tim123 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 For the upcoming snow season has the gfs been doing better than. The euro since the upgrade. I wanna say it has been. But don't have any data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Sooooo…if Syracuse Sizzles what is KBUF known for? It is 51 in Williamsville, 47 in Lancaster and somehow 56 at the airport which is sandwiched between both locations…I’ve heard of the urban heat island effect with all the concrete and steel structures maintaining heat through the night while suburban and rural areas have more radiational cooling…but this doesn’t fit that bill…the only possibility is the size of the runway which is all concrete and spans a couple miles in 2 directions? If any one can explain this please do because just makes zero sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 9 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: State of emergency for NYC Not again. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Made it to 49° overnight, few degrees below forecast.. Currently back up to 62°.. Today looks to be the coolest day of the next 7.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 15 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Some high end EF3 damage in there, low end Ef4. Those are well built new homes. New homes are garbage in my opinion. Old lathe and plaster homes with real brick and mortar are way more solid. That said, I don’t think many homes would survive an EF3 wedge regardless of their construction. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 4 hours ago, Thinksnow18 said: Sooooo…if Syracuse Sizzles what is KBUF known for? It is 51 in Williamsville, 47 in Lancaster and somehow 56 at the airport which is sandwiched between both locations…I’ve heard of the urban heat island effect with all the concrete and steel structures maintaining heat through the night while suburban and rural areas have more radiational cooling…but this doesn’t fit that bill…the only possibility is the size of the runway which is all concrete and spans a couple miles in 2 directions? If any one can explain this please do because just makes zero sense It's a really good question where they take the actual temp measurement. If its actually right on site where the NWS office is, there is an unbelievably giant parking lot that was recently expanded just South of them. That 100 percent will have an effect on the local micro climate. Now how do we figure out where the temp sensor is? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 2, 2021 Author Share Posted September 2, 2021 4 hours ago, Thinksnow18 said: Sooooo…if Syracuse Sizzles what is KBUF known for? It is 51 in Williamsville, 47 in Lancaster and somehow 56 at the airport which is sandwiched between both locations…I’ve heard of the urban heat island effect with all the concrete and steel structures maintaining heat through the night while suburban and rural areas have more radiational cooling…but this doesn’t fit that bill…the only possibility is the size of the runway which is all concrete and spans a couple miles in 2 directions? If any one can explain this please do because just makes zero sense Big spread in temps this morning PICK YOUR TEMP! At 4:30 am...just a 23º temperature spread across our region to begin this #FridayEve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Another potential major hurricane in the in the Atlantic basin... Hurricane Larry.. Luckily this one looks to miss the east coast but it could travel close to Bermuda.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Today definitely has that"fall" like feeling..Low-mid 60s and gloomy.. Actually dropped a couple degrees since this morning.. Currently 61/54..Good day to cut the grass lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 2, 2021 Author Share Posted September 2, 2021 23 people died in those floods. Far more then in Louisiana 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Official data should be collected outside major constructed areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Starting to see the slightest bit of color change lol I love ny updates start next week so it won't be long before more colors start to blossom.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 8 confirmed tornadoes in mount Holly CWA as of now.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 13 hours ago, Thinksnow18 said: Sooooo…if Syracuse Sizzles what is KBUF known for? It is 51 in Williamsville, 47 in Lancaster and somehow 56 at the airport which is sandwiched between both locations…I’ve heard of the urban heat island effect with all the concrete and steel structures maintaining heat through the night while suburban and rural areas have more radiational cooling…but this doesn’t fit that bill…the only possibility is the size of the runway which is all concrete and spans a couple miles in 2 directions? If any one can explain this please do because just makes zero sense I wonder if they are having a calibration issue again like last year. Current map they stand out as being 5-6 degrees higher than anyone else. The issue last year stood out not when looking at daytime highs for some reason but the overnight low temps were always above the surrounding stations. Here is today’s data highs of 71 and 70.3… but look at the lows. KBUF only went down to 57 while the next closest station dropped to 51.6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 If they are its being done on purpose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 10 minutes ago, tim123 said: If they are its being done on purpose. Not as noticeable but the official temperature is still the warm spot at night in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 3, 2021 Author Share Posted September 3, 2021 14 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Not as noticeable but the official temperature is still the warm spot at night in that area. KBUF station is calculated hourly, that 62 is incorrect its 61 they just messaged me. The other stations probably refresh instantly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 3, 2021 Author Share Posted September 3, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 10 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'm idling both of my Planet Killers 24/7 to try and put the Sizzle back in SIZZLECUSE. Disgustingly chilly past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 17 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: 23 people died in those floods. Far more then in Louisiana Up to 45 deaths now due to Ida remains in Northeast. I don't think anyone saw this coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Brief Lake Effect rain showers here and 58 degrees. Pool season may be over. Sadface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 NYC mayor blamed"failing" weather forecast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 That storm mid next week is looking interesting. Just kind of explodes through the lakes from nothing to sub 990mb in about 24 hours with the help from some strong coupled jets. Could this be the first wind event of the fall season??..... one can only hope. The trees will not be ready for this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 I am seeing chatter of summer returning by mid-month. Ugh. Just no. Please no. Can we just have a normal/below average September? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 The ridge axis will slide into the Northeast Saturday night which will allow the next trough to advance eastward toward the region. Meanwhile, a warm front will advance eastward across the region which will support a few warm advection showers. Aforementioned trough will remain overhead of the region Sunday through Monday. A few shortwave passages will allow for a couple of fronts to cross the region each day. The first frontal passage Sunday will increase the likelihood of widespread rain showers, and depending on the timing of the pre-frontal trough or the front itself there may be a few rumbles of thunder in the afternoon Sunday. A secondary front (ahead of the upper level trough axis) will pass across the region Sunday night into Monday, which will again support showers and a few thunderstorms. Behind the secondary front, another burst of cold air (850mb temperatures dropping to 8C) will push across the region Monday night. This will support the chances for a few lake enhanced and/or upslope rain showers east/southeast of Lake Ontario. Subtle ridging aloft and at the surface will move overhead Tuesday, though the next warm frontal passage will be advancing northeast toward the area. Even with the weak capping aloft, there may be enough low level moisture and forcing to initiate a few showers, especially with the added boost from diurnal heating. Meanwhile, further to the west ridging across the Rockies will expand and intensify, causing the mid-level pattern to amplify. This will cause the trough downstream over the upper Mid-West to dig across the Great Lakes and Northeast Wednesday through Thursday. The trough aloft will support an area of surface low pressure to cross southern Ontario and Quebec. As the low passes just north of the region, associated surface frontal features will pass across the region late Tuesday night through Wednesday. Another shot of cold air behind the front Wednesday will drop temperatures at 850mb to +6C to +8C, and support lake enhanced rain showers east of both lakes. Otherwise, the warm air advection Tuesday will support highs mainly in the low to mid 70s across the higher elevations, with mid to upper 70s across the lake plains. The cooler air behind the front Wednesday will drop temperatures and support highs in the low 70s both Wednesday and Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 As of now CPC going with"neutral" probabilities mid month but warmer probs not far away.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 3, 2021 Author Share Posted September 3, 2021 Sizzle sizzle coming back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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