paweather Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 a little sun still 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: a little sun still 48 Hold on...don't give in to the Reb's. Gettysburg may be lost but we must hold on to Funck's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hold on...don't give in to the Reb's. Gettysburg may be lost but we must hold on to Funck's. More sun, more warmth. 54 now and climbing quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: More sun, more warmth. 54 now and climbing quickly. You are back! Just looked at the EC and have to laugh...after the CNN article (granted it did say week not just Thankgiving day), the new EC has the 540 line well back into Canada, in the East, for Thanksgiving day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 And the new weather director at MU emphatically put the kabosh on snow chances for next week: MU Weather Center@MUweather (3/3) So, I think the ultimate outcome is that a cold front brings showers to the mid-Atlantic Sunday night into Monday, with any snow confined to northern New England and areas near the Great Lakes. Colder for Tuesday with wind gusts of 40-50 mph and *maybe* a few snowflakes.. MU Weather Center@MUweather (1/3) There's been a lot of unwarranted hype in the last day or two with talk of a major, early-season snowstorm in parts of the mid-Atlantic and Northeast early next week.. so I figured it was time to "chime in" and give my thoughts as a "voice of reason." MU Weather Center@MUweather (2/3) Late-November climatology tells us that it's rare for a major snowfall to impact the Lower Susquehanna Valley and I-95 corridor from New York to Washington, D.C., and large-scale features in next week's weather pattern aren't in the right places for this rule to be broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: You are back! Just looked at the EC and have to laugh...after the CNN article (granted it did say week not just Thankgiving day), the new EC has the 540 line well back into Canada, in the East, for Thanksgiving day. Work keeps getting in my way of what's really important. See my post above about next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Work keeps getting in my way of what's really important. See my post above about next week. I saw that. EC wise, with the early next week low forming well East of the trough swinging in, its going to be a cold chilly few days then back to 50's and 60's. Storm tracking through the GL's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I saw that. EC wise, with the early next week low forming well East of the trough swinging in, its going to be a cold chilly few days then back to 50's and 60's. Storm tracking through the GL's. Just one bad run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I saw that. EC wise, with the early next week low forming well East of the trough swinging in, its going to be a cold chilly few days then back to 50's and 60's. Storm tracking through the GL's. He said a few days ago that given the overall pattern, he doesn't anticipate snow locally until sometime in December. At this point that's probably a pretty good guess. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: He said a few days ago that given the overall pattern, he doesn't anticipate snow locally until sometime in December. At this point that's probably a pretty good guess. Time will tell. Storm track to our west in November is getting sick with no snow weather. Flash between chills and warm up's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 60 at 2:10PM in the 'Ville. Harrisburg still trying to hold on as mid 50's sweep in both sides in Cumberland and Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: 51 in Rouzerville at 15 before nooners. Parsing over the WU data shows the wedge of cool air trying to hang on for Central and Eastern LSV. Upper 50's just West of Chambersburg. It's always that wedge NE of the Catoctin Mts. Wish Site R would keep their ASOS up more often, them and the Mid Atlantic Soaring Center sites provide some really great information. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 31 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: He said a few days ago that given the overall pattern, he doesn't anticipate snow locally until sometime in December. At this point that's probably a pretty good guess. Time will tell. Good guess or logical climo one?? That's like saying I think I'll need to pee after a 6 pack of beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Good guess or logical climo one?? That's like saying I think I'll need to pee after a 6 pack of beer. And during. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 35 minutes ago, paweather said: Just one bad run. Not sure if any were buyin into the early week mauler, as the pattern has been and looks progressive until later next week. Then we have a legit window of opportunity for something to come at/under us, and not be a post frontal pop. and even then if one believes an op run, we scorch again before the mauler i shared above takes a run at us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Not sure if any were buyin into the early week mauler, as the pattern has been and looks progressive until later next week. Then we have a legit window of opportunity for something to come at/under us, and not be a post frontal pop. and even then if one believes an op run, we scorch again before the mauler i shared above takes a run at us. Yeah going to be a lot of ups and downs temps second half of Nov into Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 20 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Good guess or logical climo one?? That's like saying I think I'll need to pee after a 6 pack of beer. Just posting what he said. I'd say a good guess based on climo and logic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 59 here. Tomorrow, it's off to the races. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Just posting what he said. I'd say a good guess based on climo and logic. Not tryin to be a d!ck....just sayin...the limb was a rather large one to go out on.....that's all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 32 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: And during. Yeah crackin the seal sucks when us older ones do it. i should just stand on the back porch and finish my beers.......makes me think of an old movie title...."a river runs through it". lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Storm track to our west in November is getting sick with no snow weather. Flash between chills and warm up's. we've been seein this for the last few years....and it still is my biggest frustration, as it is seemingly the "default" winter pattern, unless we get some help from tellies. Late next week shows this w/ NAO and the maps respond accordingly. Hope its not just a brief window, but more of a sustained one. Would love to once again see early cold when some said December would go warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Not tryin to be a d!ck....just sayin...the limb was a rather large one to go out on.....that's all.. Understood. It was just a few years ago we had a significant snow in November, and given the hype started about next week, I think his point was simply "hey, looking at the pattern for next week, it just doesn't support snow here, or anywhere close to here". I thought it was a good thing to say - there are probably people in the area that believe that we're getting dumped on next week. I know my daughter was texting me about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 22 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 59 here. Tomorrow, it's off to the races. hoping a repeat of today w/ cloud deck helping, and pre frontal clouds to thwart our run at 7 0. I'm ready to not see those numbers till next May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Understood. It was just a few years ago we had a significant snow in November, and given the hype started about next week, I think his point was simply "hey, looking at the pattern for next week, it just doesn't support snow here, or anywhere close to here". I thought it was a good thing to say - there are probably people in the area that believe that we're getting dumped on next week. I know my daughter was texting me about it. No i get it, but just reading the wording made my type what i did, but in summary........... BLAME THE MEDIA?? I'm down w/ that. Fin hypsters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: hoping a repeat of today w/ cloud deck helping, and pre frontal clouds to thwart our run at 7 0. I'm ready to not see those numbers till next May. AGREE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 17, 2021 Author Share Posted November 17, 2021 I'm only at 51 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, canderson said: I'm only at 51 today. I am at 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 20 minutes ago, canderson said: I'm only at 51 today. 17 minutes ago, paweather said: I am at 50. Warm air was thwarted at the turnpike - 59 was my high but already down to 53. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 17, 2021 Author Share Posted November 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Warm air was thwarted at the turnpike - 59 was my high but already down to 53. It's pretty remarkable how weather on either side of the turnpike in winter can vary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 17, 2021 Share Posted November 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: 59 here. Tomorrow, it's off to the races. 76 is the number for MDT. They came in 52 or 53 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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