Weather Will Posted September 30, 2021 Share Posted September 30, 2021 WB 12Z EURO is very wet next week…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 30, 2021 Share Posted September 30, 2021 12 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO is very wet next week…. Holy crap. Save some of that for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 30, 2021 Share Posted September 30, 2021 4 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO is very wet next week…. Boo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted September 30, 2021 Share Posted September 30, 2021 4 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO is very wet next week…. Jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 I wouldn't be surprised if we break into the 80s here in early October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 Just more stuff.. the -PDO intensification-PNA/+EPO through the first 15 days of October, Oct1-15, will be as extreme as it gets. Monthly analogs https://ibb.co/PYc0GLZ https://ibb.co/kSJL5BT https://ibb.co/2Mrf9NC https://ibb.co/LtTx9vD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 Not a good start for eventual early season cold air delivery. Hey, but whatever. This seems to be the recent par for the course deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 End of next week looks depressing, unless you are reseeding your lawn. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 Ok with me. 2009 had a nice fall mud season. And by December the ground was hard as a rock! Now if what happened on the night of Jan 22, 2016 was happening on December 24, 2021 it wouldn't be just a jackpot but the Mega Millions jackpot of a billion plus! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 39 minutes ago, frd said: End of next week looks depressing, unless you are reseeding your lawn. . Sickening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 1 hour ago, frd said: End of next week looks depressing, unless you are reseeding your lawn. . I'm always reseeding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 3 hours ago, ravensrule said: I'm always reseeding. That's what she said. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 3 rounds of -PNA coming, 10-3, 10-8, 10-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 5 hours ago, ravensrule said: I'm always reseeding. Well your seed may wash away. The trend is wetter ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, frd said: Well your seed may wash away. The trend is wetter ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 We’re spending a week in New England the week of Columbus Day…hopefully that wet pattern is gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 3 hours ago, frd said: Well your seed may wash away. The trend is wetter ! Hay isn't just for horses! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 On 10/1/2021 at 4:25 PM, frd said: Well your seed may wash away. The trend is wetter ! I’m going to have to put my strongest seed possible. Thanks for the heads up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 Hasn't rained here in over a week, but seedlings have emerged nicely, thanks to the sprinkler and mild temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 3, 2021 Share Posted October 3, 2021 On 9/30/2021 at 3:06 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO is very wet next week…. Seems the Euro still doesn't get things correct at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 We've gone from multiple inches of rain for the week ahead to 0.5-0.75" on the WPC maps. To its credit, the GFS was never really on board with the Euro's big event. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 hour ago, high risk said: We've gone from multiple inches of rain for the week ahead to 0.5-0.75" on the WPC maps. To its credit, the GFS was never really on board with the Euro's big event. As I mentioned above the Euro has been off its game for quite some time. Can you imagine if it was Winter and that was ❄️ never trust the Euro! ( Unless there is multi model agreement). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 Blech…pattern just is putrid for the next 10+ days. Deep west coast trough and we’re stuck in this muggy warm airmass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Blech…pattern just is putrid for the next 10+ days. Deep west coast trough and we’re stuck in this muggy warm airmass. Snow is being talked about out West, and not only the mountain areas. Meanwhile the typical October robust WAR holds serve, while warm Atlantic ocean temps remain over wide areas of the basin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 It can stay warmish until mid November for all I care...I'm a firm believer that if it gets cold too early we bounce warm at the wrong time. I'd rather risk staying warm vs hoping the cold holds when it does us no good. Snap into cold early December and let's have a festive holiday season. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: It can stay warmish until mid November for all I care...I'm a firm believer that if it gets cold too early we bounce warm at the wrong time. I'd rather risk staying warm vs hoping the cold holds when it does us no good. Snap into cold early December and let's have a festive holiday season. I think there’s something to that and I don’t totally disagree. But still want some warm day/cool nights with low humidity type of fall weather. That would still average AN as well. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 6, 2021 Share Posted October 6, 2021 2 hours ago, leesburg 04 said: It can stay warmish until mid November for all I care...I'm a firm believer that if it gets cold too early we bounce warm at the wrong time. I'd rather risk staying warm vs hoping the cold holds when it does us no good. Snap into cold early December and let's have a festive holiday season. 100% 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 6, 2021 Author Share Posted October 6, 2021 5 hours ago, leesburg 04 said: It can stay warmish until mid November for all I care...I'm a firm believer that if it gets cold too early we bounce warm at the wrong time. I'd rather risk staying warm vs hoping the cold holds when it does us no good. Snap into cold early December and let's have a festive holiday season. Best post of the thread so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted October 6, 2021 Share Posted October 6, 2021 5 hours ago, leesburg 04 said: It can stay warmish until mid November for all I care...I'm a firm believer that if it gets cold too early we bounce warm at the wrong time. I'd rather risk staying warm vs hoping the cold holds when it does us no good. Snap into cold early December and let's have a festive holiday season. 2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: 100% Now we had this last year...with the torched November. But then we still didn't have a ton of cold air. I remember @psuhoffman suggesting that the warm November may have influenced what happened in January (blocking with lack of cold air). So...will it make a difference this time? That's the question... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted October 6, 2021 Share Posted October 6, 2021 9 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now we had this last year...with the torched November. But then we still didn't have a ton of cold air. I remember @psuhoffman suggesting that the warm November may have influenced what happened in January (blocking with lack of cold air). So...will it make a difference this time? That's the question... Continued warmth ahead .....for mid October Little by little is doesn't really matter whether the Pac is on our side or not. Blocking in the AO and NAO domains doesn't gaurantee or foster snow any longer to the lower lattititudes, which includes us. In a general warming base state you will achieve less cold air intrusions with less severity when you start with less available cold air, but also a not so conducive cryosphere to transport that cold air to lower lattitudes. Telleconnections do not work as they did before. Analog years do not work as they did before. Data shows that less and less snow is falling in our area and in areas to our SW and South. Get use to pathetic snowfall and warmth year around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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