wolfie09 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Front has totally cleared kbuf CWA, winds have flipped W/WNW on the backside.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 50 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I would love it! But my wife has made it pretty clear if we move outside of the Syracuse area, it will NOT be another location in New York state. Ha. There are several reasons for that... I mean reading your comment on here l, let’s just say your input and wit are great for this forum…then again it would be nice to have a really good old fashioned winter again…what am I saying, I know a great real state agent in Green Bay… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I mean reading your comment on here l, let’s just say your input and wit are great for this forum…then again it would be nice to have a really good old fashioned winter again…what am I saying, I know a great real state agent in Green Bay… Aw, thanks. I know my frustrations and cynicism can be a downer to some, so I appreciate your remarks. I just had a colleague yesterday say she didn't know how to take my humor at first, but she now loves my dry sense of humor. I get it from my dad... Maybe I'll stay another year or two just to ruin winter for you. Buffalowx and Syrmax will love that for their warm pools... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 So who's chipping in? Lol I asked the old lady we can afford another mortgage right? Yeah didn't go over well lol Would be a nice LES getaway.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 WPC QPF for the lake effect portion.. Heaviest looks to be in C Oswego county, which looks about right from what I have seen.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Did some snow searching for Baldwinsville and found a couple pictures from February 2015. These pics show more of what I was envisioning for a normal winter here...which I think is the case? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 Lake firing up, pretty disorganized at the moment.. Should become better organized overnight/morning before slowly pushing south.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 3 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Did some snow searching for Baldwinsville and found a couple pictures from February 2015. These pics show more of what I was envisioning for a normal winter here...which I think is the case? 3 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Did some snow searching for Baldwinsville and found a couple pictures from February 2015. These pics show more of what I was envisioning for a normal winter here...which I think is the case? Feb 15 was actually quite the anamoly. Coldest month ever in Syracuse. We got snow pretty much every day and at one point had over 25 inch snowpack for weeks. Quite memorable and cold 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 6 hours ago, wolfie09 said: So who's chipping in? Lol I asked the old lady we can afford another mortgage right? Yeah didn't go over well lol Would be a nice LES getaway.. That's ridiculous for a shack with no land. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 46 minutes ago, champy said: Feb 15 was actually quite the anamoly. Coldest month ever in Syracuse. We got snow pretty much every day and at one point had over 25 inch snowpack for weeks. Quite memorable and cold That month has been talked about on here as a very cold month. I have found many winters though where there was several feet on the ground for several consecutive weeks, like we see in those pictures. Even the past couple of "meh" winters have had some decent snowcover for a bit. But definitely more grass showing for longer periods than what is probably normal for these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 35 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: That's ridiculous for a shack with no land. Well, you have tons of land around you...it's just not yours and you don't have to pay taxes on it. A win? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 Here is KSYR Feb 2015.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 @BuffaloWeathergoing out at sunrise for a couple hours… where should I setup? Was thinking somewhere different like Evangola Beach or Sturgeon Point Marina. But Hamburg Beach would have a good view also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Here is KSYR Feb 2015.. What a winter lover's delight! The average low of -1 for the month is quite impressive! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 17, 2021 Author Share Posted October 17, 2021 2 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: @BuffaloWeathergoing out at sunrise for a couple hours… where should I setup? Was thinking somewhere different like Evangola Beach or Sturgeon Point Marina. But Hamburg Beach would have a good view also. Either one of those places would work. Waterspout chasing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 17, 2021 Author Share Posted October 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That isn't the best Heading for a chart. "What" is less than 50 degrees? The low for each day? Considering we haven't had highs anywhere near being that low and I highly doubt Watertown has that many "low highs" that is what I will conclude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 17, 2021 Author Share Posted October 17, 2021 13 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: That isn't the best Heading for a chart. "What" is less than 50 degrees? The low for each day? Considering we haven't had highs anywhere near being that low and I highly doubt Watertown has that many "low highs" that is what I will conclude. Yeah its what it says there has been 1 day that got below 50 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 15 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah its what it says there has been 1 day that got below 50 degrees. That is absolutely incredible considering our average low has been below 50 for 3 weeks. Just unreal warmth this month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 9 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Either one of those places would work. Waterspout chasing? Might have saw one funnel drop a bit but otherwise nadda this morning. Still a nice time walking the beach at Sturgeon Point. This was interesting… wonder if you can reserve this to ride out a winter wind storm. That would be wild! lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 Guys, gut thoughts on the upcoming season? I’ve seen some fairly pessimistic guidance over the last couple weeks and also some ok stuff. I’m hopeful but it’s just based on anecdotal lifetime experience. We’ve now endured three tepid winters and I feel like that cycle has run its course. I’m hoping on some prolonged cold and some solid LES. It would be nice to not be in the 50’s on Christmas! Can we avoid the dreaded SE ridge? Will November and April steal the cold? Will we only have one good month like last year? Or can pull out a freezer like early 2000’s? I, for one, think we are overdue for a blockbuster storm! A crippler! Lay down your predictions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Guys, gut thoughts on the upcoming season? I’ve seen some fairly pessimistic guidance over the last couple weeks and also some ok stuff. I’m hopeful but it’s just based on anecdotal lifetime experience. We’ve now endured three tepid winters and I feel like that cycle has run its course. I’m hoping on some prolonged cold and some solid LES. It would be nice to not be in the 50’s on Christmas! Can we avoid the dreaded SE ridge? Will November and April steal the cold? Will we only have one good month like last year? Or can pull out a freezer like early 2000’s? I, for one, think we are overdue for a blockbuster storm! A crippler! Lay down your predictions! I think it’s a front loaded winter based in the current state of LaNina, the already weakened PV and colder waters off Newfoundland. The caveat is the pac is still a bit hostile and may slow any real prolonged cold spells. I think we average near normal snowfall due in large part to mid November and December bring above average in snowfall and BN temps. January is a transition month and I believe February is AN temps BN snowfall 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 33 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I think it’s a front loaded winter based in the current state of LaNina, the already weakened PV and colder waters off Newfoundland. The caveat is the pac is still a bit hostile and may slow any real prolonged cold spells. I think we average near normal snowfall due in large part to mid November and December bring above average in snowfall and BN temps. January is a transition month and I believe February is AN temps BN snowfall Sounds good. I have ski plans in February but it’s up at Stowe, which is pretty far Northern Vermont. They do pretty well even in mild winters. Also expect to be out west at least once- either Jackson or Wasatch. Both? Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 It's been nothing but a monsoon here in Hannibal all morning and just had some pea sized hail come down for a couple minutes, my yard and everyone else yard look like small lakes. I can't remember a lake effect rain band hanging over us this long. It's just plain raw out today. Windy the temp is at 50 crazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 Yeah sweet band for sure.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah sweet band for sure.. Erie took a bit of a dump. Huron is cranking. Starting to see some lightning in the upstream bands. Think we see the lakes pulse up again later this afternoon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 Looks like some sort of convergence.. Fulton reporting mainly SW winds today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 Couple of my friends own Stone Creek Club Course in Southwest Oswego, one of them just posted a photo of the rain gage they have at the course closing in on 5" of rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 32 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: It's been nothing but a monsoon here in Hannibal all morning and just had some pea sized hail come down for a couple minutes, my yard and everyone else yard look like small lakes. I can't remember a lake effect rain band hanging over us this long. It's just plain raw out today. Windy the temp is at 50 crazy. Yup, just kills me....knowing how much snow this persistent band could have been.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted October 17, 2021 Share Posted October 17, 2021 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Yup, just kills me....knowing how much snow this persistent band could have been.... Be digging out from feet of white gold lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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