paweather Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: What’s the spread? Tampa by more than a touchdown, I assume. -6.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Only the Yankees of that bunch of Teams give the Cowboys much stress of being replaced as the most popular team in America. NBA and MLB are eliminated automatically. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/America's_Team Oh, I wasn't arguing that for a second. My list of teams is merely all the teams/schools I despise enough to specifically root against them at pretty much every opportunity. Sure, if Dallas is playing Baltimore and a Raven win would eliminate the Steelers, I'm on the Jerrywagon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Oh, I wasn't arguing that for a second. My list of teams is merely all the teams/schools I despise enough to specifically root against them at pretty much every opportunity. Sure, if Dallas is playing Baltimore and a Raven win would eliminate the Steelers, I'm on the Jerrywagon. Ironically most of us are not on the Jerry Wagon. After 25 years most have lost their patience. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Ironically most of us are not on the Jerry Wagon. After 25 years most have lost their patience. I know I have lost patience in him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 1 hour ago, TimB84 said: And then there’s this crap: Just like yesterday, the 12Z EC is trying to back peddle on the more excessive heat for you. Wed 18Z goes from 89 to 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Just like yesterday, the 12Z EC is trying to back peddle on the more excessive heat for you. Wed 18Z goes from 89 to 78. Yeah, briefly goes back to zonal. Let’s see if it builds the ridge towards the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 DPs are also fairly oppressive for much of that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: DPs are also fairly oppressive for much of that period. And high nighttime lows... at MDT especially. Daytime highs are not too far from normal most days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: And high nighttime lows... at MDT especially. Daytime highs are not too far from normal most days. Yeah, 83/69 at PIT and MDT at 18z on D10. Not what I’m looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Yeah, 83/69 at PIT and MDT at 18z on D10. Not what I’m looking for. I get the feeling that this airmass would be a true heatwave if it came in the summer but is battling the season and lack of daytime heating (compared to July/Early August) to really impress with its daytime highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I get the feeling that this airmass would be a true heatwave if it came in the summer but is battling the season, lack of daytime heating (compared to July/Early August) to really impress with its daytime highs. It doesn’t surprise or impress me anymore, we’ve had it 6 out of the last 7 Septembers. It’s our new normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: It doesn’t surprise or impress me anymore, we’ve had it 6 out of the last 7 Septembers. It’s our new normal. Regardless of actual temps, both EC and GFS agree on the trough out West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, TimB84 said: It doesn’t surprise or impress me anymore, we’ve had it 6 out of the last 7 Septembers. It’s our new normal. Bingo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 4 of the CPC’s top 10 analogs for the 8-14 day outlook are from late September/early October 2007, which was a horrific period for fall lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 Where can you find those analogs? Just trying to learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 17 minutes ago, PghPirates27 said: Where can you find those analogs? Just trying to learn. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/analog.php First map on there is the analog composite centered on day 11, the top 10 dates are in the bottom right corner of the map. For me, I mostly take a quick glance at it during hot or cold periods and see if any of the dates stand out as ones I know from memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 9, 2021 Author Share Posted September 9, 2021 Hadn’t looked at the radar all day. It got real dark to the west. Looked at radar. Yup, it gonna storm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 I was not expecting any storms. It's super windy out right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said: I was not expecting any storms. It's super windy out right now Poor HRRR....gets no respect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 9, 2021 Author Share Posted September 9, 2021 …. or not. It collapsed. Light rain. Boooo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 1 minute ago, canderson said: …. or not. It collapsed. Light rain. Boooo. Chambersburg stole your thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 33 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Poor HRRR....gets no respect. I think it does well most of the time. It is however the only model I have saved on my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 9, 2021 Author Share Posted September 9, 2021 Didn’t even rain at the house lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I think it does well most of the time. It is however the only model I have saved on my phone. It's well known that I am a big modeler and the HRRR has been about as solid as any model has ever been (of late). I think it will fall by the wayside once winter kicks in but its been a much better forecaster of weather than anything the NWS has put out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 32 minutes ago, canderson said: …. or not. It collapsed. Light rain. Boooo. yeah lmao. we got good wind but just a light rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 Some high dbz heading for bubbler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 9, 2021 Author Share Posted September 9, 2021 23 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said: yeah lmao. we got good wind but just a light rain The wind mostly avoided the city. Zero rain here at the house. Suns been out a bit. Very very odd. I feel like Voyager right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Some high dbz heading for bubbler I am cooking my hot dogs as fast as I can so I do not get wet trying to grill when raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I am cooking my hot dogs as fast as I can so I do not get wet trying to grill when raining. PAZ036-064-092200- Adams PA-Franklin PA- 533 PM EDT Thu Sep 9 2021 ...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Adams and southeastern Franklin Counties through 600 PM EDT... At 533 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Marion, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Chambersburg, Waynesboro, Gettysburg, Greencastle, Hampton, Guilford, Littlestown, Carroll Valley, Fayetteville, Wayne Heights, Bonneauville, New Oxford, Mont Alto, Lake Heritage, Rouzerville, Marion, Cashtown, Aspers, Orrtanna and Maugansville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 9, 2021 Share Posted September 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: PAZ036-064-092200- Adams PA-Franklin PA- 533 PM EDT Thu Sep 9 2021 ...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Adams and southeastern Franklin Counties through 600 PM EDT... At 533 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Marion, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Chambersburg, Waynesboro, Gettysburg, Greencastle, Hampton, Guilford, Littlestown, Carroll Valley, Fayetteville, Wayne Heights, Bonneauville, New Oxford, Mont Alto, Lake Heritage, Rouzerville, Marion, Cashtown, Aspers, Orrtanna and Maugansville. Cash and I stole it from the Pumpking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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