ThundaBOOMA Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 I'm 65 miles northwest of NYC. Isn't seasonal for me in the 60's/30's this time of year? Despite recent trends, of course. I remember some downright cold nights in mid September back during the 90's. 20's? Currently 44 with 96% humidity, and all of these warm/wet days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Morning thoughts… Today will be partly sunny and noticeably warmer. High temperatures will likely reach the middle and upper 70s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 74° Newark: 78° Philadelphia: 77° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 69.8°; 15-Year: 71.1° Newark: 30-Year: 71.4°; 15-Year: 72.9° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 72.6°; 15-Year: 73.9° Tomorrow will be another very warm day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 The next 8 days are averaging 70degs.(64/76), or +7. Kiss BN T's goodbye for two weeks. EURO still with 3x the rain of the GFS each run, for the next 10 days. Reached 70 here yesterday. Today: 72-76, w. wind, m. sunny. 57*(72%RH) here at 6am, m. clear-cirrus. 60* at 9am. 68* at Noon. 70* at 1pm. 72* at 3pm. Reached 76* at 4:30pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 43. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Monitoring for a wet start and end to the week, with driest-rainfree odds strongest Wed-Thu. Overall the easy morning WPC 7 day qpf looks decent. Won't rule out spotty week long 5-7" amounts by Sunday evening in the NYC suforum. For now, consider it routine..am monitoring for the heavier amounts but not convinced enough for a thread. 00z/2 EPS is much wetter than the 00z/2 GEFS which has been constantly drier than the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 October has been one of our fastest rising temperature months of the fall along with September. The area just experienced the warmest October on record back in 2017. The highest monthly maximum temperature record was set in 2019 with the flash drought and mid 90s. It’s also interesting that most 60° Octobers have been La Ninas. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of OctClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature ENSO 2017 63.8 La Niña 2007 63.5 La Niña 1971 63.1 La Niña 1990 62.4 Neutral 1984 62.2 La Niña 1949 61.6 La Niña 1963 61.2 El Niño 1995 61.0 La Niña 1947 61.0 Neutral 2019 60.4 Neutral 1954 60.4 La Niña 1973 60.3 La Niña 1946 60.0 El Niño 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 October averaged around 58.5 in NYC during the 1940's to 1960's...then it cooled to around 57.5 from the 1970's to 1990's...now its warming again to the 40's and 50's averages... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Yesterday may have been a good example what the foliage in Central Park does to its temperatures. Keeps day time highs lower and night time lows higher. With good radiational cooling last night Newark got down to the low 50s while Central Park stayed in the high 50s. Meanwhile yesterdays highs were the low 70s in Newark and upper 60s in Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 54F Glorious. Water rather warm still 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 48 minutes ago, lee59 said: Yesterday may have been a good example what the foliage in Central Park does to its temperatures. Keeps day time highs lower and night time lows higher. With good radiational cooling last night Newark got down to the low 50s while Central Park stayed in the high 50s. Meanwhile yesterdays highs were the low 70s in Newark and upper 60s in Central Park. The minimum at NYC was lower than EWR and LGA. But you can see the deep shade shaving at least 3°off the high temperature. The high temperature on the Great Lawn in Central Park was probably around 70°instead of 67° in the deep shade near the castle. LGA………….…....70/54 NYC………………..67/51 JFK………………...70/50 EWR………………..72/52 FRG…………………68/49 ISP………..……...…68/49 Brownsville …….73/54 Ozone Park……..71/52 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Down to 43 and on the way to another gorgeous weekend (4 in a row) with mostly sunny and near 80. Tomorrow the warmest day of the week with low 80s likely. Hung up pattern with ULL closing off and heading to Gulf coast. Ridge over the top pushes onshore or southerly (humid flow) this week, perhaps pushing dewpoints near 70 at times.. Clouds in the way from higher daytime maxes but nighttime lows in the 60s for a bunch of the week. Some rain / storms likely Tuesday otherwise only scattered showers the rest of the work week. Next weekend Fri (10/8) looks to continue a bit unsettled and perhaps spoil the chance for 5 in a row spectacular weekends, before the ridge builds east by Mon (10/11). Models may present chance for late season 80s, especially in the warmer spots towards mid month Mon (10/11) - Fri (10/16). Overall looking warmer than normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Sam just visible on the wide East coast / atlantic coast sat view. Sunshine state having some remarkable weather for a while now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 11 hours ago, lee59 said: On clear chilly nights with no wind, the difference in temperatures can be impressive. Not only the difference between city and rural but even where a temperature sensor is located. For example, I have a vantage vue located about 20 ft. off the ground and the temperature is 54. About 30 feet away is a vantage pro sensor 6 ft. off the ground, which is what the NWS says is the correct height, and that reading is 51. Cool air sinks… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 46 overnight, coolest of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The minimum at NYC was lower than EWR and LGA. But you can see the deep shade shaving at least 3°off the high temperature. The high temperature on the Great Lawn in Central Park was probably around 70°instead of 67° in the deep shade near the castle. LGA………….…....70/54 NYC………………..67/51 JFK………………...70/50 EWR………………..72/52 FRG…………………68/49 ISP………..……...…68/49 Brownsville …….73/54 Ozone Park……..71/52 I didn't make myself clear. I meant last nights low, not the day before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Cool air sinks… Yea and can make some difference on calm nights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Sam just visible on the wide East coast / atlantic coast sat view. Sunshine state having some remarkable weather for a while now. Could be some good swells at the beaches, maybe some overwash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, lee59 said: Could be some good swells at the beaches, maybe some overwash. Big swell periods 17 seconds are just starting to show on the offshore buoys. It’s the period that matters most for washovers. Anything over 14 seconds but especially 17 seconds. They contain the most energy and are moving the fastest, kinds like mini tsunamis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Morning at Robert Moses State Park. Readings around 60 at sunrise. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 14 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Very scary stuff. The warming is accelerating so quickly. It's only a matter of time till these anomalies arrive in July. The Pacific Northwest dealt with such extremes at the end of June. Maybe this decade will see an extreme heat outbreak here. It will even be scorching hot under the dense foliage at Central Park. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Another perfect weekend. 75 and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 POU, HPN, FOX and NYC at 71 Everyone else between 73-76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 they did not have concrete before humanity existed so central park temps are what the real temps should be.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, nycwinter said: they did not have concrete before humanity existed so central park temps are what the real temps should be.. Ffs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 October is really the best month of the year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: October is really the best month of the year. I'm a fan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 44 minutes ago, Allsnow said: October is really the best month of the year. It's the most stable probably. Never has ENSO changed direction in October. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Warm day but a coolness still in the shade with the low humidity, an impressive 77 today. Feel good about hitting 80 tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 4 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: The Pacific Northwest dealt with such extremes at the end of June. Maybe this decade will see an extreme heat outbreak here. It will even be scorching hot under the dense foliage at Central Park. Ironically, our humidity that’s coming with the warming is working again the extreme temperatures. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now