MJO812 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 Euro is drier for the weekend. It has sucked recently . Hard to take it seriously anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 another warm uncomfortable day shaping up for october 8. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 20 minutes ago, bluewave said: The main question for the weekend forecast is if the NAM is correct about the inverted trough feature? This is displaced on the NAM well NW of the low. It could result in some locally heavier rainfall near our area. Probably need to wait another few runs to know for sure. But models like the Euro were off and on with this potential inverted trough rainfall enhancement. those often end up north and east of where modeled as well. (Assuming it happens at all) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 1 hour ago, nycwinter said: another warm uncomfortable day shaping up for october 8. There is nothing uncomfortable about this day. Spectacular early September day 77F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 16 minutes ago, jfklganyc said: There is nothing uncomfortable about this day. Spectacular early September day 77F 72 degrees 60 dewpoint for this time of year that is uncomfortable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 27 minutes ago, jfklganyc said: There is nothing uncomfortable about this day. Spectacular early September day 77F Who doesn't enjoy pumpkin picking in a swimsuit? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 80 degrees here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSG5010 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 14 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Right now, it looks as if showers and light rain will arrive Sunday morning near 8 am and on and off light rain will persist into the evening. Total rainfall will be somewhere around 0.50”. I wish things looked better. We’ll see what the overnight guidance shows. Any realistic updates for Sunday, weather friends, or still TBD? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, JSG5010 said: Any realistic updates for Sunday, weather friends, or still TBD? Thanks! models look a bit wetter with an inverted trough feature...hard to pinpoint though...these are notoriously fickle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 76° at Islip. This establishes a new annual record of 121 days reaching 75° or warmer. The high of 76° so far is average for September 10th. MacArthur/ISP PTSUNNY 76 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 75 Missing Count 2021 121 84 2007 120 0 1991 120 0 2010 118 0 2011 117 0 2005 116 0 2001 116 0 2016 115 0 2015 115 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 75 here in HPN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 endless summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Will - Rutgers said: endless summer Reminds me of 07 except that year foliage didn't peak until mid November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: models look a bit wetter with an inverted trough feature...hard to pinpoint though...these are notoriously fickle. Euro around .7 for the area as Sunday is the wettest day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Euro around .7 for the area as Sunday is the wettest day. both NAM and EURO like N NJ for the INV Trough. I'd bet based on experience it either doesn't happen or ends up further NE - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 Could be quite breezy along the coast this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 1 hour ago, Will - Rutgers said: endless summer Indices support strong cooling by next weekend and beyond. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Indices support strong cooling by next weekend and beyond. I think we get a cool shot next week but I doubt we sustain it. The pac is way to ugly for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 15 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I think we get a cool shot next week but I doubt we sustain it. The pac is way to ugly for that might end up like the late Sept cooldown a couple days near or below normal.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: might end up like the late Sept cooldown a couple days near or below normal.... Yup. You can see at the end of the euro another trough diving into the west coast. Might just be a long enough cool down to remember what fall feels like lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 i just heard a cicada 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 33 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I think we get a cool shot next week but I doubt we sustain it. The pac is way to ugly for that I see the trough getting pushed further west and allowing a PNA to pop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i just heard a cicada Welcome to the rest of your life and some change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 Probability of at least 1": Meanwhile winds will be gusty from 3am Sat. to Mon. PM. Up to 25mph and maybe higher for me by the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 While record ridges have been dominating, models have a rare -4SD near record trough for the SW next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 3 hours ago, JSG5010 said: Any realistic updates for Sunday, weather friends, or still TBD? Thanks! The National Blend of Models has about a quarter inch of rain, mainly from afternoon showers. There remains higher than usual uncertainty as to the potential development and placement of an inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 Looks like a gloomy, somewhat raw type weekend, especially Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, lee59 said: Looks like a gloomy, somewhat raw type weekend, especially Sunday. Perfect football watching weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 Today proved to be another great late-season beach day with strong sunshine and temperatures in the 70s. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 2 hours ago, bluewave said: While record ridges have been dominating, models have a rare -4SD near record trough for the SW next week. 400dm -PNA, I went back to 1948, and only Strong Nino's/Nina's had it (4SD). It's dissolving... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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