canderson Posted October 4, 2021 Author Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yes, I don't know how he didn't run his AC that month unless his tolerance level of heat has dropped significantly over the past 3 years. BTW - I got to 79.4 and it hasn't gone above that yet...it's 79.2 here now. It has dropped but we were in the office then so could come home and open the house to cool off. SInce we are here and it gets warmer outside than in by noon or so, it just builds up and becomes blah. Life's too short to sit inside a house that is above 75 degrees! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Just looked at every 18Z temps on the EC. Only one day where you would expect MDT to hit 80 (over the next 10). It's not at all fall like but also not record warm. Super ridge over us. Lot of lows in the 55-62 range. Nothing I’ve seen on any model screams record highs, but it’s a long period of temperatures and dewpoints that are tolerable in July but miserable in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: Nothing I’ve seen on any model screams record highs, but it’s a long period of temperatures and dewpoints that are tolerable in July but miserable in October. True, I just felt a vibe in here today suggesting that records may fall. As you have alluded to several times, its really just the "new normal". Now if it is in the mid to upper 70's most of the second half of October, that is a bigger deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: True, I just felt a vibe in here today suggesting that records may fall. As you have alluded to several times, its really just the "new normal". Now if it is in the mid to upper 70's most of the second half of October, that is a bigger deal. GFS keeps reloading with the ridge. Many runs, it’s there in some form through the end of the run. That’s Oct. 20 at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, TimB84 said: GFS keeps reloading with the ridge. Many runs, it’s there in some form through the end of the run. That’s Oct. 20 at this point. But the source region of air/temps as well as daylight hours are decreasing as we move into that area so it takes a real doozy of a "bad pattern" to have this same warmth 20 days from now. Could still be above average of course. No sign at all of a cold stretch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 4, 2021 Author Share Posted October 4, 2021 Lancaster and York counties put into a brown box for isolated severe wind gusts this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 7 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: @Cashtown_Coop, HRRR develops a surface reflection for this evening. Definitely something to watch. Would be FFW level rains. Hrrr still has a version of this. I could use a little bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Hrrr still has a version of this. I could use a little bit Yea, but its been down sizing it through each hour. A bit worried especially for me out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 Currently 73 degrees at Coffin Rock. Just 2 degrees cooler than MDT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 4, 2021 Author Share Posted October 4, 2021 Maxed at 82, down to 80 at 6:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted October 4, 2021 Share Posted October 4, 2021 81 today and .51 rain this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 5, 2021 Author Share Posted October 5, 2021 Rain/storms tonight look verrrrrrrrrrry sparse. If you get rein, buy a lottery ticket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 8 hours ago, paweather said: I think November is going to be rocking. Get ready @Blizzard of 93! I’m on board the train for the mid November pattern flip. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 We got quick hitting but loud storm around 11 last night. ~ .25" in 10 min. Looks like some areas of Adams, York and Lancaster did better with some in Lancaster getting 2.5". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We got quick hitting but loud storm around 11 last night. ~ .25" in 10 min. Looks like some areas of Adams, York and Lancaster did better with some in Lancaster getting 2.5". we were as dry as a popcorn fart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Near an inch . Very loud long duration thunder for an hour . Yea, you were better aligned for it last night. It definitely woke me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 22 minutes ago, sauss06 said: we were as dry as a popcorn fart I have to attest to not being in the know on popcorn farts like some here. Does eating popcorn make people dry, gassy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 61/60 this Am. Super humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I have to attest to not being in the know on popcorn farts like some here. Does eating popcorn make people dry, gassy? i can't answer for all, but yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 .13" for me last night, .05" on Sunday. September total was 8.88" but exactly half of that came on September 1st. Peter Sinks, UT hit 8 degrees last night. Carry on friends..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 5, 2021 Author Share Posted October 5, 2021 I don’t think I posted - I had .1” rain yesterday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 64 and cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 3 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: We got quick hitting but loud storm around 11 last night. ~ .25" in 10 min. Looks like some areas of Adams, York and Lancaster did better with some in Lancaster getting 2.5". Out of nowhere last night around 11:30 there was suddenly a huge flash followed immediately by booming thunder...it was close enough to cause me to randomly popcorn fart. There was NOTHING prior to that - the first lightning/thunder observed was that close. There was one more a few minutes later that was not quite as close but still pretty sharp...and that was it. 1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: .13" for me last night, .05" on Sunday. September total was 8.88" but exactly half of that came on September 1st. Peter Sinks, UT hit 8 degrees last night. Carry on friends..... I received .06" after midnight. This was well after the lightning/thunder I described above had disappeared, I have no idea what time it rained. I had .20" on Sunday, .04" yesterday, and then the .06" early this morning. .30" for the 3 day total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 66/63 here. Not super October-like. And doesn't look October-like much anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Out of nowhere last night around 11:30 there was suddenly a huge flash followed immediately by booming thunder...it was close enough to cause me to randomly popcorn fart. There was NOTHING prior to that - the first lightning/thunder observed was that close. There was one more a few minutes later that was not quite as close but still pretty sharp...and that was it. I received .06" after midnight. This was well after the lightning/thunder I described above had disappeared, I have no idea what time it rained. I had .20" on Sunday, .04" yesterday, and then the .06" early this morning. .30" for the 3 day total. According to my buddy's WU station, he got .1" between roughly 11:30-11:50pm and then another .06" between roughly 1:30-2:30am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 Let's change October on todays model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 Pretty unusual temps both yesterday morning and again this morning. The spread between daily high and daily low was less than 2 degrees until around 9:30am yesterday morning with the low of 64.8 and the high of 66.0. Then again this morning at 10:50am the current temp is 65.3. So far today the high since midnight has been 65.8 and the low 64.0. That spread is very unusual for this time of the year. Today is more dramatic with this spread of 1.8 degrees still ongoing near 11:00am. The morning lows of 64 for 2 consecutive days in a row is pretty amazing. Finally, I've remained at or above 64.0 degrees continuously since Sunday morning around 10:00am which is now 49 hours in duration and will likely continue until at least tonight I would think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 5, 2021 Author Share Posted October 5, 2021 We put out two spotted lanternfly traps on our two trees ... i hope they work. Thousands of those things here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, canderson said: We put out two spotted lanternfly traps on our two trees ... i hope they work. Thousands of those things here. Good luck! They love the Maples and especially the weed tree Tree of Heaven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 5, 2021 Share Posted October 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, paweather said: Let's change October on todays model runs. Already slight improvements on the overnight model runs. The “cooler” period is still normal to slightly above, then the GFS reloads with more warmth, but it’s not ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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