Tacoma Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I hope the dry slot the nam is showing is a hiccup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Picked up about an inch of snow overnight in Wolf. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6z Euro. Steady. Looking good. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said: 6z Euro. Steady. Looking good. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I still like both Hickory's and Black Mountain's potentials, with BM looking very strong for 8+ inches.Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 EURO hammered. Consistency has been amazing. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The good news is that it looks like models underestimated the high pressure in the north. Could be the reason for the cooling trend in the 6z models. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, snowmaker13 said: The good news is that it looks like models underestimated the high pressure in the north. Could be the reason for the cooling trend in the 6z models. CAD always seems to come in stronger than modeled. That’s why I won’t buy the complete takeover by sleet east of the mountains just yet for any period of time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 A friend is inviting me up to his place in Brevard! Looks like I'll be able to enjoy this one with all of you after all! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 This is me lazily asking the board what the expected showtime is tomorrow? Possibly an early finger of moisture to give us a few flakes? Will we get to see flakes without staying up until the wee hours?Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Took the day off so I could nerd out - damn this hobby! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, LiQuiDBuD said: This is me lazily asking the board what the expected showtime is tomorrow? Possibly an early finger of moisture to give us a few flakes? Will we get to see flakes without staying up until the wee hours? Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Start around 9 or 10 for us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Start around 9 or 10 for usThanks neighbor! At the ripe old age of 41 it's difficult to stay up much later than that.Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Heading up to Lake Toxaway later this afternoon from Birmingham. Got a few buddy heaters and flashlights ready in case we lose power (fingers crossed we don’t). Really looking forward to the trip. Transylvania county seems to be in a great spot of enhanced totals on just about all models. Will keep y’all posted on everything. Good luck to all! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 SREF Plumes up to 8.5 for AVL https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ Also, those gusts during the storm on 6z EURO aren't playing around. Going to be some power outages for sure. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Never to early to start looking at the surface 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 SREF Plumes up to 8.5 for AVL https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ Also, those gusts during the storm on 6z EURO aren't playing around. Going to be some power outages for sure. Yikes. This won't end well!Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, LiQuiDBuD said: Thanks neighbor! At the ripe old age of 41 it's difficult to stay up much later than that. Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Lol...I'm there with you at 40 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, BretWx said: SREF Plumes up to 8.5 for AVL https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ Also, those gusts during the storm on 6z EURO aren't playing around. Going to be some power outages for sure. This would put many locations in category 3 or 4 or possibly 5 http://www.usawx.com/icesto3.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, BhamParker said: Heading up to Lake Toxaway later this afternoon from Birmingham. Got a few buddy heaters and flashlights ready in case we lose power (fingers crossed we don’t). Really looking forward to the trip. Transylvania county seems to be in a great spot of enhanced totals on just about all models. Will keep y’all posted on everything. Good luck to all! I think we’ll be setting pretty good. It seems like all models are constantly showing 12-16 inches for the southern escarpment. Have a safe trip up. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Lol...I'm there with you at 40 51 got both of y’all beat. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 51 got both of y’all beat. LolSo you'll be in bed by 8, we'll get you caught up on the event when you wake Sunday. Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Mean is 14in for KAVL: https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/meg/gefs_plumes/index.html?stationname=KAVL 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Was reading back through the thread leading up to the 12/2018 storm... Good times! It went from "bad trends on the EURO today folks" to everyone getting 12+ inches... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, BretWx said: Was reading back through the thread leading up to the 12/2018 storm... Good times! Man, where did @HurricaneTracker go? Haven’t seen him in a while! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Precip moving in on the NAM around 1AM Sunday, AVL is at 28/25 by 4AM at 25/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, BretWx said: Precip moving in on the NAM around 1AM Sunday, AVL is at 28/25 by 4AM at 25/23 Like clockwork, CAD appears stronger as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Man, where did @HurricaneTracker go? Haven’t seen him in a while! Right? Can't believe I'm past 10 years on this site... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 39 minutes ago, LiQuiDBuD said: Thanks neighbor! At the ripe old age of 41 it's difficult to stay up much later than that. Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 26 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Lol...I'm there with you at 40 21 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: 51 got both of y’all beat. Lol I'm 52 for a couple more months @jburnswill be in here in a minutes laughing at us children needing naps to stay up past bedtime 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Heading towards Hendersonville in about 2 hrs. Ray seems enthused so I’m enthused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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