dmillz25 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Could see our first 40s tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 13 minutes ago, psv88 said: Feels like summer morning out Jesus. 72/66 at least there is a breeze...something you don't usually get on a summer morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 11 minutes ago, psv88 said: What areas? I’m not seeing that at all. Maybe in New England. We will be 65+ This morning's GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 2 hours ago, bluewave said: JFK and LGA were nearly identical in January during the 1981-2010 climate normals period. But it changed during the new 1991-2020 climate normals. JFK is the only station in our area with not much of a January temperature increase for the new January climate normals. I doubt it’s UHI since LGA rose at exactly the same rate as HPN which is in a more rural part of our area near the CT border in Westchester. But the more interesting question is why did the average temperature at JFK hold steady while all the surrounding areas rose between +1.1 and +1.5°? https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/us-climate-normals/#dataset=normals-monthly&timeframe=81&location=NY Station…81-10….91-20…January increase EWR….31.6…32.8…+1.2 NYC….32.6...33.7…+1.1 LGA….32.9..34.4…+1.5 JFK….32.7….32.8…+0.1 ISP…..30.6…31.9…..+1.3 HPN…28.3…29.8….+1.5 My stats were from 2000-2021. That would mean LGA actually fell .3 degrees from the 1991-2020 period. JFk went up .2 in the same time frames. Islip also fell in the 2000-2021 time frame compared to 1990-2020 by some .4 degrees. Central Park fell .3 also. Newark stayed about the same. Sounds like the 1990s were very mild January. Station 2000-2021 1990-2020 JFK 33 32.8 LGA 34.1 34.4 ISP 31.5 31.9 EWR 32.8 32.8 NYC 33.4 33.7 I understand my stats are not a 30 yr time frame. I got them off the NWS site and they listed the 2000-2021 time frame. Interesting that JFK is the only station of the immediate metro area that rose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 35 minutes ago, SnowDemon said: This morning's GFS. Those are not the forecasted highs… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 9 minutes ago, psv88 said: Those are not the forecasted highs… I mean, the NWS is even predicting of 63 at Newark and 59 at White Plains. So its definitely possible, if not likely, that many in the area will stay in the 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 1 minute ago, SnowDemon said: I mean, the NWS is even predicting of 63 at Newark. So its definitely possible, if not likely, that many in the area will stay in the 50s. If could see Putnam north, Fairfield north, Sussex county staying in the 50. But most of the area will stay in the 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: If could see Putnam north, Fairfield north, Sussex county staying in the 50. But most of the area will stay in the 60s. Well, perhaps. But this is not what you were claiming initially. And forecasts and models show that it could stay in the 50s in additional areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 High of 61 here for Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 12 minutes ago, psv88 said: If could see Putnam north, Fairfield north, Sussex county staying in the 50. But most of the area will stay in the 60s. Highs look around 60 depending on clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 1 hour ago, psv88 said: What areas? I’m not seeing that at all. Maybe in New England. We will be 65+ Not seeing 65+ on Monday, who is we 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 As SACRUS said, the warmup mid next week looks significant. At least mid 70s wednesday and thursday. The cooldowns, like the ones coming for this sunday/monday and next weekend into early the following week, aren't very impressive with high temps still making it to the low-mid 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Not seeing 65+ on Monday, who is we Where most of the people live Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: As SACRUS said, the warmup mid next week looks significant. At least mid 70s wednesday and thursday. The cooldowns, like the ones coming for this sunday/monday and next weekend into early the following week, aren't very impressive with high temps still making it to the low-mid 60s. I think the cooldown next weekend will be significant.High won't get out of the 50's which is slightly cooler than normal.Again folks it's the Fall. Winter doesn't arrive for over 2 months. Enjoy this nice weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 20 minutes ago, SnowDemon said: Well, perhaps. But this is not what you were claiming initially. And forecasts and models show that it could stay in the 50s in additional areas. What did I claim initially? Of course upstate will be cooler. Where most people live, it will be well into the 60s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: As SACRUS said, the warmup mid next week looks significant. At least mid 70s wednesday and thursday. The cooldowns, like the ones coming for this sunday/monday and next weekend into early the following week, aren't very impressive with high temps still making it to the low-mid 60s. Yup. Not an impressive cool down by any means. Just a reversion back to normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Just now, psv88 said: What did I claim initially? Of course upstate will be cooler. Where most people live, it will be well into the 60s "What areas? I’m not seeing that at all. Maybe in New England. We will be 65+" What modeling or forecasts show that 50s will be exclusive to New England and that the general metro area will see 65+ for a high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: High of 61 here for Monday No. NWS has you at 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Just now, SnowDemon said: "What areas? I’m not seeing that at all. Maybe in New England. We will be 65+" What modeling or forecasts show that 50s will be exclusive to New England and that the general metro area will see 65+ for a high? Southern Connecticut will be in the 60s brother, even white plains will be in the 60s…and Connecticut is New England… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Yup. Not an impressive cool down by any means. Just a reversion back to normal. Average high is 63..so normal gets you into the low 60's. 10 degrees above normal gets you into the low 70's..10 degrees below low 50's..It's October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 quibbling over a high below 60 in mid october, lol. on oct 16 1944 ewr had a low of 31 and in 2009 the high was 46. today is the 13th day in a row with lows above 60... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 16, 2021 Author Share Posted October 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Yup. Not an impressive cool down by any means. Just a reversion back to normal. Yes. Nothing below normal during this "cool" stretch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 1 minute ago, KEITH L.I said: Average high is 63..so normal gets you into the low 60's. 10 degrees above normal gets you into the low 70's..10 degrees below low 50's..It's October For what site is the average high 63? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: quibbling over a high below 60 in mid october, lol. on oct 16 1944 ewr had a low of 31 and in 2009 the high was 46. today is the 13th day in a row with lows above 60... The ACATT crew in full force. Gonna be a long winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: quibbling over a high below 60 in mid october, lol. on oct 16 1944 ewr had a low of 31 and in 2009 the high was 46. today is the 13th day in a row with lows above 60... LOL, pretty much. I'm just not sure what psv is seeing. 6 minutes ago, psv88 said: Southern Connecticut will be in the 60s brother, even white plains will be in the 60s…and Connecticut is New England… OK, sure, but they will likely see temps with the low 60s with many other areas seeing highs right around 60. Not 65+. I guess I'm not sure where you're pulling these numbers from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 1 minute ago, psv88 said: The ACATT crew in full force. Gonna be a long winter I'm a winter weather lover however We are far from Winter. You're crazy if you haven't loved the weather the last 6 weeks. highs in the seventies and lows around 60 perfect. it could stay this way till Thanksgiving for all I care then we can flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 1 minute ago, SnowDemon said: LOL, pretty much. I'm just not sure what psv is seeing. OK, sure, but they will likely see temps with the low 60s with many other areas seeing highs right around 60. I guess I'm not sure where you're pulling these numbers from. My point was you posted a chart for temps at 1 pm which showed 55 for the area…just not accurate lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: For what site is the average high 63? Daily normals for Central Park..It's mid October!!..by November 1st the average high is 59, by December 1st ,48 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 1 minute ago, binbisso said: I'm a winter weather lover however We are far from Winter. You're crazy if you haven't loved the weather the last 6 weeks. highs in the seventies and lows around 60 perfect. it could stay this way till Thanksgiving for all I care then we can flip I agree 100%. I would like one hard freeze to kill the bugs. The mosquitoes are Ruthless right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: My point was you posted a chart for temps at 1 pm which showed 55 for the area…just not accurate lol Fair. I was just a bit confused by your original statement when that wasn't what was being forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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