Met1985 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said: Certainly an interesting solution this run. Not sure I'll bite on that 22 inches of snow just yet. I'd say a 6 to 12 inch warning would suffice most of the mountain counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 I like this run a lot better and we may get better solutions yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 GFS can't even get the baby event Thursday night right.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, Met1985 said: I like this run a lot better and we may get better solutions yet. I tend to agree with you. Just need to work out the SLP placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: I like this run a lot better and we may get better solutions yet. 0z was much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Hvward said: GFS can't even get the baby event Thursday night right.. Yeah I noticed that also lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 I think we actually see a correction to a better solution here in the mountains. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I think we actually see a correction to a better solution here in the mountains. Me too. CAD should likely trend stronger as we get closer. There is no doubt that we’re about to get walloped. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Gfs is a sleet sounding here at 99. Other than that its mostly snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Me too. CAD should likely trend stronger as we get closer. There is no doubt that we’re about to get walloped. Yeah I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Gfs is a sleet sounding here at 99. Other than that its mostly snow Yeah that's great especially that far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 She’s a beaut Clark. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yeah that's great especially that far south. And it's close too. Probably +snow with pincers mixing. The ukie is very similar to the 0z euro run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, BlueRidgeFolklore said: She’s a beaut Clark. Check please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 34 minutes ago, Hvward said: GFS can't even get the baby event Thursday night right.. The 3km/12km NAM is pretty dry with it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: She’s a beaut Clark. Yep! Keeps upping totals. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 15 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Gfs is a sleet sounding here at 99. Other than that its mostly snow Heck even down my way it looked mostly snow on the soundings. Like you 99 was definitely a sleet sounding, and for me 96 was iffy but i'd lean snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 8 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Heck even down my way it looked mostly snow on the soundings. Like you 99 was definitely a sleet sounding, and for me 96 was iffy but i'd lean snow. Yea, all the central and eastern NC guys are upset over the late amping, but back our way that doesn’t matter so much if the low can start off far enough south. Ukmet is a dream run for us (except qpf is kinda modest). even though it winds up turning up to hard for places to our east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 The main thread is a disaster, thank goodness for this one 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said: WPC Winter Weather graphics updated at 16Z. Day 4 and Day 5 now showing 70-90% chance of significant snow/sleet. Wow. Is that time stamp 1 min apart or am I crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The main thread is a disaster, thank goodness for this one Thinking about coming up again and getting the storm I wanted 2 weekends ago... reading that main thread made me almost change my mind about wanting to come. LOL... it's looking like that Mitchell/McDowell line this time around could be close to jackpot on the last several runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 The main thread is a disaster, thank goodness for this oneMass suicide in the main thread right now. Glad to be able to join all you mountain folks right here!Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, LiQuiDBuD said: Mass suicide in the main thread right now. Glad to be able to join all you mountain folks right here! Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Were are you located at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Were are you located at? Cashiers, NC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, LiQuiDBuD said: Mass suicide in the main thread right now. Glad to be able to join all you mountain folks right here! Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk Yep on both sites...obviously highly populated with central nc folks. Last storm I never had a shot so I sat on the sideline and cheered on and admired the video and pics. For nw sc and ne ga which are mountainous so hopefully I'm allowed to post with you fellas, I firmly believe and have seen the gradient before where we stayed mostly snow with a transition to sleet turning back to snow. The temp profiles look great early on and possibly could lock in if some precip moves in earlier than modeled. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, oconeexman said: Yep on both sites...obviously highly populated with central nc folks. Last storm I never had a shot so I sat on the sideline and cheered on and admired the video and pics. For nw sc and ne ga which are mountainous so hopefully I'm allowed to post with you fellas, I firmly believe and have seen the gradient before where we stayed mostly snow with a transition to sleet turning back to snow. The temp profiles look great early on and possibly could lock in if some precip moves in earlier than modeled. You say both sites. What is the other site you're referring to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Cmc coming in with some big totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Honestly, cmc is great for the western upstate. Front end 4-8 inch thump followed by sleet with temps around 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Am I missing something? "Sleetfest even for the mountains" 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Cmc dropping up to 2" qpf for the southern mtns 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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