Ja643y Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: HRRR is more amped too though compared to earlier runs. This system looks like it will mean business but very fast moving Noticing on most of the models I'm right on the edge between bigger totals and nothing. I'm right on the McDowell/Mitchell line. Is that a result of being on the escarpment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Ja643y said: Noticing on most of the models I'm right on the edge between bigger totals and nothing. I'm right on the McDowell/Mitchell line. Is that a result of being on the escarpment? Yes, it's elevation dependent. On the eastern escarpment down in Marion to Morganton, it will take forever for the cold air to make it over the mountains. They usually only do well in CAD situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ja643y Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Yes, it's elevation dependent. On the eastern escarpment down in Marion to Morganton, it will take forever for the cold air to make it over the mountains. They usually only do well in CAD situations. OK. Yea, I'm basically straight up from Marion. About 2000' higher, so hopefully that will help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Ja643y said: OK. Yea, I'm basically straight up from Marion. About 2000' higher, so hopefully that will help You should do pretty well unless it keeps amping up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Honestly east TN and SE Ky are in a good spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Not digging enough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Think this NAM run will be amped too. this SE ridge means business This is like the one instance where the SE ridge can actually aid instead of destroy us, unless of course it continues to go ape sh*t and amp even more so to where we all end up raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Someone is gonna get crushed though with a stronger system. 6 to 10 inches of snow in 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Not bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I would take this run all day 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Someone is gonna get crushed though with a stronger system. 6 to 10 inches of snow in 6 hours Probably DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Tomorrow's going to be FUN. Cheers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I would take this run all day Same. Even a little action down here also in Rutherford!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Probably DC Or Boone to Roanoke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Hi Res NAM similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Hi Res NAM similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Short range Canadian is a qpf and paste bomb for mountains. Biggest run yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Don't look at the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Don't look at the GFS GOOD LORD! Virginia beat down and pummeling. Wow! Even more amped than 18z which is nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Its more amped again, the low tracks right over MBY the mountains still get hit hard on the backside. Central and western VA jackpot 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Like Franklin said, DC is in a good spot now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Its more amped again, the low tracks right over MBY the mountains still get hit hard on the backside. Central and western VA jackpot Yeah this run looks fine for us still. The GFS has been very consistent with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 This is mainly just the 2nd system... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Geez GFS , you can stop now. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I would be surprised if thwy didnt issue watches at 3 a.m. for border counties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: I would be surprised if thwy didnt issue watches at 3 a.m. for border counties. Yeah that's what im thinking also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Met1985 said: Yeah this run looks fine for us still. The GFS has been very consistent with this. I am worried about a huge sleet event however even up this way with warm air flooding the mid levels. But I am not complaining one bit. Either way it’s some type of frozen precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Yeah that's what im thinking also. The way this is trending, someone could get 10+ near the border up towards Roan and Beech Mtn. Gonna be some insane rates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 This is mainly just the 2nd system...That would be the best rain for some in along time. Woof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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