Powerball Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The low this morning at DFW was 52*F, which (if it holds) will be *JUST* good enough for exactly a 50*F average low for the month of December. Currently, after yesterday's cool morning of 48*F, the average is officially at 49.9*F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 So needless to say, 2021 was the warmest December on record for DFW. But just to show how unprecedented it was: *1st December ever to end with a monthly average greater than 60°F (61.3°F to be exact). *Previous record for warmest December was shattered by a whopping +7.3 degrees. *1st December ever to end with a positive double-digit departure from average (+13.2 degrees to be exact). *1st December ever to end with an average high greater than 70°F (72.6°F to be exact). *The previous record for highest December average high was shattered by a whopping +6.7 degrees. *1st December ever to end with an average low of at least 50°F (50°F to be exact). *Previous record for highest December average low was shattered by a whopping +6.6 degrees. *Grandrand total of only 1 freeze (with a low of only 32°F to be exact) *Grand total of only 1 day with a sub-50°F high (48°F to be exact). *Total of 23 days (yes, you read that correctly) with a high of 70°F+ *Total of 8 days with a high of 80°F+ *Warmest Christmas day on record, with a high of 82°F (breaking the previous record of 80°F from 2016). *Ended with a 9-day consecutive streak of 70°F+ highs. This was all driven by a number of combined factors, including widespread moderate/severe drought conditions across the Southern Plains, an unusually deep -PNA (deepest in at least 16 years), and the MJO which only slowly progressed through two phases (6 & 7) that were favorable for warmer than normal tempertures in Texas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 The year I flagged as a similar hurricane season, 1961, in my analog set has now seen the severe cold of 1961-62 show up to some extent. This look should last for a 1/4-1/3 of the month before changing. Nearly identical to the rolled forward blend of years following super-cold Plains centered Februaries I had in my forecast. Pretty happy with my forecast so far conceptually. Cold NW look idea has been fine so far. February will be the big test. February 1936/1978/1994/2018 was my match to last February. So interesting to see closeness to January 1937/1979/1995/2019 in 2022, even if it only lasts a week or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Much of the region is currently under severe to extreme drought conditions, with no relief in sight: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 7 hours ago, Powerball said: Much of the region is currently under severe to extreme drought conditions, with no relief in sight: Strangely enough, almost unwittingly drove past a small grass fire this afternoon (east Plano). First time I've seen one personally. The grass was definitely very dry, but no clue how it started- the median in the middle of the road was just covered in flames. Definitely hadn't been going on for long, but it looked like it was fixing to jump across the road, but again I have no real experience with fires (this road was between a church and a high school right as students were leaving, so it was busy). As soon as I grabbed my phone to dial 911, a firetruck rounded the bend into my FOV and took care of it. I guess that's just a little experience I wanted to share to which the severe drought here is relevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 7 hours ago, TexMexWx said: Strangely enough, almost unwittingly drove past a small grass fire this afternoon (east Plano). First time I've seen one personally. The grass was definitely very dry, but no clue how it started- the median in the middle of the road was just covered in flames. Definitely hadn't been going on for long, but it looked like it was fixing to jump across the road, but again I have no real experience with fires (this road was between a church and a high school right as students were leaving, so it was busy). As soon as I grabbed my phone to dial 911, a firetruck rounded the bend into my FOV and took care of it. I guess that's just a little experience I wanted to share to which the severe drought here is relevant. We'll see what happens the rest of this winter / early Spring, but it's certainly something you don't want to see headed into the warm season, because of the positive feedback loop with temperatures. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Pretty dire 00z GFS run last night. Most of OK and TX sees virtually no measurable preciptation the entire run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Getting some snow flurries out by DFW airport 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SWineman Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Watching some flakes in downtown Fort Worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/14/2022 at 10:36 AM, Powerball said: Pretty dire 00z GFS run last night. Most of OK and TX sees virtually no measurable preciptation the entire run. Pretty much most run the last few months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Brtual... And the Soil Moisture's really drying up too: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 A top 10 driest January on record seems to be a lock for DFW. Could even be a top 5 driest if tomorrow's system and the system on the 27th fails to produce measurable precipitation. Will likely see an expansion of the extreme drought conditions for Thursday's drought monitor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Might see some snow flurries Wednesday in the northwestern part of DFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 And of course, now the models are showing a system on the last day of the month that might just ruin our top 10 (let alone top 5) driest January on record... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 *IF* (big if) DFW manages to avoid seeing mesurable precipitation with the 1/31 system, this would tie for the 2nd driest January on record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 On 1/28/2022 at 8:45 AM, Powerball said: *IF* (big if) DFW manages to avoid seeing mesurable precipitation with the 1/31 system, this would tie for the 2nd driest January on record. It looks like DFW will be safe from precip between now and Midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now