0.2-3.5" rainfall and OBS thread Wed-Thu Sept 8-9, 2021 may cause renewed flooding along and northwest of I95

[ForestHillWx]

Decent lightening and boomers now. Heavy rains to my west, just barely missing it at the moment. 

[Snowlover11]

and the line weaknes on approach

[gravitylover]

It might be weakening but there are some pretty intense embedded downpours. I pulled a half inch in just a few minutes as the leading edge got here and just got another .3 in 15 minutes.

[dmillz25]

There downpours approaching the area from the south

[wdrag]

Wantage NJ-this part of nw NJ 1.06 so far. 

Complex evolution but NYC/w CT should finally get some rain today, bigger amounts probably eastern LI CT River.  06z NAM must be a little too wound up to the west.  late HRRR is decent.  Wont be able to comment much til its all over. Will add 2 day COCoRAHS late Fri.

The HRRR STP/max 2-5KM UPDRAFT picked out the svr/heaviest rain axis pretty nicely for e central PA/ALB areas.

 

[IrishRob17]

.71” in Campbell Hall

[wdrag]

Quick snapshot of what has happened. incomplete data. Sharpening trough approaching from the west has grabbed a little of the NC coast PW and slow movement of trough presents rain problems for the I95 corridor eastward today.  

[gravitylover]

.85

[Rtd208]

Picked up 0.32" of rain so far today.

[winterwarlock]

.10 here

[snywx]

.80” here

[FPizz]

.25

[psv88]

Rain held off just enough to put kids on bus 

[Brian5671]

very little here.   This afternoon's batch is now well east on the new NAMS

[matt8204]

12 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

very little here.   This afternoon's batch is now well east on the new NAMS

I'll take it.  Get it out of here and let's have a nice weekend.  Forecast sounds great for the next few days.

[Pequest]

10 hours ago, Pequest said:

Just over 2 inches of rain now here in central Warren County.....and still coming down. 

Ended up with 2.83 in the overnight bucket.

Received about 12 inches of rain here in the last 3 weeks thanks to Henri, Ida and last night's complex of storms. 

Thankfully the basement thus far has remained dry.

[doncat]

0.31" here.. 8.41" for month.

[wdrag]

CP now up to 7.46 or more 

[Rtd208]

Picked up 0.44" of rain for the day yesterday. 

[wdrag]

What happened: via CoCoRaHs

[wdrag]

Looking ahead: 12z/18 EPS has noticeably more qpf than the GEFS for the entire subforum by the 25th and the EPS also has quite a bit of tropical near Bermuda around the 26th-27th, which is scarce on the 12z/18 GEFS.  GEFS is not doing much with the subsequent 5H short wave troughs after the 23rd.    The EPS may be a little abundant if the PW ends up less than 2" ~ the 23rd-always have to look at downside.  Short wave does look like its neutral if not a bit negative coming across the mid Atlantic coast ~the 23rd.  Could mean nice southerly inflow, spot severe associated with the sfc low?