LiQuiDBuD Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Jason Boyer after seeing the 6z Euro. (I kid, I kid)Haha. I think it's time for him to jump in with both feet. There are going to be significant impacts for the majority of his viewing area and they need to prepare before Saturday rolls around. Right?Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 29° with flurries this morning in Wolf. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Good morning folks!, this is shaping up to be a nice thump for most of you. Still a ways out but I’m loving the trends for heavy snow even in the foothills. Of course it’s all up in the air because it’s the south. I love living at the beach but not gonna lie, this is one of those times I wish I was in the mix with you all. Just gonna have to settle for the vicariously route with you! . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I would love your guys' perspective on this. Here's my dilemma: There's nothing like seeing it snow/sleet/whatever in your own backyard, and Hickory has a good chance to get walloped. My in-laws have welcomed us to come spend the weekend with them in Black Mountain (due east of Asheville on I-40, just up Old Fort Mountain). I think Black Mountain has a much better chance of remaining snow for the entire event (2400 feet elevation), with little chance of mixing in sleet (at least at this point in the forecast). However, Buncombe County traditionally is the driest county in the state and often has precip minima there compared to surrounding areas. Ignoring other factors such as my kids playing with cousins in the snow in Black Mountain, which experience would you prefer? Staying at home and seeing 6+ inches of snow, with an inch or snow of sleet, followed by a deform band with more snow IMBY, OR Traveling to in-laws and seeing a pure snowstorm with likely 12+ inches of snow on the ground, but they might get downsloped a bit by surrounding mountains. As you can probably guess, my wife doesn't even understand why it's a dilemma, and she's like, "Let's go to my parents and have fun with the family there". But there's something so special about seeing it snow, during the day, all day, below freezing, in your own backyard. And, I'm a sucker for taking records and measurements IMBY, as you can see from my signature line. What are your thoughts? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I would love your guys' perspective on this. Here's my dilemma: There's nothing like seeing it snow/sleet/whatever in your own backyard, and Hickory has a good chance to get walloped. My in-laws have welcomed us to come spend the weekend with them in Black Mountain (due east of Asheville on I-40, just up Old Fort Mountain). I think Black Mountain has a much better chance of remaining snow for the entire event (2400 feet elevation), with little chance of mixing in sleet (at least at this point in the forecast). However, Buncombe County traditionally is the driest county in the state and often has precip minima there compared to surrounding areas. Ignoring other factors such as my kids playing with cousins in the snow in Black Mountain, which experience would you prefer? Staying at home and seeing 6+ inches of snow, with an inch or snow of sleet, followed by a deform band with more snow IMBY, OR Traveling to in-laws and seeing a pure snowstorm with likely 12+ inches of snow on the ground, but they might get downsloped a bit by surrounding mountains. As you can probably guess, my wife doesn't even understand why it's a dilemma, and she's like, "Let's go to my parents and have fun with the family there". But there's something so special about seeing it snow, during the day, all day, below freezing, in your own backyard. And, I'm a sucker for taking records and measurements IMBY, as you can see from my signature line. What are your thoughts? What’s the timeline, when does a decision have to be finalized? If you have time follow the model trends. Depends on what part of Hickory & what part of Black Mountain. I’d wait as long as possible to gather the most info then make the call. The great thing is either way will be a win!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainOctopus Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, calculus1 said: I would love your guys' perspective on this. Here's my dilemma: There's nothing like seeing it snow/sleet/whatever in your own backyard, and Hickory has a good chance to get walloped. My in-laws have welcomed us to come spend the weekend with them in Black Mountain (due east of Asheville on I-40, just up Old Fort Mountain). I think Black Mountain has a much better chance of remaining snow for the entire event (2400 feet elevation), with little chance of mixing in sleet (at least at this point in the forecast). However, Buncombe County traditionally is the driest county in the state and often has precip minima there compared to surrounding areas. Ignoring other factors such as my kids playing with cousins in the snow in Black Mountain, which experience would you prefer? Staying at home and seeing 6+ inches of snow, with an inch or snow of sleet, followed by a deform band with more snow IMBY, OR Traveling to in-laws and seeing a pure snowstorm with likely 12+ inches of snow on the ground, but they might get downsloped a bit by surrounding mountains. As you can probably guess, my wife doesn't even understand why it's a dilemma, and she's like, "Let's go to my parents and have fun with the family there". But there's something so special about seeing it snow, during the day, all day, below freezing, in your own backyard. And, I'm a sucker for taking records and measurements IMBY, as you can see from my signature line. What are your thoughts? This is a low-hanging fruit answer, but whatever makes the wife happy is probably the safest bet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: What’s the timeline, when does a decision have to be finalized? If you have time follow the model trends. Depends on what part of Hickory & what part of Black Mountain. I’d wait as long as possible to gather the most info then make the call. The great thing is either way will be a win! . My wife wants to let her mother know as soon as possible. Probably by tomorrow afternoon we should have it finalized. NW Hickory, approximately one mile from Alexander County line. Between Black Mountain and Swannanoa, near Owen HS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AshVegas Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: What’s the timeline, when does a decision have to be finalized? If you have time follow the model trends. Depends on what part of Hickory & what part of Black Mountain. I’d wait as long as possible to gather the most info then make the call. The great thing is either way will be a win! . I think it ultimately depends on where the location is in Black Mountain. Often we get caught in the French Broad valley death trap in some of these storms. You can see it depicted on some of the snow maps - closer to the McDowell/Buncombe line the better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 My wife wants to let her mother know as soon as possible. Probably by tomorrow afternoon we should have it finalized. NW Hickory, approximately one mile from Alexander County line. Between Black Mountain and Swannanoa, near Owen HS. Man, that’s a tough one! You could get a great dump at home. The in laws spot is not that prone to dry slotting plus it’s a good spot for some flow snow. I think they will get a big one. As I said either will be a win for you with this system. I’d definitely be gathering info (models, afd’s from all the Offices around you GSP, Blacksburg, Raleigh) and make that final decision as late as possible. Sage advice from Octopus, & go with your gut. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 15 minutes ago, calculus1 said: I would love your guys' perspective on this. Here's my dilemma: There's nothing like seeing it snow/sleet/whatever in your own backyard, and Hickory has a good chance to get walloped. My in-laws have welcomed us to come spend the weekend with them in Black Mountain (due east of Asheville on I-40, just up Old Fort Mountain). I think Black Mountain has a much better chance of remaining snow for the entire event (2400 feet elevation), with little chance of mixing in sleet (at least at this point in the forecast). However, Buncombe County traditionally is the driest county in the state and often has precip minima there compared to surrounding areas. Ignoring other factors such as my kids playing with cousins in the snow in Black Mountain, which experience would you prefer? Staying at home and seeing 6+ inches of snow, with an inch or snow of sleet, followed by a deform band with more snow IMBY, OR Traveling to in-laws and seeing a pure snowstorm with likely 12+ inches of snow on the ground, but they might get downsloped a bit by surrounding mountains. As you can probably guess, my wife doesn't even understand why it's a dilemma, and she's like, "Let's go to my parents and have fun with the family there". But there's something so special about seeing it snow, during the day, all day, below freezing, in your own backyard. And, I'm a sucker for taking records and measurements IMBY, as you can see from my signature line. What are your thoughts? Probably best going to the inlaws. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I would love your guys' perspective on this. Here's my dilemma: There's nothing like seeing it snow/sleet/whatever in your own backyard, and Hickory has a good chance to get walloped. My in-laws have welcomed us to come spend the weekend with them in Black Mountain (due east of Asheville on I-40, just up Old Fort Mountain). I think Black Mountain has a much better chance of remaining snow for the entire event (2400 feet elevation), with little chance of mixing in sleet (at least at this point in the forecast). However, Buncombe County traditionally is the driest county in the state and often has precip minima there compared to surrounding areas. Ignoring other factors such as my kids playing with cousins in the snow in Black Mountain, which experience would you prefer? Staying at home and seeing 6+ inches of snow, with an inch or snow of sleet, followed by a deform band with more snow IMBY, OR Traveling to in-laws and seeing a pure snowstorm with likely 12+ inches of snow on the ground, but they might get downsloped a bit by surrounding mountains. As you can probably guess, my wife doesn't even understand why it's a dilemma, and she's like, "Let's go to my parents and have fun with the family there". But there's something so special about seeing it snow, during the day, all day, below freezing, in your own backyard. And, I'm a sucker for taking records and measurements IMBY, as you can see from my signature line. What are your thoughts? Yeah states that do what the wife wants. Or stay where you are and walk the line like I’ll be doing :-). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Happy wife, happy life... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 26 minutes ago, calculus1 said: I would love your guys' perspective on this. Here's my dilemma: There's nothing like seeing it snow/sleet/whatever in your own backyard, and Hickory has a good chance to get walloped. My in-laws have welcomed us to come spend the weekend with them in Black Mountain (due east of Asheville on I-40, just up Old Fort Mountain). I think Black Mountain has a much better chance of remaining snow for the entire event (2400 feet elevation), with little chance of mixing in sleet (at least at this point in the forecast). However, Buncombe County traditionally is the driest county in the state and often has precip minima there compared to surrounding areas. Ignoring other factors such as my kids playing with cousins in the snow in Black Mountain, which experience would you prefer? Staying at home and seeing 6+ inches of snow, with an inch or snow of sleet, followed by a deform band with more snow IMBY, OR Traveling to in-laws and seeing a pure snowstorm with likely 12+ inches of snow on the ground, but they might get downsloped a bit by surrounding mountains. As you can probably guess, my wife doesn't even understand why it's a dilemma, and she's like, "Let's go to my parents and have fun with the family there". But there's something so special about seeing it snow, during the day, all day, below freezing, in your own backyard. And, I'm a sucker for taking records and measurements IMBY, as you can see from my signature line. What are your thoughts? I personally don't think downsloping is going to be a factor for anyone really because of the way the system moves. It's going to come in from the south rotating coming from the SE to east possibly then rotating the axis of moisture from a west to end with a NW flow setup. Black mountain should be in a great spot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Summey Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Send the wife to the in-laws & stay home. Win-win. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Let's see what the 12z nam does here. I expect some minor changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, Summey said: Send the wife to the in-laws & stay home. Win-win. Head to the casino and hangout there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 The snow has picked up now. Getting a nice dusting already.Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 12z NAM is about to hammer WNC. Keeping that surface low close to the Gulf. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 No questions about cold air with the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Crazy totals coming with this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Yeah NAM starts hammering us around hour 69... Deep deep blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Frozen precip from Chattanooga to Myrtle Beach lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Lol...probably gonna be 48 hours of snow on the nam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Lol...probably gonna be 48 hours of snow on the nam Be measuring it in feet not inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 NAM showing some mixing towards the later part of the run but im very suspect of that also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Surface not verifying huge snow totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: NAM showing some mixing towards the later part of the run but im very suspect of that also. Shows almost 3/4 inch of ice for a lotnof the Blue Ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Low track is what we need to be focusing on with NAM. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Hvward said: Low track is what we need to be focusing on with NAM. And the bowling ball coming through N GA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 And the bowling ball coming through N GAYeah that’s another 6” for most. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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