KPITSnow Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Finally, fall is here. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 Small pea sized hail in those showers. Love fall weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 18, 2021 Share Posted October 18, 2021 There are exactly 8 times we’ve made it past today’s date without dropping into the 30s, and 7 of those 8 occurred prior to the KPIT era. Record is 10/26. Weekend looks a tad warmer than it did before. Another alarming record is in jeopardy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted October 18, 2021 Share Posted October 18, 2021 1 hour ago, TimB84 said: There are exactly 8 times we’ve made it past today’s date without dropping into the 30s, and 7 of those 8 occurred prior to the KPIT era. Record is 10/26. Weekend looks a tad warmer than it did before. Another alarming record is in jeopardy. Long-term, it looks like we could push the first freeze all the way back into November. That kind of fits with the theme of this year with warmer lows, and I wonder what the latest freeze date is for PIT (unless that's the 10/26 date to which you refer). We don't really approach the mark until hour 366 on the GFS. The only other time we get remotely close is hour 198 around the 26th (ironically). Freezing temps creep into northern PA while we hit 37 or so. It's not just us, either. Most of the northeast has avoided any kind of real cold thus far, even overnight cold, and that continues through the long-term. Excepting maybe a period next week. We'll see if it pans out. We're in for another La Nina spell this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 18, 2021 Share Posted October 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, jwilson said: Long-term, it looks like we could push the first freeze all the way back into November. That kind of fits with the theme of this year with warmer lows, and I wonder what the latest freeze date is for PIT (unless that's the 10/26 date to which you refer). We don't really approach the mark until hour 366 on the GFS. The only other time we get remotely close is hour 198 around the 26th (ironically). Freezing temps creep into northern PA while we hit 37 or so. It's not just us, either. Most of the northeast has avoided any kind of real cold thus far, even overnight cold, and that continues through the long-term. Excepting maybe a period next week. We'll see if it pans out. We're in for another La Nina spell this winter. Latest first freeze is 11/21/1922. Latest first freeze in the KPIT era is 11/11/1994. It’ll be interesting to see what happens for sure. The 10/26 date is the latest first 30s. First freeze has been in November 39 times on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted October 18, 2021 Share Posted October 18, 2021 2 hours ago, TimB84 said: Latest first freeze is 11/21/1922. Latest first freeze in the KPIT era is 11/11/1994. It’ll be interesting to see what happens for sure. The 10/26 date is the latest first 30s. First freeze has been in November 39 times on record. That's both later and more often than I had expected. I guess pushing it to November isn't quite as unusual as I first thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted October 18, 2021 Author Share Posted October 18, 2021 There's definitely chances for under 40 late this week and weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 18, 2021 Share Posted October 18, 2021 18 minutes ago, Ahoff said: There's definitely chances for under 40 late this week and weekend. EC is definitely (surprisingly) our friend for those of us that are ready for it. Even gives us a freeze at the end of its run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted October 19, 2021 Author Share Posted October 19, 2021 At ease everyone. Officially has dropped to 39. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 19, 2021 Share Posted October 19, 2021 Looks like the official low will be 37, so we’re safe from that record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted October 19, 2021 Share Posted October 19, 2021 Woke up to 36 at a little before 6 AM. Looks like a couple warm days before another seasonably cool fall weekend. Almost time to get some digital blue in fantasy land hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Tornado Warning Tornado Warning PAC003-007-129-220000- /O.NEW.KPBZ.TO.W.0027.211021T2340Z-211022T0000Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 740 PM EDT Thu Oct 21 2021 The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Beaver County in western Pennsylvania... Northeastern Allegheny County in southwestern Pennsylvania... Northwestern Westmoreland County in southwestern Pennsylvania... * Until 800 PM EDT. * At 740 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Franklin Park, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Ross Township, Bellevue, West View and McKees Rocks around 745 PM EDT. Pittsburgh, McCandless Township, Shaler Township and Gibsonia around 750 PM EDT. Millvale, Etna and Sharpsburg around 755 PM EDT. Penn Hills, Plum, Hampton Township, Wilkinsburg, New Kensington, O`hara Township, Oakmont, Fox Chapel, Arnold and Springdale around 800 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Sewickley Hills, Cheswick, Ben Avon Heights, Sewickley Heights, Reserve Township, Glenfield, Russellton, Haysville, Glen Osborne and Curtisville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Please report severe weather by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPITTSBURGH. && LAT...LON 4049 8017 4062 8016 4065 7973 4044 7977 TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 277DEG 29KT 4056 8010 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Not everyday you get a tornado warning on your phone. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoAPPS Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 The cell just north of Pittsburgh looks like it has a TDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Got a warning for Tornado, looks like three of them in the area, anything sighted or just radar indicated so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, GoAPPS said: The cell just north of Pittsburgh looks like it has a TDS. I definitely see a hook on that cell to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Just now, Rd9108 said: I definitely see a hook on that cell to the north. I’m in Ross near northway mall. Windy but nothing unusual 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Mesoscale Discussion 1882 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 PM CDT Thu Oct 21 2021 Areas affected...Portions of western Pennsylvania Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 212356Z - 220200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...The threat for a couple of tornadoes is expected to persist for a couple more hours before storms weaken and the severe threat gradually diminishes. Given the expected short duration tornado threat, a Tornado Watch issuance remains unlikely. DISCUSSION...Multiple discrete/semi-discrete supercells continue to exhibit instances of strong low-level rotation, from Butler County PA to Ohio County WV. Multiple TDS signatures were noted with some of these storms in the past few minutes via KPBZ dual-polarimetric radar data. These storms continue to rotate within an environment characterized by weak buoyancy (MLCAPE barely reaching 500 J/kg MLCAPE), but with strong low-level shear. Specifically, PBZ VAD profiler data have shown consistent elongated hodographs with 200+ 0-1km SRH, with METAR observations also showing some localized backing of the surface winds across southwest PA. As such, storm organization and periods of low-level rotation/brief tornadoes will likely continue for a couple more hours, before boundary-layer stabilization results in a gradual waning of the severe threat. A Tornado Watch issuance is not expected. ..Squitieri/Dial.. 10/21/2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Looking on Twitter at pictures of some of the velocity radar shots there was very likely a spin up somewhere in mccandless tracking into Allison park. Just would have missed me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 You know what they say, every tornado warning after October 15th equals a foot of snow in the coming winter, and we are at 4 for the area today. By they I mean I just coined the phrase now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Also omg is weather Twitter idiotic. A bunch of morons screaming “omg strong tornado on the ground in Allison park!!!” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Looks like the warned storm weakened enough they let the tornado warning expire.. No complaints here as it was aimed right at me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Tornado Warning Tornado Warning PAC003-125-220030- /O.NEW.KPBZ.TO.W.0028.211022T0007Z-211022T0030Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 807 PM EDT Thu Oct 21 2021 The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Washington County in southwestern Pennsylvania... South central Allegheny County in southwestern Pennsylvania... * Until 830 PM EDT. * At 807 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over McMurray, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... McMurray around 810 PM EDT. Bethel Park and Gastonville around 820 PM EDT. South Park Township, Jefferson Hills and Pleasant Hills around 825 PM EDT. McKeesport, Clairton, Glassport and Liberty around 830 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Port Vue, Elizabeth, Finleyville, West Elizabeth, Lincoln and Dravosburg. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Please report severe weather by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPITTSBURGH. && LAT...LON 4023 8016 4028 8017 4035 7987 4022 7985 TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 262DEG 23KT 4026 8012 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Damn. I’m listening to north Allegheny county fire scanner and reports of roofs missing in Allison park. That’s way too damn close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Too close for comfort, wife got the sleeping baby and I wrangled the scared dog downstairs with one leg. Tornado looks like it hit less than 2 miles south of us, couldn't tell if it was going to get any closer without making the call. I think the incline on our southern side sheltered us pretty good because there aren't even any branches down. Power didn't even flicker and it does that when the sun is shining! Enough excitement for me today, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Would not be surprised at all to see a confirmed tornado in Hampton. Way too close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Thankfully it's later in the year / we didn't have a lot of instability cause it sounds like per that discussion other things were lining up so the storms wanted to spin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 2 hours ago, TimB84 said: Would not be surprised at all to see a confirmed tornado in Hampton. Way too close. Yes I agree. I watched that rotation on radar as it went about 5 miles north of me. Duncan ave all the way down to route 8 and then on toward Hartwood Acres. Looking at some damage on the news I’m guessing E-F 1. It could have been a microburst but I think there was too much rotation on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 Confirmed tornado near mt nebo and in Hampton. Rough go this year in Hampton as that’s the same area where there was a microburst that likely had 80-100 mph winds earlier this year on wildwood CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 hour ago, KPITSnow said: Confirmed tornado near mt nebo and in Hampton. Rough go this year in Hampton as that’s the same area where there was a microburst that likely had 80-100 mph winds earlier this year on wildwood CC. Same cell I assume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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