OBS-Nowcast isolated 3.5" rainfall and/or SVR from 3PM Thu-8AM Fri 9/23-24/21 NYS/NJ/CT/w LI

[wdrag]

Wantage NJ 8 s High Point: 1.42 so far.

[wdrag]

Rainfall so far today in NJ/NYS per climate mesonet sites.

[crossbowftw3]

Heaviest showers finally moving off from here. Winds are picking up somewhat so the front very much is nearby. 

[ThundaBOOMA]

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
519 PM EDT Thu Sep 23 2021

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067-069-074-232215-
Hudson NJ-Eastern Union NJ-Eastern Essex NJ-Western Bergen NJ-
Western Passaic NJ-Western Union NJ-Western Essex NJ-
Eastern Bergen NJ-Eastern Passaic NJ-Rockland NY-
Richmond (Staten Is.) NY-Orange NY-
519 PM EDT Thu Sep 23 2021

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT MOST OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
ORANGE AND ROCKLAND COUNTIES IN NEW YORK THROUGH 615 PM
EDT...

At 517 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Florida to near Ramsey to Union to near
Carteret to near Tottenville. Movement was north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Newark, Jersey City, Paterson, Elizabeth, Passaic, Bayonne, Wayne,
Hoboken, Bloomfield, Hackensack, Linden, New City, Orange, Middletown
and Bergenfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4060 7421 4060 7439 4090 7432 4091 7427
      4115 7443 4120 7437 4131 7459 4150 7455
      4150 7448 4163 7426 4158 7403 4134 7405
      4129 7395 4125 7397 4114 7389 4098 7390
      4068 7406 4056 7407 4050 7423 4050 7426
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 191DEG 40KT 4131 7445 4106 7421 4069 7427 4056
7426 4049 7419

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

$$

Goodman

 

Not sure if this is even warranted. Standard FROPA for this time of year. Actually, a rather passive one.

[snywx]

Up to 1.55" now

Heavy rain continues

[winterwx21]

1.45" so far. Had some very close lightning strikes as well.

[Rtd208]

Picked up 1.04" of rain so far today.

[IrishRob17]

Only .40 here so far and I’m perfectly fine with that. DP dropping, down to 65. 

[Santa Claus]

35 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

1.45" so far. Had some very close lightning strikes as well.

massive, very close.

[hudsonvalley21]

0.85 here so far. Mostly from the thunderstorms that rolled thru in the last hour.

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
  Orange County in southeastern New York...
  Rockland County in southeastern New York...

* Until 1045 PM EDT.

* At 552 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
  thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  New City, Newburgh, Middletown, Monsey, Nanuet, Haverstraw,
  Suffern, Port Jervis, Monroe, Walden, Nyack, West Point, Warwick,
  Goshen, Sloatsburg, Howells, New Windsor, Pearl River, Orangeburg
  and Gardnertown.

[hudsonvalley21]

9 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Only .40 here so far and I’m perfectly fine with that. DP dropping, down to 65. 

Wind direction has flipped to s/w here from s/se dew pt is 70. High dew pt for the day was 73.

[RippleEffect]

Is there a chance for a spin up with this system?

[IrishRob17]

14 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

Wind direction has flipped to s/w here from s/se dew pt is 70. High dew pt for the day was 73.

My high dew was 72, down to 63 now

[Rmine1]

Awful outside in central LI. Front barely moving. 
 

7:45 pm 76/73 split. Even the mosquitoes are sweating 

[Rjay]

12 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Awful outside in central LI. Front barely moving. 

Feels ok with the breeze. 

[forkyfork]

the hrrr shows the precip flaring up again later tonight. maybe that can get knyc closer to 10" for the month

[Rmine1]

5 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Feels ok with the breeze. 

Strangely, considering the proximity of the front, the sea breeze has subdued quite a bit here in Brightwaters. I’m about a mile + from immediate shoreline.

[STORMANLI]

Steamy 76/72

 Only .70" since 2nd.

Be ok with 1/2" if it happens in NW Suffolk

[Santa Claus]

6 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

the hrrr shows the precip flaring up again later tonight. maybe that can get knyc closer to 10" for the month

what would be the driving force behind that, forky?

[Rjay]

5 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Strangely, considering the proximity of the front, the sea breeze has subdued quite a bit here in Brightwaters. I’m about a mile + from immediate shoreline.

Winds are gusting up to 25mph here 

[forkyfork]

2 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

what would be the driving force behind that, forky?

a jet streak lifting north

[wdrag]

1.57 so far today in this part of Wantage NJ. higher amounts juste w of Wantage in Sussex County NJ. 

[nyrangers1022]

Off and on crazy downpours here

[wdrag]

Some rainfall today as of 8P. 

[Rmine1]

7 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Winds are gusting up to 25mph here 

Edit: I’m a dope, no offense to the other dopes out there. Forgot that directly to my south is a large house that is obviously blocking the ground level breeze. Only have lived here for six years, lol. Trees tell completely different story. I’ll shut up now 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Finally a heavy rain threat that underperformed 

likely due to the fact that there is no tropical storm or hurricane origin. 
had some brief flooding on campus but pretty run of the mill 

[Rmine1]

20 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Finally a heavy rain threat that underperformed 

likely due to the fact that there is no tropical storm or hurricane origin. 
had some brief flooding on campus but pretty run of the mill 

Underperformed? So it’s over? Ugh, because I just over-seeded and need the rain. Too bad  

[snywx]

1.79" here

[Brian5671]

32 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Finally a heavy rain threat that underperformed 

likely due to the fact that there is no tropical storm or hurricane origin. 
had some brief flooding on campus but pretty run of the mill 

 

10 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Underperformed? So it’s over? Ugh, because I just over-seeded and need the rain. Too bad  

read forky's post above-we'll get some enhancement later

[Rmine1]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

 

read forky's post above-we'll get some enhancement later

I was being facetious