LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 5 hours ago, gravitylover said: And I'm wearing a flannel because 60 and mist is unpleasant. If it gets too much cooler here in the house I may have to turn the heat on even if just to dry it out some. I turned on the a/c to get rid of the humidity and the allergens. Come up with a plan to nuke all back door fronts and I'll back you financially Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Just now, LibertyBell said: my house temp was 83.4 this afternoon the a/c needed to be turned on. No way no how would I -EVER- open the windows the allergens are awful and humidity is my mortal enemy. If I could invent an antimatter bomb to annihilate all humidity I would do so in a heartbeat. Wow, how did it get up to 83 in the house? It's 73 in ours and we haven't run any AC in weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: You're not supposed to have this in October, October is historically the sunniest month of the year. This is a spring time pattern (or November pattern) I think September holds the title for most sunny days.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Really solid downpours the last 20 minutes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 5 hours ago, Brian5671 said: really? it's 62 here...that much warmer there? dont care about the outside- it's 83.4 in my house and you can bet I wont open the windows to let this cesspool polluted humid air inside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 minute ago, JerseyWx said: Wow, how did it get up to 83 in the house? It's 73 in ours and we haven't run any AC in weeks. No idea there wasn't even any sunshine. I had the AC on here yesterday too when we were in the 80s (80 outside) and my house was up around 88 degrees inside. I just checked the outside temp and it's 70 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Really solid downpours the last 20 minutes here. hopefully that comes here, when it rains hard I notice my allergies go away, it's this misty yucky humid air without heavy rain that makes it bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 High of 69 today. Humid and mostly bright overcast. I generally hate backdoors but today wasn’t/isn’t terrible, still t-shirt weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 The latest extended EPS continues the warmer than average temperatures during the next few weeks. The deep trough digging into the West will keep pumping SE Ridge. Oct 4-11 Oct 11-18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Reached a high of 79 today at 4:20pm. The back door arrived at 4:30pm and it promptly took us down 10 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Breezy and cold/damp here today needed to close the windows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Big temperature gradient in my area with low 60s in Sussex and parts of Warren Cty’s in NJ to low 80s just south and west of Allentown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Pretty miserable out here on Island - Port Jefferson. All the hallmarks of rotten weather - low clouds, drizzle, blowing east winds. Reminds me of April and May weather out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, bkviking said: Pretty miserable out here on Island - Port Jefferson. All the hallmarks of rotten weather - low clouds, drizzle, blowing east winds. Reminds me of April and May weather out here. But it’s warm out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, psv88 said: But it’s warm out 65 dew point falls into the uncomfortable scale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: You're not supposed to have this in October, October is historically the sunniest month of the year. This is a spring time pattern (or November pattern) Is it really? That doesn't sound right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 4 hours ago, binbisso said: Looks like Early season snowfall for the West. places like Denver even Seattle and the Portland area. I guess nature has to balance herself out. it's so warm here it's going to be unseasonably cold out West. Edit: It looks like the mountains just East of Portland and Seattle will have their 1st snowfall this week The entire world has been on fire for many years now, re: yearly temp anomalies. On a side note, Antarctica was insanely cold this summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 19 minutes ago, nycwinter said: 65 dew point falls into the uncomfortable scale It's not really that uncomfortable at these temps though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 18 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: Is it really? That doesn't sound right. I thought it was just because it's when we've had some of our longest periods of clear skies. I went through my photo collection and my best astro pictures were taken in October. I thought it's because the nice fall cold fronts come through and clear us out and give us nice low humidity weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 18 minutes ago, Rjay said: It's not really that uncomfortable at these temps though. I'm going to take Benadryl it's between that or repeatedly punching my nose until I pass out. Welp, I pass out either way lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 20 minutes ago, Rjay said: The entire world has been on fire for many years now, re: yearly temp anomalies. On a side note, Antarctica was insanely cold this summer. the world is also flooding out, all these high humidity rainy days suck, especially the ones when it only rains just a little and it's misty which is what really sets off my allergies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 56 minutes ago, bkviking said: Pretty miserable out here on Island - Port Jefferson. All the hallmarks of rotten weather - low clouds, drizzle, blowing east winds. Reminds me of April and May weather out here. Yeah how does this happen in October lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The latest extended EPS continues the warmer than average temperatures during the next few weeks. The deep trough digging into the West will keep pumping SE Ridge. So some pretty impressive warm departures adding up. Oct 4-11 Oct 11-18 but why is it so awful today? Surely this cant count as one of those warm se ridge days- I see an ULL is once again messing up our weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: but why is it so awful today? Surely this cant count as one of those warm se ridge days- I see an ULL is once again messing up our weather Today was one of the easterly flow days that I mentioned yesterday when the warm minimums drive the departure. The high at JFK was +4 and the low so far of 67° is +13°. So the low could fall a few more degrees before midnight and still be close to +10°. CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 433 PM EDT MON OCT 04 2021 ................................... ...THE KENNEDY NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 4 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1948 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 73 940 AM 84 1967 69 4 69 MINIMUM 67 214 AM 39 1996 54 13 47 AVERAGE 70 62 8 58 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 52 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: Is it really? That doesn't sound right. October is one of our sunniest months. But it's worth noting that the tri-state centered on the NYC metro is sunnier than the the rest of the area at large. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Gfs has tons of easterly flow next 10-14 days. If this were March/April we'd be in the 40s with dreary conditions & gusty winds nearly everyday. But in October it's not so bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 Temperatures varied widely across the Middle Atlantic region. This afternoon's high in New York City was 69°. At Philadelphia, the temperature rose to 83°. Newark's record-breaking streak with high temperatures of 70° or above increased to 127 consecutive days. The previous record was 119 days, which was set in 2008. Since Newark first recorded 90 or more such days back in 1900, the record has increased by no more than 7 days over the prior mark, until this year. That margin was broken today. Tomorrow will likely be the coolest day of the week. Newark could again see its 70° streak challenged. Overall, though, the warm regime will continue through the coming weekend. Bismarck remains in line for one of its 5 warmest opening weeks in October. During that time, Bismarck could challenge or break its record of 4 consecutive 80° high temperatures in October. The record was set during October 3-6, 1879 and tied during October 10-13, 1934. Fall 2021 will likely be wetter to much wetter than normal in the northern Middle Atlantic region. Since 1869, there have been 9 August cases where New York City picked up 20.00" or more rainfall during the summer. Two thirds of those cases (and 4/5 of those with summer mean temperatures of 73.0° or above) had 17.00" or more fall precipitation in New York City. 2011 is probably the closest match in terms of precipitation and a nearly identical summer mean temperature. Mean fall precipitation for those 9 cases was 14.86". The median was 17.35". The 1991-2020 normal value is 12.27". Following very wet July-September periods, winter (December-February) precipitation has typically been near or below normal. The most recent exception was winter 2018-19. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around September 29. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.28°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely yield to La Niña conditions later this month. The SOI was +17.85 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.467 today. On October 2 the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 1.730 (RMM). The October 1-adjusted amplitude was 1.712 (RMM). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Gfs has tons of easterly flow next 10-14 days. If this were March/April we'd be in the 40s with dreary conditions & gusty winds nearly everyday. But in October it's not so bad. When I pointed this out yesterday, I kind of got smacked down. Just sayin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 Picked up 0.15" of rain for the day yesterday. Current temp 62/DP 60/RH 94% 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjr Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 8 hours ago, LibertyBell said: but why is it so awful today? Surely this cant count as one of those warm se ridge days- I see an ULL is once again messing up our weather Backdoor cold fronts suck. They can happen at any time of the year. I believe that the geography of LI Sound helps funnel NE winds into NYC and propels some of these fronts through when one might expect them to remain to the east of us. Also, I feel that this makes it more difficult for them to return through NYC as a warm front. I have been frustrated at forecasts predicting sunny 80 degree temps only to spend the day in the 50s while central NJ gets up to 80. I have no evidence to back this up but it seems to me that these fronts frequently occur in situations that feature an upper level eastern ridge. Upper level eastern ridges can translate to surface highs over Eastern Canada which send down backdoor fronts. I am also pretty pessimistic about EWR reaching 70 Tuesday unless we experience unexpected afternoon breaks of sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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