BhamParker Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 That would be some insane rates on the 00z GFS. Thundersnow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS says the mountains may be measuring in feet. Goodness what a run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 4:10 AM, Maggie Ace said: 00Z GFS Expand Check please. I think I'll wait until tomorrow nights 0Z runs to make the final decision to drive 10 hours to chase this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 3:36 AM, franklin NCwx said: Rgem would be massive run extrapolated. Expand Sheesh... Massive may be an understatement. I'm sitting at around 11 inches already at 7AM Sunday and looking at this radar downstream at 29 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Soundings from the Euro were absolutely fantastic here in NE GA. Definitely all snow from 10 PM through 10 AM, few hours of sleet, then back to heavy snow, temps in 20's all day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 4:10 AM, Maggie Ace said: 00Z GFS Expand Boom! Hit up Peabody’s yesterday and I’m ready! Kids from Murphy to West Jefferson probably gonna be home all next week. January is looking good ladies and gentlemen! Curious about the nwfs…still looking like some serious ip/zr for upstate SC and Piedmont areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 1:22 AM, Als23 said: Jason is awesome but he takes a missed snow forecast way too personally! Check his fb. Southern mtn weather is unpredictable. Expand Here’s a link to the sanitarium Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Everything looked good on the overnight models. Im not looking for huge totals but for consistency now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 9:17 AM, Met1985 said: Everything looked good on the overnight models. Im not looking for huge totals but for consistency now. Expand Models gonna start to crawl north? Hopefully not too much….Would love to see northern Georgia and SC have a nice snow day! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 9:20 AM, WeatherHawk said: Models gonna start to crawl north? Expand I really hope we have seen the last of that. Sure we will have some wobbles with each model run but I can deal with that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 9:22 AM, Met1985 said: I really hope we have seen the last of that. Sure we will have some wobbles with each model run but I can deal with that. Expand Yep, I’m feeling good about the gfs and euro…especially when they start quilting mirrors. Love the chase tho’-especially when we can have a lot of folks that can cash in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 9:37 AM, WeatherHawk said: Yep, I’m feeling good about the gfs and euro…especially when they start quilting mirrors. Love the chase tho’-especially when we can have a lot of folks that can cash in. Expand Oh yeah I love these board wide storms. Hopefully our friends down east and to the south can cash in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 9:20 AM, WeatherHawk said: Models gonna start to crawl north? Hopefully not too much….Would love to see northern Georgia and SC have a nice snow day! Expand Would love to see Charlotte and Raleigh have one as well. 4yrs in Charlotte since we have had over 2" for the entire winter. Long overdue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Wow this mornings GFS absolutely smokes us here in the mountains. Verbatim anywhere from 1 to 2 feet of snow across a large portion of the viewing area. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Last names CMC 00 Run. The table is still open and new dishes getting prepared every few hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GSP AFD .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 300 am EST Thursday: The forecast will not change a great deal this morning, with all models on track for a major winter storm. The operational models are in relatively good agreement with the 500 mb low center track atop our area late weekend. The GFS remains a few hours faster than the ECM/CMC solutions, but they all lift the system across the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia late Sunday and Sunday night. The ECM/CMC mean sea level pressure prognostics have a slightly farther south/southeast track of the associated surface low center, mainly across the coastal plain. This is favored given the strength of the low-level ridge north of the forecast area and it will likely contribute to slightly colder profiles and boundary layer temperatures than indicated on the operational GFS. Anticipate that the zero degree 850 mb isotherm may pivot near the NC/SC line to create a very sharp gradient in snowfall from the NC foothills down into the Upstate, but this remains highly subject to change. The current thinking is that most of NE GA, Upstate SC, and the Charlotte metro area will see some degree of warm nosing to undercut potential snow totals and generate more sleet, with more freezing rain especially likely at times along and southeast of I-85. 850 to 700 mb frontogenesis will likely sharpen up along and east of the mountains to enhance precipitation rates Sunday morning. The phasing process of this southern system back into the northern stream may accelerate the low passage. That could be a slight limiting factor, but it may not matter much given the otherwise excellent potential for significant wintry accumulations across the region as it stands. Conditions may well be treacherous across the region by daybreak Monday with snow and ice on the ground and temperatures in the 20s throughout. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 What a sight to wake up to (again!) - Let’s reel it in!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HornetsHomer91 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Ik this isn’t banter thread …. But I’m gonna hangout with you guys for awhile …. These guys in main thread our ready to quit again or ready to declare victory after each run…. Euro wasn’t that bad imo it just didn’t take some big jump to all snow like they all wanted….. unless your West Of I-77 it has no chance to be all snow imo anyway 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 11:37 AM, PantherJustin said: Ik this isn’t banter thread …. But I’m gonna hangout with you guys for awhile …. These guys in main thread our ready to quit again or ready to declare victory after each run…. Euro wasn’t that bad imo it just didn’t take some big jump to all snow like they all wanted….. unless your West Of I-77 it has no chance to be all snow imo anyway Expand Welcome to the sane and steady handed mountain thread. We don't live by one run as we look at things as a whole. We do have the advantage of living in the mountains and foothills so that helps tremendously. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HornetsHomer91 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 11:48 AM, Met1985 said: Welcome to the sane and steady handed mountain thread. We don't live by one run as we look at things as a whole. We do have the advantage of living in the mountains and foothills so that helps tremendously. Expand This is true, lol. I can see Anderson Mountain in Denver If I’m at Duckworths here in Mooresville on a clear day so I’m gonna count it 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6z EURO is about to smoke us 12+ across the board… still snowing into Monday morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6z Euro dropping the hammer at 8pm Sunday night with the deformation feature moving in. Already 12" of snow for most and it still going to hammer for 6 more hours. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 12:20 PM, Hvward said: 6z Euro dropping the hammer at 8pm Sunday night with the deformation feature moving in. Already 12" of snow for most and it still going to hammer for 6 more hours. Expand Music to my ears. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 The 6z euro snow map is absolutely insane. Ive not seen totals spit out like that in probably 5 to 6 years here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I haven't seen the models lock into agreement on a general solution for such a long lead up like this for ages.It's a beaut, Clark. Brings a tear to my eye.Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 My sister lives in Enochville just N of Kannapolis. I live in Concord..almost in Harrisburg. I may just pack a bag and stay with her. Could have 6-8" at her place while I enjoy sleetmageddon imby... Can't chance that. Hmmmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This is turning into March 93 little brother 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 On 1/13/2022 at 12:36 PM, Met1985 said: The 6z euro snow map is absolutely insane. Ive not seen totals spit out like that in probably 5 to 6 years here. Expand Jason Boyer after seeing the 6z Euro. (I kid, I kid) 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Well guess I’ll stick to this thread since I’ll be back “home” in Boone for this one and the fact some people in the main thread should honestly take a break from the internet. Good news is at this point, it doesn’t seem to really matter outside of something massive changing; foothills and mountains, especially along the BRP are set to get smacked. The LP seems to be in a decent/good position on every model at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Wish I was back home for this one you guys! Looks like Old Fort/McDowell is in a prime spot. Gonna be up there with 2018 (16") and 2009 (13") for my old stomping grounds! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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