Texas Weather Center Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 Quite the cloud structure for this Tropical Storm so far... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioWX Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 The original vortex appears to be reintensifying and might be trying to become dominate again. The "new" vortex is fizzling out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 Houston area ISDs will not repeat the Imelda students on top of desks in floods, no school tomorrow!!! Whoop!!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 Looks, like that llc that was moving N.E. on Brownsville radar is going to be the Coc. If so this is going to have a lot more time to organize 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 Interesting analysis on rainfall potential from Nicholas: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of OT Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 Boy this storm is a total banger. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 That shear is clearly saving the Texas coast from a Cat 2 hurricane. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 Have lots of family south of Houston. Glad the flood forecast is not nearly as bad as feared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 Some wind kicking up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Ho Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 This thing is crawling to the coast at this point. Gonna need to make some progress inland since models are forecasting a stall and turn east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 I don't see any reliable webcams south of Galveston, but there are a few up there. https://www.pleasurepier.com/piercam.html https://www.galveston.com/webcams/babes-beach-videocam/ https://www.galveston.com/webcams/murdochsvideocam/ https://www.61stpier.com/piercam Surf is a kickin' a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Up to 70 mph pressure down to 988 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 988 mb. Woah. That's a bit different from the 1001 mb five hours ago. Still no Hurricane Warnings? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 HRRR and 18Z 3 km NAM, Houston metro should miss heaviest rains, which seems consistent w/ radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 12:56 AM, Floydbuster said: 988 mb. Woah. That's a bit different from the 1001 mb five hours ago. Still no Hurricane Warnings? Expand Very possible this gets upgraded to a hurricane at 11. Current flight has several unflagged SFMR readings of near hurricane force and FL winds near 75 knots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 This thing hasn't had the same center for an entire 24 hr period, it's just a washing machine with a brick in it. Fascinating to see, each time it relocates it's less and less far away as it becomes more and more symmetrical. Also, on radar, this thing is so so confined. It's a pretty dry, pretty small halfacane, thankfully. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Crazy ants centers might not landfall until Louisiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 2:40 AM, Witness Protection Program said: Crazy ants centers might not landfall until Louisiana. Expand Might give it time to become a hurricane, but all the heavy rains will be E of metro Houston. Been watching the radar. IMBY may not get much more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Now officially a Hurricane 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Clear evidence of a hurricane at the mouth of Matagorda Bay. Elevation 7m. Assuming they see this observation, they'll upgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 3:02 AM, hlcater said: Clear evidence of a hurricane at the mouth of Matagorda Bay. Elevation 7m. Assuming they see this observation, they'll upgrade.Yeah it may be a "half'cane", but the northern band that is dragging the shoreline is brutal. Hopefully this gets punched hard by westerly 400-300 hPa flow to shear off that northern eyewall before it reaches the Galveston area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of OT Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 3:05 AM, Windspeed said: On 9/14/2021 at 3:02 AM, hlcater said: Clear evidence of a hurricane at the mouth of Matagorda Bay. Elevation 7m. Assuming they see this observation, they'll upgrade. Expand Yeah it may be a "half'cane", but the northern band that is dragging the shoreline is brutal. Hopefully this gets punched hard by westerly 400-300 hPa flow to shear off that northern eyewall before it reaches the Galveston area. Expand We’re rooting for shear because we are scared of cat 1 halfacanes now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 3:15 AM, Tezeta said: We’re rooting for shear because we are scared of cat 1 halfacanes now? I don't like an eyeband dragging a metropolitan area, period. Nice boneheaded comment though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of OT Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Nobody tracks these to watch fizzling TS landfall. You’re basically concern trolling. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 3:23 AM, Tezeta said: Nobody tracks these to watch fizzling TS landfall. You’re basically concern trolling. You're calling me out for meteorological discussion. Piss off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of OT Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 I’m not here to fight. I am just here to advocate for landfalls with complete eyewalls and good chaser footage. Nobody needs harmed and I hope only rich people’s beach houses and fossil fuel infrastructure gets wiped out. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Here's a new video update on Hurricane Nicholas, for those interested https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ornvkAODxoo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Center of the LLC keeps sliding parallel to coast, even if temporary. Fascinating how intense convective updrafts can bend and slip/jump the vortex down shear. But if the updraft within the eye band relaxes the slightest, it may succumb to upper horizontal flow and shear off, resulting in low-to-mid level steering flow regaining motion. Perhaps just enough motion to finally get the vortex inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Meh so far. Maybe 35 sustained and 50 gusts at the casa. Took a dip down near the coast about an hour ago and it was about 40-45 sustained and 60 gusts. Probably getting a little rougher down there these last 30 minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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