county are flooded. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 7.93" looks to be the final total. Initial forecast of 3-4. I wanna see a bust like this on a snowstorm one of these days lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Good lord at these total! WOW. Only at 1.80" down here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 2.76 here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Agree, why can't we get that amount of moisture when we have the cold for snow, or just half of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Some of the higher elevations will see some snow tonight as the bottom falls back out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 59 minutes ago, Tacoma said: Agree, why can't we get that amount of moisture when we have the cold for snow, or just half of it. Really we have made a remarkable recovery this season with January and to me anything extra is just icing on the cake. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 28° with a flizzard in Wolf currently.Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 You can see the moisture starting to bank up against the mountains currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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