Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 3:18 PM, TimB84 said: It’s hard when the quoted map here was the GFS’s map for today, just 9 days out. Expand Nothing has been consistent but I agree that the GFS has not done well handling the Sept heat. Seems to throw us a bone every few runs then yank it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 3:21 PM, Bubbler86 said: Nothing has been consistent but I agree that the GFS has not done well handling the Sept heat. Seems to throw us a bone every few runs then yank it. Expand Oddly, the position of Nicholas on that map isn’t terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 3:15 PM, Bubbler86 said: 11:15 check in. Cloudy and 75. MDT is several degrees behind yesterday as well. Second day in a row clouds/haze have played havoc with the apparent weather for some. Expand Mainly sunny and 82 at 11:45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Partly cloudy 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 3:22 PM, TimB84 said: Oddly, the position of Nicholas on that map isn’t terrible. Expand GFS delayed but not denied next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 4:43 PM, Bubbler86 said: GFS delayed but not denied next week. Expand Ah yes, now we’re into that phase where there are 9 days of heat. And when we wake up tomorrow, there will still be 9 days of heat. And when we wake up Thursday, there will still be 9 days of heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 4:45 PM, TimB84 said: Ah yes, now we’re into that phase where there are 9 days of heat. And when we wake up tomorrow, there will still be 9 days of heat. And when we wake up Thursday, there will still be 9 days of heat. Expand GFS is warming up for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Up to 82 at 1PM with partial sun. Making a run for 85 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 4:56 PM, Bubbler86 said: Up to 82 at 1PM with partial sun. Making a run for 85 today. Expand I'm already at 85 (85.2) heading for at least the upper 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 4:50 PM, Bubbler86 said: GFS is warming up for winter. Expand Where does MDT stand currently with respect to normal for the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 4:58 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Where does MDT stand currently with respect to normal for the month? Expand I am at 82 right now and hazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 4:58 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Where does MDT stand currently with respect to normal for the month? Expand -.5 going in to today so it will move to a small positive number tomorrow. Later the month goes, the less severe the moves will be one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:01 PM, Bubbler86 said: -.5 going into today so it will move to a small positive number tomorrow. Later the month goes, the less severe the moves will be one way or another. Expand Thanks. I assumed that the negative departure had been eroded but wasn't sure exactly how far it had reversed. Lots of weather left! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:01 PM, Bubbler86 said: -.5 going into today so it will move to a small positive number tomorrow. Later the month goes, the less severe the moves will be one way or another. Expand not bad let's shoot for -2 to -4 range for September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:03 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Thanks. I assumed that the negative departure had been eroded but wasn't sure exactly how far it had reversed. Lots of weather left! Expand Just based on the GFS, which is a weak base of course, MDT would be probably +3ish going into the last 8-10 days of the month so could be close to a wash and very close to normal at the end of the month. Again just based on today's GFS. If I had to be pinned down for a number right now I would guess MDT ends up +1 to +2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:06 PM, Bubbler86 said: Just based on the GFS, which is a weak base of course, MDT would be probably +3ish going into the last 8-10 days of the month so could be close to a wash and very close to normal at the end of the month. Again just based on today's GFS. If I had to be pinned down for a number right now I would guess MDT ends up +1 to +2. Expand GFS looks like it’s beating back that late-month trough with yet another ridge. Short-lived relief. Cold front is west of the Mississippi on the CMC at 240. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:09 PM, TimB84 said: GFS looks like it’s beating back that late-month trough with yet another ridge. Short-lived relief. Cold front is west of the Mississippi on the CMC at 240. Ugh. Expand Maybe +2 to +4 month instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:09 PM, TimB84 said: GFS looks like it’s beating back that late-month trough with yet another ridge. Short-lived relief. Cold front is west of the Mississippi on the CMC at 240. Ugh. Expand Yes, if I had to guess on the 6Z GFS I would have said MDT is back to negative by month end. GFS has some below normal days but not exactly fall like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:11 PM, Bubbler86 said: Yes, if I had to guess on the 6Z GFS I would have said MDT is back to negative by month end. GFS has some below normal days but not exactly fall like. Expand Looks like we’re right in the battleground between the trough and the ridge at the end. That would be fairly seasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:12 PM, TimB84 said: Looks like we’re right in the battleground between the trough and the ridge at the end. That would be fairly seasonable. Expand CMC has some fairly nice days next week. Would be 40's for lows here. Probably 60's for HIA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:13 PM, Bubbler86 said: CMC has some fairly nice days next week. Would be 40's for lows here. Probably 60's for HIA. Expand I'm setting up my backup station on the tarmac overnight tonight. I'll get to the bottom of these readings... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Can't wait to be talking about highs in the 20's to 30's range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:13 PM, Bubbler86 said: CMC has some fairly nice days next week. Would be 40's for lows here. Probably 60's for HIA. Expand Just looked at the earlier parts of the GFS run, which suggest 90 is still in play for me early next week, when my normal high is 73. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:18 PM, Itstrainingtime said: I'm setting up my backup station on the tarmac overnight tonight. I'll get to the bottom of these readings... Expand You can probably leave it there all winter so Blizz can grill them as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:22 PM, paweather said: Can't wait to be talking about highs in the 20's to 30's range. Expand slow down Jerry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:24 PM, TimB84 said: Just looked at the earlier parts of the GFS run, which suggest 90 is still in play for me early next week, when my normal high is 73. Expand Now that I would bet against. Might lose but would still bet against it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:26 PM, sauss06 said: slow down Jerry Expand HAHA! Yep I know I am way too early for that but can't wait. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:26 PM, sauss06 said: slow down Jerry Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 5:29 PM, paweather said: HAHA! Yep I know I am way too early for that but can't wait. Expand are you one of those pumpkin spice people in July? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 14, 2021 Author Share Posted September 14, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now