Stormlover74 Posted October 3, 2021 Author Share Posted October 3, 2021 84 so far at ewr. 5 degrees warmer than all of last October 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 7 hours ago, jfklganyc said: Will this week feature that “cooler then expected during a warm spell” because the temp is not going to swing more than 5 degrees that we have become famous for? Looks like humid and round the clock 60s? An xmas eve special :/ uhm it feels like summer right now and this is awesome, I can do without the 60s thats too cold for me, around 75 during the day and 60 at night is perfect and thats what we will have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 84 so far at ewr. 5 degrees warmer than all of last October anyone thinking next week is going to somehow be cool is sorely mistaken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Another 75° at Islip brings them to within one day of the all-time record. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 75 Missing Count 2007 120 0 1991 120 0 2021 119 89 2010 118 0 2011 117 0 2005 116 0 2001 116 0 2016 115 0 2015 115 0 2018 114 0 2017 113 0 2020 112 0 2014 112 0 1980 112 0 1998 111 0 2013 110 0 JFK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 Nice early autumn day here.. Current temp of 68. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 Got up to 80 today, pleasantly warm. Nice at night with temps the past few mornings in the 40s and 50s. Back down to 73 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 37 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: JFK? JFK needs 4 more days to tie the record set in 2010. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 75 Missing Count 2010 124 0 2001 124 0 1971 124 0 2015 123 0 2016 121 0 2005 121 0 1991 120 0 1963 120 0 2021 120 89 2012 119 0 2007 119 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 Did somebody say Seattle? https://ibb.co/gwx7BKL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 High of 81 today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 Today is a preview of the next few weeks. Days when we get SW flow the maximum departures will dominate. When the flow turns more easterly with clouds and rain, then the warm minimums will drive the daily warm departures. There may be several days in the mix when the warm maxes and mins can equally dominate. Albany with the easterly flow warm +10 minimum CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 432 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE ALBANY NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1874 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 65 2:59 PM 83 1922 67 -2 58 1967 MINIMUM 56 3:34 AM 29 1945 46 10 37 AVERAGE 61 56 5 48 SW flow in our area with the +8 to +13 maximums driving the warm departures CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 435 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE NEWARK NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1931 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 84 102 PM 85 1950 71 13 69 MINIMUM 56 553 AM 37 1945 54 2 48 AVERAGE 70 62 8 59 CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 435 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE LAGUARDIA NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1939 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 81 212 PM 85 2000 71 10 69 MINIMUM 63 640 AM 40 1974 58 5 55 AVERAGE 72 64 8 62 CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 435 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE ISLIP NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1963 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 77 1214 PM 80 2000 69 8 68 2002 MINIMUM 56 540 AM 34 2003 52 4 48 AVERAGE 67 60 7 58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 Currently 69° here. High of 72° briefly. Average high for here is 66° Average low is 42°. So yes. Slightly above average. Record for the date is 84 in 2007. Record low is 23 in 1968. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 58 minutes ago, bluewave said: Today is a preview of the next few weeks. Days when we get SW flow the maximum departures will dominate. When the flow turns more easterly, then the warm minimums will drive the daily warm departures. There may be several days in the mix when the warm maxes and mins can equally dominate. Albany with the easterly flow warm +10 minimum CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 432 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE ALBANY NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1874 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 65 2:59 PM 83 1922 67 -2 58 1967 MINIMUM 56 3:34 AM 29 1945 46 10 37 AVERAGE 61 56 5 48 SW flow in our area with the +8 to +13 maximums driving the warm departures CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 435 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE NEWARK NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1931 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 84 102 PM 85 1950 71 13 69 MINIMUM 56 553 AM 37 1945 54 2 48 AVERAGE 70 62 8 59 CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 435 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE LAGUARDIA NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1939 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 81 212 PM 85 2000 71 10 69 MINIMUM 63 640 AM 40 1974 58 5 55 AVERAGE 72 64 8 62 CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 435 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE ISLIP NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1963 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 77 1214 PM 80 2000 69 8 68 2002 MINIMUM 56 540 AM 34 2003 52 4 48 AVERAGE 67 60 7 58 I guess overcast skies kept that Albany temperature so much cooler today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 Phoenix, LA & Vegas will likely see cooler days than us next 2 weeks. They'll probably get a sub 70 high before Newark does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 14 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Phoenix, LA & Vegas will likely see cooler days than us next 2 weeks. They'll probably get a sub 70 high before Newark does. It seems the highly urbanized area of eastern New Jersey and parts of the city, are getting temperatures more like areas a 100 miles to the south, at least during the warmer months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 feels very humid summer like for october 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 hour ago, nycwinter said: feels very humid summer like for october 3 Yea, muggy night. 79 here today. Felt like mid summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Under partly sunny skies, temperatures soared into the upper 70s and lower 80s across the region. High temperatures included: Allentown: 80° Bridgeport: 77° Harrisburg: 81° Hartford: 71° Islip: 77° New York City-JFK: 77° New York City-LGA: 81° New York City-NYC: 77° Newark: 84° Philadelphia: 83° Newark's record-breaking streak with high temperatures of 70° or above increased to 126 consecutive days. The previous record was 119 days, which was set in 2008. Since Newark first recorded 90 or more such days back in 1900, the record has increased by no more than 7 days over the prior mark. That margin was tied today and will very likely be broken tomorrow. Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and somewhat cooler. Showers and thundershowers are possible from time to time. The warm regime will continue through much of this week. The probability of a significant rain event late in the week has diminished somewhat on the recent guidance. Out West, Bismarck saw the temperature surge to 86° after a morning low of 37°. The 49-degree range is the largest in October since October 17, 2017 when there was a 50-degree range. Bismarck remains in line for one of its 5 warmest opening weeks in October. During that time, Bismarck could challenge or break its record of 4 consecutive 80° high temperatures in October. The record was set during October 3-6, 1879 and tied during October 10-13, 1934. Fall 2021 will likely be wetter to much wetter than normal in the northern Middle Atlantic region. Since 1869, there have been 9 August cases where New York City picked up 20.00" or more rainfall during the summer. Two thirds of those cases (and 4/5 of those with summer mean temperatures of 73.0° or above) had 17.00" or more fall precipitation in New York City. 2011 is probably the closest match in terms of precipitation and a nearly identical summer mean temperature. Mean fall precipitation for those 9 cases was 14.86". The median was 17.35". The 1991-2020 normal value is 12.27". Following very wet July-September periods, winter (December-February) precipitation has typically been near or below normal. The most recent exception was winter 2018-19. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around September 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.05°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.43°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely yield to La Niña conditions this month. The SOI was +16.11 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.834 today. On October 1 the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 1.709 (RMM). The September 30-adjusted amplitude was 1.641 (RMM). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 7 hours ago, bluewave said: Today is a preview of the next few weeks. Days when we get SW flow the maximum departures will dominate. When the flow turns more easterly, then the warm minimums will drive the daily warm departures. There may be several days in the mix when the warm maxes and mins can equally dominate. Albany with the easterly flow warm +10 minimum CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 432 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE ALBANY NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1874 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 65 2:59 PM 83 1922 67 -2 58 1967 MINIMUM 56 3:34 AM 29 1945 46 10 37 AVERAGE 61 56 5 48 SW flow in our area with the +8 to +13 maximums driving the warm departures CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 435 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE NEWARK NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1931 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 84 102 PM 85 1950 71 13 69 MINIMUM 56 553 AM 37 1945 54 2 48 AVERAGE 70 62 8 59 CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 435 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE LAGUARDIA NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1939 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 81 212 PM 85 2000 71 10 69 MINIMUM 63 640 AM 40 1974 58 5 55 AVERAGE 72 64 8 62 CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 435 PM EDT SUN OCT 03 2021 ................................... ...THE ISLIP NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 3 2021... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1963 TO 2021 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 77 1214 PM 80 2000 69 8 68 2002 MINIMUM 56 540 AM 34 2003 52 4 48 AVERAGE 67 60 7 58 I dont see how an easterly wind is going to make us all that cold at all, the water temp is still in the 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 5 hours ago, lee59 said: It seems the highly urbanized area of eastern New Jersey and parts of the city, are getting temperatures more like areas a 100 miles to the south, at least during the warmer months. western long island too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 5 hours ago, nycwinter said: feels very humid summer like for october 3 fine by me, I dont want to turn any heat on until november Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Morning thoughts… Today will be variably cloudy and warm. Periods of light rain and afternoon showers and thundershowers are possible, especially in the northern Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas. High temperatures will likely reach the lower and middle 70s in most of the region. Southern New Jersey southward could see the temperature approach or reach 80°. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 72° Newark: 76° Philadelphia: 81° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 69.0°; 15-Year: 70.3° Newark: 30-Year: 70.6°; 15-Year: 72.1° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 71.8°; 15-Year: 73.1° A generally warmer than normal regime will continue through much or all of the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 The next 8 days are averaging 67degs.(63/71), or +4. GFS now with more rain than EURO over the next 10 days. TS action on the 11th?---highs went from 80's to 60's.>>>giggles. Reached 74 here yesterday. Today: Overcast, ne. wind, on/off rain-maybe 0.25", 70-73. 69*(92%RH) here at 6am. 71* at 9am. 74* at 11am. 75* at Noon(85%RH) Back to 72* at 1pm. Hey! back to 75* at 2pm + some sun which should kick off a shower at least. Reached 77* at 4:30pm. Raining by 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 6 hours ago, LibertyBell said: western long island too Not so much. Newark is usually higher by a good amount. At least in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 It feels like September 4th not October 4th outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 The 68° dew point at 7 am in October is just a few degrees off the record of 71° set back in 2018. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=RWR&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 40 minutes ago, lee59 said: Not so much. Newark is usually higher by a good amount. At least in my area. it is but we were right around 80 here yesterday too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 39 minutes ago, lee59 said: It feels like September 4th not October 4th outside. the reason I like this weather is I dont have to turn my heat on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Feels more like an august rainy day then October on the uws part of what I believe is our new climate. With arctic sea ice dwindling it takes longer for the Arctic to cool in autumn and cool downs less likely and less intense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 When things do flip they could do so very sharply. I could see 80s deep into October followed by a freeze less than a week later. However as of now it looks very likely that the well AN weather will continue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 I looked at 20 warm Octobers on average and what was the snowfall the following winters... 65% got less than 30" of snowfall....60% over 20"... 00.0-09.9.....1 10.0-19.9.....7 20.0-29.9.....5 30.0-39.9.....2 40.0-49.9.....2 50.0-59.9.....1 60.0+............2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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