lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 5 hours ago, Polarbear said: We took a 600 am out this morning to. Southwest to Denver….Weather is gorgeous!Sunny 75 with 18 dp 11 humidity…. I was on the southwest to Denver flight at 6am lol! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 11 hours ago, wolfie09 said: GFS starting early this year lol With the crazy weather this year it only makes sense! Did you see that whole run? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Per usual, the second the wind turned SW in Sizzlecuse, the temp skyrocketed almost 10 degrees to near 70. Here in the Northwest burbs, the rain moved in and we only made it up to 65 degrees. Currently 63 and it feels amazing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Windy AF out lol Ahead of these showers and storms..Rain starting to pick back up, 0.37° since yesterday AM, currently 59°.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Brother caught 3 spouts right off the shore this AM. Pretty cool. Could barely see the funnels cause it was so windy, but could easily see the rotation on the water. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Windy AF out lol Ahead of these showers and storms..Rain starting to pick back up, 0.37° since yesterday AM, currently 59°.. Had hail this morning with the passage of some morning showers… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 6, 2021 Author Share Posted September 6, 2021 1 hour ago, vortmax said: Brother caught 3 spouts right off the shore this AM. Pretty cool. Could barely see the funnels cause it was so windy, but could easily see the rotation on the water. You weren't kidding... 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Today is probably one of the warmer days of the week, forecast right around 75°, tonight will be a warm night with forecast lows in the mid 60s.. Tomorrow we should see some clouds and showers as another CF approaches... While the highs (upper 60s, low70s) over the next few days are slightly below average, the lows (low-mid50s) are slightly above average for this time of year Imby..So it should average out to be an average"ish" like week lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Nice line of storms tomorrow morning-early afternoon on the 3k.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Wednesday night, colder air will continue to advect into the region (H850T falling to +7C/+9C) and with synoptic moisture wrapping back in under westerly flow there will be the potential for lake effect rain showers off both lakes overnight. Infact, there even could be some rumbles of thunder as BUFKIT sounding profiles show lake induced CAPE values of +2K J/KG and equilibrium levels surpassing 30k feet. Thursday, a passing shortwave still appears like it will disrupt the lake response during the day which will result in general scattered showers across the region. Thursday night boundary layer flow becomes northwest, directing lake effect rain showers southeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 7, 2021 Author Share Posted September 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Wednesday night, colder air will continue to advect into the region (H850T falling to +7C/+9C) and with synoptic moisture wrapping back in under westerly flow there will be the potential for lake effect rain showers off both lakes overnight. Infact, there even could be some rumbles of thunder as BUFKIT sounding profiles show lake induced CAPE values of +2K J/KG and equilibrium levels surpassing 30k feet. Thursday, a passing shortwave still appears like it will disrupt the lake response during the day which will result in general scattered showers across the region. Thursday night boundary layer flow becomes northwest, directing lake effect rain showers southeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario overnight. Best time of the year. Waterspouts and Football. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 The timing of convection is just late enough that diurnal instability will develop across Central NY by early afternoon just ahead of the line. This should allow for strengthening storms during the early to mid afternoon on the eastern edge of our CWA and then heading east from there. Some of these storms may contain gusty winds and brief downpours. Strong deep layer shear and linear forcing may support an isolated damaging wind risk with any short line segments that develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 7, 2021 Author Share Posted September 7, 2021 The Euro seasonal has a pretty cold Canada this winter, we take that look all day. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 15 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The Euro seasonal has a pretty cold Canada this winter, we take that look all day. Bring me a winter full of clippers with frequent 3-6” snows and plenty of lake effect snow that oscillates with each passing shortwave that moves through. Absolute best pattern there is. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 7, 2021 Author Share Posted September 7, 2021 30 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Bring me a winter full of clippers with frequent 3-6” snows and plenty of lake effect snow that oscillates with each passing shortwave that moves through. Absolute best pattern there is. Agreed, they are the best winters. Really hope everything works out with you son. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 41 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Agreed, they are the best winters. Really hope everything works out with you son. Thanks man really appreciate it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 2 hours ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Bring me a winter full of clippers with frequent 3-6” snows and plenty of lake effect snow that oscillates with each passing shortwave that moves through. Absolute best pattern there is. YEEEEEEEEEEEESSSSSSSS!!!! The pattern you will hear me complaining in the least...... LOL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Agreed, they are the best winters. Really hope everything works out with you son. I've been thinking about your mom. How is she doing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 7, 2021 Author Share Posted September 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I've been thinking about your mom. How is she doing? She is doing okay, still undergoing immunotherapy every 3 weeks on Friday for the forseeable future. Shes at roswell 1-2 times a week every week. The cancer will never go away, its damage control for the rest of her life. Quality of life varies from day to day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 7, 2021 Author Share Posted September 7, 2021 That line in canada is insane. Extreme derecho. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: That line in canada is insane. Extreme derecho. Where the heck did that come from? NWS seems to think they will putter out before they get here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 YYZ: At 7:23 p.m. EDT, Environment Canada meteorologists are tracking a line of severe thunderstorms capable of producing very strong wind gusts, up to toonie size hail and heavy rain. WTF is a toonie?? LOL 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: She is doing okay, still undergoing immunotherapy every 3 weeks on Friday for the forseeable future. Shes at roswell 1-2 times a week every week. The cancer will never go away, its damage control for the rest of her life. Quality of life varies from day to day. Really makes you realize how every day is a gift, as we are never guaranteed a tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 25 minutes ago, vortmax said: YYZ: At 7:23 p.m. EDT, Environment Canada meteorologists are tracking a line of severe thunderstorms capable of producing very strong wind gusts, up to toonie size hail and heavy rain. WTF is a toonie?? LOL Yep...Canadian coins...loonies...toonies.... it's Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 35 minutes ago, vortmax said: YYZ: At 7:23 p.m. EDT, Environment Canada meteorologists are tracking a line of severe thunderstorms capable of producing very strong wind gusts, up to toonie size hail and heavy rain. WTF is a toonie?? LOL That’s like half dollar size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 This line was a bear! Came roaring off Huron with a waterspout that turned into a massive tornado. I would freaking die if I saw this coming at me… 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 8, 2021 Author Share Posted September 8, 2021 19 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Really makes you realize how every day is a gift, as we are never guaranteed a tomorrow. This is why I travel and hike so much. Both of my parents can't do what I do every weekend. I treasure each day that I am healthy, especially after what happened to me in January. It can be taken away from you at any moment. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 8, 2021 Author Share Posted September 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: This line was a bear! Came roaring off Huron with a waterspout that turned into a massive tornado. I would freaking die if I saw this coming at me… Unreal. If I saw that it would be the best day of my life. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 Me: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: That line in canada is insane. Extreme derecho. Yes and headed right for us. In fact this evening’s forecast was very poorly handled. At 749 the NWS text read the storms over southern Ontario MAY clip the waters of Lake Ontario… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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