Central PA - Fall 2021

[Voyager]

Still nothing at my house. Big nothingburger for eastern Schuylkill so far. Pillow through Herndon and up to Sunbury is whole different story, though. Muddy, bankful streams everywhere...

[Bubbler86]

4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Morning,

Rainfall since midnight: 2.81" (and currently heavy rain)

Rainfall for the event: 3.16"

Rainfall month to the moment: 14.04"

Wow, that is ALOT more than the 72 hour rain totals have.  I know they can be behind some times but they are over 2" behind now.  

 

Rain should be closing up shop over the rest of the LSV in the next hour.  Harrisburg and west is mostly done now.  One line near Carlisle still has some oomph. 

 

 

[pasnownut]

6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Wow, that is ALOT more than the 72 hour rain totals have.  I know they can be behind some times but they are over 2" behind now.  

 

Rain should be closing up shop over the rest of the LSV in the next hour.  Harrisburg and west is mostly done now.  One line near Carlisle still has some oomph. 

KLNS....so far (I did it again..lol).  Nice gully washer in last hour will bump this up fo sho.

23	08:53	W 20 G 25	1.75	Heavy Rain Fog/Mist	FEW006 BKN013 OVC022	63	59			87%	NA	NA	29.81	1009.2	0.27
23	07:53	SE 26 G 40	6.00	Light Rain and Windy	SCT020 BKN029 OVC036	74	69	76	74	85%	NA	NA	29.75	1007.1	0.10		0.10
23	06:53	SE 21 G 32	10.00	Light Rain and Breezy	SCT024 BKN031	75	68			79%	NA	NA	29.76	1007.4
23	05:53	SE 20 G 28	10.00	Overcast	BKN021 BKN026 OVC031	75	67			76%	NA	NA	29.78	1008.1
23	04:53	SE 15 G 28	10.00	Overcast	BKN021 OVC028	75	68			79%	NA	NA	29.80	1008.6
23	03:53	SE 16 G 26	10.00	Overcast	BKN022 BKN030 OVC049	75	68			79%	NA	NA	29.81	1009.0
23	02:53	SE 17 G 25	10.00	Overcast	BKN021 BKN028 OVC040	75	67			76%	NA	NA	29.83	1009.8
23	01:53	SE 16 G 24	10.00	Mostly Cloudy	BKN023 BKN030	76	68	76	75	77%	NA	77	29.85	1010.5
23	00:53	SE 16 G 23	10.00	Mostly Cloudy	FEW019 SCT027 BKN090	76	68			77%	NA	77	29.87	1011.2
22	23:53	SE 14 G 24	10.00	Overcast	BKN022 BKN026 OVC075	75	68			79%	NA	NA	29.88	1011.5
22	22:53	SE 15 G 22	10.00	Mostly Cloudy	SCT020 BKN025 BKN070	75	67			76%	NA	NA	29.88	1011.5
22	21:53	SE 16	10.00	Mostly Cloudy	SCT024 BKN046 BKN065	75	67			76%	NA	NA	29.89	1011.7
22	20:53	SE 14	10.00	A Few Clouds	FEW120	75	68			79%	NA	NA	29.89	1011.8
22	19:53	SE 10	10.00	Mostly Cloudy	BKN040	76	68	81	75	77%	NA	77	29.88	1011.4			0.02
22	18:53	SE 12	10.00	Mostly Cloudy	FEW028 FEW042 BKN120	76	70			82%	NA	77	29.88	1011.4
22	17:53	SE 9	10.00	Overcast	SCT044 SCT065 OVC110	76	70			82%	NA	77	29.89	1011.9
22	16:53	SE 12	10.00	A Few Clouds	FEW075	77	70			79%	NA	79	29.90	1012.1		0.02
22	15:53	SE 10	9.00	Light Rain	FEW055 BKN110	76	71			85%	NA	77	29.92	1012.8	0.01
22	14:53	S 10 G 24	8.00	Light Rain	SCT031 BKN039 OVC070	78	69			74%	NA	80	29.94	1013.4	0.01
22	13:53	SE 16 G 25	10.00	Overcast	SCT044 OVC070	80	66	81	72	62%	NA	82	29.95	1013.9
22	12:53	S 10 G 21	10.00	Mostly Cloudy	FEW030 SCT035 BKN041	80	69			69%	NA	83	29.98	1014.8
22	11:53	SE 9	10.00	Overcast	BKN023 OVC029	78	69			74%	NA	80	30.01	1016.0
22	10:53	SE 12	10.00	Overcast	OVC018	76	68			77%	NA	77	30.04	1016.9
22	09:53	SE 16	10.00	Overcast	BKN016 OVC022	76	68			77%	NA	77	30.06	1017.5
22	08:53	SE 9	10.00	Overcast	OVC012	74	69			85%	NA	NA	30.07	1018.1
22	07:53	SE 5	5.00	Light Rain Fog/Mist	OVC010	72	68	72	69	87%	NA	NA	30.08	1018.4	0.01		0.01

[TimB]

30 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

And keep the other eye on this snow (though GFS is quite warm next week).

 

GFS is ugly but WAY out of sync with both the EC and CMC. But yes. The 6z has that coastal deep in its run.

[Itstrainingtime]

4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Wow, that is ALOT more than the 72 hour rain totals have.  I know they can be behind some times but they are over 2" behind now.  

 

Rain should be closing up shop over the rest of the LSV in the next hour.  Harrisburg and west is mostly done now.  One line near Carlisle still has some oomph. 

 

 

I worked an 18 hour day yesterday and crashed last night. I woke up about 30 minutes ago, looked out and saw it was wet. Checked my station expecting to see maybe a half inch or something along those lines...I was stunned when I saw that I was over 2.75" at the time. 

Looks like I'll be able to eclipse the 3" mark for the day with what is left to fall. Do you see that area of rain over the eastern Chesapeake moving due north? That will miss me to my east, but man, the rates in that must be insane. That is a nasty looking train set up...

[pasnownut]

and fwiw, that last line definately saved the forecast totals for the LSV.  True central looks to be the big winners tho.

[sauss06]

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

56 and cloudy.  Dry out time.  Looks like Adams will soon be done and Cumberland is finishing up now. 

Yeah, definitely slowed down here at work in Harrisburg 

[Bubbler86]

3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I worked an 18 hour day yesterday and crashed last night. I woke up about 30 minutes ago, looked out and saw it was wet. Checked my station expecting to see maybe a half inch or something along those lines...I was stunned when I saw that I was over 2.75" at the time. 

Looks like I'll be able to eclipse the 3" mark for the day with what is left to fall. Do you see that area of rain over the eastern Chesapeake moving due north? That will miss me to my east, but man, the rates in that must be insane. That is a nasty looking train set up...

Yikes, long day.  You had to earn those 30 days off.  LOL.  I did see that down south of Aberdeen.   The radar is about as deep red as it can get before going pink.  Probably some fairly major street flooding down there. 

[Bubbler86]

5 minutes ago, TimB84 said:

GFS is ugly but WAY out of sync with both the EC and CMC. But yes. The 6z has that coastal deep in its run.

Yea, its going back and forth for next week so not worrying about it yet.  Would hate to go back to the 80's in October though. 

[Bubbler86]

12 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

and fwiw, that last line definately saved the forecast totals for the LSV.  True central looks to be the big winners tho.

I thought the forecasted totals ended up being pretty close.  I was a sceptic at first.  The call for the rain to intensify into the day, or however the wording was stated, was not good for the LSV but may be more appropriate for Northern areas of their forecast area. 

[CarlislePaWx]

Well it's just ending here now.  Impressive totals and in perfect alignment with the NWS forecasted amounts of 3-5".  I've had 3.28" since midnight along with 0.49" yesterday for a 2-day event total of 3.77".  That brings my September total to 9.09" and year-to-date total of 35.37".  I'm ready for the beautiful fall weather to make its appearance later today.

[Itstrainingtime]

13 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

and fwiw, that last line definately saved the forecast totals for the LSV.  True central looks to be the big winners tho.

 

9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Yikes, long day.  You had to earn those 30 days off.  LOL.  I did see that down south of Aberdeen.   The radar is about as deep red as it can get before going pink.  Probably some fairly major street flooding down there. 

3.03" since midnight here - still raining, but intensity is lessening. 

[sauss06]

i spoke to soon, its dumping again

[Itstrainingtime]

2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

Well it's just ending here now.  Impressive totals and in perfect alignment with the NWS forecasted amounts of 3-5".  I've had 3.28" since midnight along with 0.49" yesterday for a 2-day event total of 3.77".  That brings my September total to 9.09" and year-to-date total of 35.37".  I'm ready for the beautiful fall weather to make its appearance later today.

Looks to me like we'll end up with very similar totals. 

I'm ready for some great fall weather as well! 

[Bubbler86]

Clearing very quickly in Western LSV.  Hardly a cloud to the west.  Sunny and 57. 

[TimB]

11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Yea, its going back and forth for next week so not worrying about it yet.  Would hate to go back to the 80's in October though. 

Usually we root for the GFS over the EC. Now it’s time to root against it.

[paweather]

Still dumping here with street flooding. 

[Cashtown_Coop]

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Clearing very quickly in Western LSV.  Hardly a cloud to the west.  Sunny and 57. 

Visible sat shows that nicely.   Give or take, 3” for both ob sites in Adams.   

[Bubbler86]

4 minutes ago, TimB84 said:

Usually we root for the GFS over the EC. Now it’s time to root against it.

Only a few more hours until it potentially changes sides. 

[Bubbler86]

7 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

Visible sat shows that nicely.   Give or take, 3” for both ob sites in Adams.   

Yep, I got up near 3" with one last burst this AM.  The 2-3" calls were decent.  3-5" seems overblown though I guess technically if you got 3.1" it was right.  They were probably basing it on the rain intensifying into the day info last night.  Models were pretty clear the rain was gone from the LSV by mid morning. 

[pasnownut]

19 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I thought the forecasted totals ended up being pretty close.  I was a sceptic at first.  The call for the rain to intensify into the day, or however the wording was stated, was not good for the LSV but may be more appropriate for Northern areas of their forecast area. 

Yeah, I guess the bust I saw was for yesterday evenings calls that didnt really verify.  From my limited view, overnight and this AM looked to be when the goods would come....and they sure did.

A W is a W, even if not totally to script.  Take it and run

[pasnownut]

14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

 

3.03" since midnight here - still raining, but intensity is lessening. 

did you see my klns precip summary from above?  I heard a few showers overnight, but when I left for work, it was just damp.  I did sleep like a rock tho, so maybe I missed some of it.

[pasnownut]

Fall looks to get underway in the next hour or so here in the LSV.  Seeing the lower temps from you Westers has me rather giddy and excited to see this moist weather be gone for hopefully the rest of the year.  

Happy Autumn all!

 

[Bubbler86]

5 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

did you see my klns precip summary from above?  I heard a few showers overnight, but when I left for work, it was just damp.  I did sleep like a rock tho, so maybe I missed some of it.

MDT is only reporting slightly over 1" as of 9AM. 

[Itstrainingtime]

8 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

did you see my klns precip summary from above?  I heard a few showers overnight, but when I left for work, it was just damp.  I did sleep like a rock tho, so maybe I missed some of it.

I sure did, and as I said earlier, I heard nothing at all. I was stunned when I looked at the station.

Speaking of which, I'm going to make a serious run at 4". I'm up to 3.61" for the event now. Still raining. 

[Itstrainingtime]

4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

MDT is only reporting slightly over 1" as of 9AM. 

That's incredible. 

Is my station malfunctioning? 

[paweather]

8 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Fall looks to get underway in the next hour or so here in the LSV.  Seeing the lower temps from you Westers has me rather giddy and excited to see this moist weather be gone for hopefully the rest of the year.  

Happy Autumn all!

 

HAPPY FALL!

[Bubbler86]

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

That's incredible. 

Is my station malfunctioning? 

There was a fairly large dry slot that ran up through the middle of the LSV.  I expect lots of under 2" totals there.   I would think LNS will go up at 10AM as will MDT.  Not sure they get to 3" though....Maybe LNS? 

[Itstrainingtime]

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

There was a fairly large dry slot that ran up through the middle of the LSV.  I expect lots of under 2" totals there.   I would think LNS will go up at 10AM as will MDT.  Not sure they get to 3" though....Maybe LNS? 

I really don't believe my station is wrong. I'm dumbfounded at the report from MDT though, which gave me pause. It is so dark here that I can't see to work without all of the lights on. 

[paweather]

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

There was a fairly large dry slot that ran up through the middle of the LSV.  I expect lots of under 2" totals there.   I would think LNS will go up at 10AM as will MDT.  Not sure they get to 3" though....Maybe LNS? 

We are over 3" in Palmyra. Still raining.