paweather Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 Dry and warm next week and then the fun begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 7, 2021 Author Share Posted October 7, 2021 16 minutes ago, paweather said: Dry and warm next week and then the fun begins. YOU SAID THAT IN THE LAST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 1 minute ago, canderson said: YOU SAID THAT IN THE LAST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER!!!! I told you my forecasts are terrible. I feel it now though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 1 hour ago, sauss06 said: Mine goes to an ex girlfriend, but that has NOTHING to do with the weather I like the way you think. 1 hour ago, paweather said: 12 noon model runs. No, sorry...not to me. 1 hour ago, canderson said: The best part of working from home and why I told my boss in 2022 I only want to go in once/week. I endorse this as well. (though because of training, I'm working from home far less right now) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 Got up to 76 about an hour ago, down to 75 now. Pretty nice early September day out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I like the way you think. No, sorry...not to me. I endorse this as well. (though because of training, I'm working from home far less right now) Nooners mean afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 17 minutes ago, paweather said: Nooners mean afternoon Lots of things can happen in the afternoon....model runs, "other stuff", etc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 6 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: You can call it normal or above normal, one thing this week definitely has been is "more of the same" Several days in a row now where there has been only very insignificant changes in sky appearance, high temps and low temps. Yep and that's another thing contributing to the very warm lows right now. All this cloud cover and high dew points has just make it kinda awful at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 Oh and something I've noticed is how late it's taking for the trees to change color. I can barely remember a year where most of the trees were still green in my area all the way to Oct 7th. I'm really young so I don't have that many years to go off on but I definitely don't remember it taking this long. Peak foliage is around mid october for a lot of PA I think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said: Oh and something I've noticed is how late it's taking for the trees to change color. I can barely remember a year where most of the trees were still green in my area all the way to Oct 7th. I'm really young so I don't have that many years to go off on but I definitely don't remember it taking this long. Peak foliage is around mid october for a lot of PA I think I think much of that can also be associated with precip amounts in the month or two leading up to fall. Over here I am already having to mulch/chop the leaves falling. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/drought-and-climate-change-could-throw-fall-colors-off-schedule/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I think much of that can also be associated with precip amounts in the month or two leading up to fall. Over here I am already having to mulch/chop the leaves falling/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/drought-and-climate-change-could-throw-fall-colors-off-schedule/ That's true. We did get a record amount of rain throughout September. I remember some drought years trees turning color in august lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 Quickie evening model runs have started. Nam still promises some Sat rain to some in the LSV. Just not a lot. Dying ULL transfers over to a new SLP off the SE Coast which retrogrades and vacillates after transfer. Nooners EC had scattered LSV rain both Sat and Sun with Sun before more S/E focused. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 There is that 17th date again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 7, 2021 Author Share Posted October 7, 2021 I don’t remember mosquitoes this bad in mid October - they are AWFUL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 7, 2021 Share Posted October 7, 2021 Light rain/heavy drizzle and 67 here now. Enough to need the wipers on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 11 hours ago, pasnownut said: queing blizz and paweather in 3.... 2.... 1... hehe. Even if it is a false positive, it tells us were getting closer and thats good enough for this guy. Hello…..!!!!! It is getting closer! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 3 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: There is that 17th date again. lol…but where is the 540 line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 3 hours ago, canderson said: I don’t remember mosquitoes this bad in mid October - they are AWFUL. So are the dreaded Lantern Flies! They are absolutely everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 13 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, lots of variables in these different months. Then there is this one below which is downright ugly until it breaks on the 12th. Not really breaking down the whys just posting that even though most of us agree that it is warmer now than in the past (stats bear it out), there have been plenty of warm Octobers before and during our lifespans. Not just in the 2000's. I could post just as many Octobers where it stayed below 70 almost the whole month and had freezing night time lows. Unfortunately, we did not draw that lot so far. Trough forming in the west right now so we are not going to be happy until that translates east. Most people did not have A/C when this happened. 1959-10-01 78 68 73.0 11.2 0 8 0.71 0.0 0 1959-10-02 77 61 69.0 7.6 0 4 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-03 71 63 67.0 6.0 0 2 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-04 87 59 73.0 12.5 0 8 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-05 90 64 77.0 16.9 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-06 88 66 77.0 17.3 0 12 T 0.0 0 1959-10-07 79 65 72.0 12.7 0 7 0.04 0.0 0 1959-10-08 79 61 70.0 11.1 0 5 0.79 0.0 0 1959-10-09 83 68 75.5 17.0 0 11 0.03 0.0 0 1959-10-10 73 60 66.5 8.4 0 2 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-11 79 59 69.0 11.3 0 4 T 0.0 0 1959-10-12 64 46 55.0 -2.3 10 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-13 60 43 51.5 -5.4 13 0 0.27 0.0 0 1959-10-14 52 47 49.5 -7.0 15 0 0.19 0.0 0 1959-10-15 60 42 51.0 -5.1 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-16 65 36 50.5 -5.2 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-17 74 42 58.0 2.6 7 0 T 0.0 0 1959-10-18 62 42 52.0 -3.0 13 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-19 55 34 44.5 -10.1 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-20 72 36 54.0 -0.2 11 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-21 55 43 49.0 -4.9 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-22 56 43 49.5 -4.0 15 0 0.41 0.0 0 1959-10-23 70 48 59.0 5.9 6 0 0.19 0.0 0 1959-10-24 68 51 59.5 6.7 5 0 1.00 0.0 0 1959-10-25 60 43 51.5 -0.9 13 0 0.04 0.0 0 1959-10-26 55 43 49.0 -3.1 16 0 0.03 0.0 0 1959-10-27 52 43 47.5 -4.2 17 0 0.07 0.0 0 1959-10-28 53 34 43.5 -7.8 21 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-29 52 29 40.5 -10.5 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-30 56 33 44.5 -6.1 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 1959-10-31 61 49 55.0 4.7 10 0 0.40 0.0 0 Thanks for your Great research on these years from long ago with warm Octobers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 4 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: There is that 17th date again. I’m ready it’s time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 So just saw an interesting stat. Days in first place this season for AL East teams O's-8 Yanks-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 19 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Thanks for your Great research on these years from long ago with warm Octobers. Long ago climate change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 5 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: I like the way you think. No, sorry...not to me. I endorse this as well. (though because of training, I'm working from home far less right now) nooners - Just a fun spin on calling them midday runs....think weather porn and come to your own conclusions Like Sauss already has.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 23 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Long ago climate change? It is always changing and has been changing for millions of years… But…I’m just getting more excited each day for the upcoming Winter season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 4 hours ago, canderson said: I don’t remember mosquitoes this bad in mid October - they are AWFUL. Dude, I go outside for 10 min.....I come in a quart low........ I miss bats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 14 minutes ago, pasnownut said: nooners - Just a fun spin on calling them midday runs....think weather porn and come to your own conclusions Like Sauss already has.... Sometimes a good GFS run is on par with a solid nooner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 16 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Sometimes a good GFS run is on par with a solid nooner. NAM or bust (and sometimes the NAM causes a bust) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 8, 2021 Author Share Posted October 8, 2021 78 was my high today. It’s ridiculous lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 8, 2021 Share Posted October 8, 2021 48 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Sometimes a good GFS run is on par with a solid nooner. Some prefer to get going with a nooner and see if they can hold out for a happy EC ending. It's frequently just a tease and waste of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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