ncjoaquin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: 18-24” all of Transylvania southern Jackson and parts of Henderson counties. Oh wow!! Nice. Did you notice Buncombe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, calculus1 said: Here's GSP's latest expected snowfall map. Numbers going down for NW piedmont but remaining quite strong in mountain areas: Those numbers went up for the southern escarpment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: Oh wow!! Nice. Did you notice Buncombe? 6-12 southern buncombe. He changed a bit from 5:00 but still showing 18+ for my area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: 6-12 southern buncombe. He changed a bit from 5:00 but still showing 18+ for my area. I'll take it. Plenty for me. You are going to get hammered!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Jason looked at this thread (me specifically) and said “keep talkin’ that sh*t” touché 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Phew. I will believe it when I see it! Saturday Night: A slight chance of rain and snow before 7pm, then snow. Low around 23. North northeast wind 6 to 11 mph becoming east southeast in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.Sunday: Snow. High near 27. North northeast wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.Same here. My point forecast says 3-7 Saturday night and 8-12 Sunday. 11-19" is quite a range. We shall see, my friends. Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I would be pleasantly surprised if Marion gets the 11.2 forecasted by the NWS. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The cutoff is going to be gnarly on the east side. If you look at the town by town probabilities, it’s even more evident. https://www.weather.gov/gsp/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The cutoff is going to be gnarly on the east side. If you look at the town by town probabilities, it’s even more evident. https://www.weather.gov/gsp/winterSure is! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 It has been a hell of fun week! We're almost there... LFG! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 It has been a hell of fun week! We're almost there... LFG!Thanks for taking the day off and PBP'ing for us! It's been a blast.Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainOctopus Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, BretWx said: It has been a hell of fun week! We're almost there... LFG! I work from home, and it has been a serious challenge getting my assignments in on time this week. I've worn out the refresh button lurking here, always have it open in a different tab. Thanks to everyone as always for your analysis, it's a pleasure to read and learn, and I'm excited for the shindig to start. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Here is the RAP models depiction 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Temp down to 26. Ground temps ain't going to be a problem. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Excited to drive back up tomorrow! I’ve missed my mountains and gonna be fun to experience it in a new place! Cabin is about 2500’ near Brevard. Let’s reel it in! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 hour ago, calculus1 said: Here's GSP's latest expected snowfall map. Numbers going down for NW piedmont but remaining quite strong in mountain areas: Pretty big shift downwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 9 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said: Pretty big shift downwards. Not for the mountains. Actually bumped up from this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 No 18z euro update? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Temp down to 26. Ground temps ain't going to be a problem. My average air temp since January 3rd is 31 degrees. Definitely a totally different scenario than we had going into the last one when the previous 2 weeks were a good 10-20 degrees higher. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 18z EURO... Another SOLID. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: No 18z euro update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 ^ nice, thanks! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Looks better than 12Z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Euro has been locked in consistent today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 The trend with Zr in the Euro is highly concerning. Gives me 7 inches of wet snow and over a half an inch of ice. Cut that in half and it’s still lights out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 The trend with Zr in the Euro is highly concerning. Gives me 7 inches of wet snow and over a half an inch of ice. Cut that in half and it’s still lights out.Yikes. I see a period of ZR and mix really close to me. Maybe that's just heavy, heavy rates that get confused with ZR/mix? Not sure if that's even a possibility, but I'm just hoping against ZR IMBY.Edit: Oh and I wanna see ridiculously heavy rates with fatties. Goes without saying.Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, BooneWX said: The trend with Zr in the Euro is highly concerning. Gives me 7 inches of wet snow and over a half an inch of ice. Cut that in half and it’s still lights out. Man if you’re getting .5 ZR or even half that, then we’re partying like 1822 here. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 I don't really believe there will be a changeover to sleet or freezing rain in the mountains at the height of the precipitation. Call me a weenie but it just doesn't look right to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I don't really believe there will be a changeover to sleet or freezing rain in the mountains at the height of the precipitation. Call me a weenie but it just doesn't look right to me. I think we have a brief, very light changeover as the low transfers and we lose lift. By that time the heavy forcing has come through with most of the event. Then we wait on the backside upper low to swing thru. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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