IWXwx Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 Mother Nature is complying with the calendar for Northeast Indiana. We have enjoyed a prolonged stretch of much above normal temperatures and even yesterday and today was/will be in the upper 70's. However, the autumnal equinox tomorrow will bring highs only reaching the upper 50's with the cold through/closed low (depending on your model of choice) and not much recovery until Friday afternoon. Welcome to fall 2021. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 Going to feel very fall like here over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 21, 2021 Author Share Posted September 21, 2021 Our NWI posters need to head up to the Indiana Dunes area and get some video of the 10-14 ft. waves crashing onto shore tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 Yeah love these early fall season change ushering lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 29 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Yeah love these early fall season change ushering lows Classmate of mine at CMU had a great word for these fronts. Called them equalizers, 2 or 3 equalizers and you go from 90 to 60s and don't come back 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 1 hour ago, IWXwx said: Our NWI posters need to head up to the Indiana Dunes area and get some video of the 10-14 ft. waves crashing onto shore tomorrow. My bar is higher than that. Last time I was there for a wx event was Sandy. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whoosh Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 As a lower Lake Michigan denizen, looking at the winds and waters the next couple of days, wondering if others are thinking or talking about the seiche potential. @RCNYILWX here .... Skilling elsewhere .... others? I documented and rough analyzed some seiche data from 2004 <https://tgeo.com/seiche_4521/> .... of course the public data sites have changed since then. Here's what monitoring potential I have for now: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ofs/lmhofs/lmhofs.html https://www.weather.gov/greatlakes/ wind/waves only (double click for forecast point) https://www.weather.gov/lot/marine https://www.lre.usace.army.mil/Missions/Great-Lakes-Information/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 Updated dashboard on College of Dupage weather web site. Looks like they could have Canadian GEM-GDPS at some time in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 24, 2021 Author Share Posted September 24, 2021 Well okay then! Ludington-Lake Michigan 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 24, 2021 Share Posted September 24, 2021 19 hours ago, IWXwx said: Well okay then! Ludington-Lake Michigan Summer to Winter all in one day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted September 27, 2021 Share Posted September 27, 2021 ORD is up to 97 days with a temp of 80+ so far in 2021. Very backloaded this year, as Aug-Sep had meaningfully more 80+ days (45) than June-July (40). If there is a warm spell in October, ORD could end up with around 100 days of 80+. That may crack the Top 10, as I believe the record for a year is around 105?? April - 3 days May - 9 days June - 21 days July - 19 days Aug - 29 days Sep - 16 days (assumes the high temp will hit 80+ on 9/29 and 9/30, but not on 9/28) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 27, 2021 Share Posted September 27, 2021 32 minutes ago, beavis1729 said: ORD is up to 97 days with a temp of 80+ so far in 2021. Very backloaded this year, as Aug-Sep had meaningfully more 80+ days (45) than June-July (40). If there is a warm spell in October, ORD could end up with around 100 days of 80+. That may crack the Top 10, as I believe the record for a year is around 105?? April - 3 days May - 9 days June - 21 days July - 19 days Aug - 29 days Sep - 16 days (assumes the high temp will hit 80+ on 9/29 and 9/30, but not on 9/28) The record is 103 days in 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 30, 2021 Share Posted September 30, 2021 hate it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 30, 2021 Share Posted September 30, 2021 WAD winter confirmed 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 30, 2021 Author Share Posted September 30, 2021 6 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: WAD winter confirmed I'm riding Brian D's Old Farmers Almanac model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 30, 2021 Share Posted September 30, 2021 Let's get this warm period out of the way now so we can have our 30" December to remember. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 ORD is up to 99 days with a temp of 80+ so far in 2021. Very backloaded this year, as Aug-Oct has meaningfully more 80+ days (47) than June-July (40). Normally ORD would be done with 80+ days by now, but the warm pattern over the next 10-15 days may lead to a few more. I don't think we'll break the record of 103 in 2005, but it could be close. April - 3 days May - 9 days June - 21 days July - 19 days Aug - 29 days Sep - 16 days Oct - 2 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 Took all of the outdoor hoses off of the spigots. Put on all the spigot insulators and hung the hoses up inside the garage till Spring rolls back around. Bring on the cold air, I guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 31, 2021 Author Share Posted October 31, 2021 Boy, this thread's been dead. Oh, we're going to Dayton the first week of December to see Trans Siberian Orchestra. Hope we don't get 89'd. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 31, 2021 Share Posted October 31, 2021 Boy, this thread's been dead. Oh, we're going to Dayton the first week of December to see Trans Siberian Orchestra. Hope we don't get 89'd.condolences.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted October 31, 2021 Share Posted October 31, 2021 39 minutes ago, IWXwx said: Boy, this thread's been dead. Oh, we're going to Dayton the first week of December to see Trans Siberian Orchestra. Hope we don't get 89'd. Maybe they can roll out 89% relative humidity just for you and the occasion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted November 1, 2021 Share Posted November 1, 2021 in a coma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 Glad the clock got moved back for the sole reason of model runs releasing an hour earlier. Now I can view the Euro every night without compromising my beauty sleep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 was a great weekend 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 So as we head toward winter, here's a question for everyone. Have you ever given thought as to what the biggest snowstorm is that you could realistically ever see at your location? Obviously there are a couple things to look at when trying to come up with some answer. One is to check what the biggest storms have produced regionally, and another is to look at the biggest storms at (or near) your current location. I am going to focus on Chicago since that is close enough to me. The record snowstorm for them is 23", with a few other storms that have produced at least 20". I have wondered if we could ever get a 30" storm at ORD, which would be a whopping 7" above the record storm. I see that as a very tall order, but not impossible, as there is precedence for storms producing over 2 feet of snow in other locations in northeast IL and elsewhere in the region. There is an overall trend toward more precipitation over time. Factoring that in, I do think the record of 23" will be broken in my lifetime (assuming I live reasonably long) but it is probably more likely to be a 24 or 25 inch storm than 30 inches. I have mentioned this before, but I view biggest snowstorm, hottest temp and coldest temp as the holy trinity of weather records for a given location (record lowest max, record highest min, biggest rainfall are not unimportant, but I don't put those on the same level). Out of biggest snowstorm, hottest temp, and coldest temp, I'd actually give a slight edge to biggest snowstorm being the most likely one to be broken... even over hottest temp. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 For this area I can't see MLI ever breaking their all-time max of 111. I think the biggest snow event at MLI is around 18", so I guess a 2 footer is possible if given the right scenario. Would be pretty hard to do better than that without the benefit of lake moisture out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 I've never measured 12" from one storm. I think the max here would be 16" if the planets align just right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 30+ ez, just need a perfect fgen, defo, les trifecta 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 I would say 24", we've gotten some totals of around 20" in the area with storms before and that's with imperfect storms so I think a 2 footer is reasonable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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